March brought another dip in consumer sentiment, with the University of Michigan’s index registering its lowest level since August 2011. The March index was revised down to 59.4 from a reading of 59.7 two weeks ago. An index of 100 is equal to sentiment in Q1 1966. A year ago at this time, the index was 84.9. Consumer sentiment is now down 41.6 points from its peak in February 2020 and is even below the lows seen in four of the last six recessions. “When asked to explain changes in their finances in their own words, more consumers mentioned reduced living standards due to rising inflation than any other time except during the two worst recessions in the past fifty…
Pending home sales dropped for the fourth month in a row in February, down 4.1% from January and 5.4% YOY, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported. NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI), which measures home sales using contract signings, fell in three of the major regions. The Northeast was the only region that saw an increase from January. All four regions saw year-over-year declines. “Pending transactions diminished in February mainly due to the low number of homes for sale. Buyer demand is still intense, but it’s as simple as ‘one cannot buy what is not for sale,'” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. The Northeast PHSI rose 1.9% to 85.0 in February, down 9.2% YOY. In the Midwest, the…
Good Morning! Today is Friday, March 25. The U.S. imposed new sanctions on more than 300 members of Russia’s Parliament. Some journalists have quit jobs at Russian state media outlets, citing regret for promoting lies about the war. Arizona Republicans passed a bill banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy. The Mortgage Note Reports Rates Rise: Mortgage rates continued their upward march this week, averaging 4.42%. Forbearances Up: Forbearance plans rose for a second week, pushed up by plan re-starts, though new plan starts remained steady. And in other mortgage and housing news… Affordability Down: Homebuyer affordability decreased in February, with the national median payment applied for by applicants jumping 8.3% to $1,653. “We’re Concerned”: Liz Shuler, president of…
Mortgage rates continued their upward march this week, averaging 4.42%, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.42%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.17%. “This week, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased by more than a quarter of a percent as mortgage rates across all loan types continued to move up,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Rising inflation, escalating geopolitical uncertainty, and the Federal Reserve’s actions are driving rates higher and weakening consumers’ purchasing power. In short, the rise in mortgage rates, combined with continued house price appreciation, is increasing monthly mortgage payments and quickly affecting homebuyers’ ability to keep up with the…
New home sales dropped by 2% in February, declining for a second consecutive month, according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Purchase of new single-family homes fell to a 772,000 annualized rate, down from a revised rate of 788,000 in January and 6.2% lower than the expected rate of 823,000. These declines suggest American house hunters are taking a step back as interest rates and inflation rise. The South and West, two regions that have been quite popular with homebuyers in the last year, saw sales decline, while the less popular Northeast and Midwest saw an increase in sales. At month’s end, an estimated 407,000 new homes remained on the market,…
Good Morning! Today is Wednesday, March 23. Russia extended a law banning criticism of the government, and a court sentenced the opposition leader Aleksei Navalny to nine more years in prison. At least one person died last night after a tornado in the New Orleans area damaged homes and knocked out power. The Mortgage Note Reports Digital Real Estate: What Is It And Who Is Interested? Millions of dollars are being spent on digital real estate as investors take their money to the land of the Metaverse and Tyrone Townsend is taking a look at this new virtual opportunity. Applications Down: Mortgage loan application volume plummeted by another 8.1% last week as interest rates rise. IMB Profits Down:IMBs and mortgage…
Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, March 22. The U.S. is opposing Poland’s idea of sending troops into Ukraine. President Biden warned companies that Russia was considering cyberattacks in retaliation for sanctions. Miami Beach officials issued a curfew after two shootings during spring break. The Mortgage Note Reports Invasion Of Ukraine, Inflation To Take Toll On U.S. Housing Sector: Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and its implications for the global economy has some experts saying the housing market in the United States will be impacted. Soaring Housing Costs: The average monthly asking rent in the U.S. rose 15% YOY but were once again outpaced by mortgage payment growth, up 31% YOY. AIMI Falls: The Freddie Mac Multifamily Apartment Investment Market Index fell …
Good Morning! Today is Friday, March 18. Moderna asked the FDA to authorize a second COVID booster dose for all adults. Russian forces remain stalled outside Kyiv, taking heavy casualties. A 13-year-old was driving the truck that hit a van in Texas, killing nine people. The Mortgage Note Reports Race-Based Lending: The Right Way to Promote Social Justice? The Neighborhood Assistance Corporation of America (NACA) has announced a lending program for minority-owned businesses it calls “Economic Justice Loans.” Rates Break 4%:Mortgage rates averaged 4.16% this week, exceeding 4% for the first time since May 2019. Forbearances Rise: In a familiar pattern, forbearance rose by 8,000 last week (1%) after dropping to a post-pandemic low the week before. And in other…
Mortgage rates broke 4% for the first time since May 2019, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.16%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.09%. “The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage exceeded four percent for the first time since May of 2019,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “The Federal Reserve raising short-term rates and signaling further increases means mortgage rates should continue to rise over the course of the year. While home purchase demand has moderated, it remains competitive due to low existing inventory, suggesting high house price pressures will continue during the spring homebuying season.” The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a…
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time since 2018 on Wednesday in an effort to combat rising inflation, and economists have mixed feelings about its impact on the housing market. The Consumer Price Index rose 0.8% in February, up 7.9% over the last year, to its highest rate in 40 years. As Americans spend more on less, the impact is becoming apparent. Retail sales rose 0.3% in February, a slowdown in the pace of spending that suggested inflation was taking its toll on American consumers. But while rising prices for gas and groceries may burden American households, it’s things like health insurance and housing that are the “silent killers,” according to Justin Wolfers, University of Michigan professor…
