More consumers than ever think mortgage rates and home prices will continue to rise, according to Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI). The HPSI rose by 3.5 points to 75.3 in February, with five of the index’s six components increasing month-over-month despite respondents’ surly attitude towards home prices and interest rates. However, the full index dropped 1.2 points year-over-year (YOY). The “Good Time to Buy” component is still hovering near its record low, with consumers saying they are deterred from homebuying by high prices. Respondents to the survey said they feel an improved sense of job security, but a significantly greater share– 67%, a record high for the HPSI– assume mortgage rates will rise higher. The report notes this…
By JARED WHITLEY Divorce is the number two most stressful event in a person’s life, leading lady Leslie Knope reveals in one episode of “Parks and Recreation,” adding “Of course, marriage is number seven. So, watch out, everyone. It’s all bad.” We face a similar conundrum in the housing market right now. Housing prices have been out of control the last year, and in response, the Fed has announced it will raise interest rates this month. Rates have already surged to their highest point since March 2020 – the start of the coronavirus and its accompanying government damaging overreactions – showing that the salad days of 2% rates on a traditional home loan are over. The question for housing experts to answer…
Mortgage rates fell again last week, dropping to an average of 3.76% from 3.89%, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.76%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.02%. “While inflationary pressures remain, the cascading impacts of the war in Ukraine have created market uncertainty,” Freddie Mac Chief Economist Sam Khater said. “Consequently, rates are expected to stay low in the short term but will likely increase in the coming months.” The Fed said that it still plans to raise rates later this month despite uncertainty surrounding the Ukraine conflict. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the central bank would stick to its plan to reduce…
Good Morning! Today is Thursday, March 3. Russia has continued to attack major cities in Ukraine, creating a humanitarian crisis. The Jan. 6 committee said there was evidence to conclude that Donald Trump may have committed crimes to try to stay in office. Fitbit is recalling its Ionic smartwatch after reports of overheating batteries. The Mortgage Note Reports Loan Factory’s Nguyen Says UWM Ultimatum ‘Has Divided Our Community’: In a one-on-one interview with The Mortgage Note, Nguyen explains why he chose to stop doing business with Mat Ishbia’s company rather than agree to it’s ‘All In’ ultimatum. Weak App Activity: Mortgage loan application volume fell 0.7% last week, faring slightly better than the prior week’s 13.1% drop but continuing a trend…
Mortgage loan application volume fell 0.7% last week, faring slightly better than the prior week’s 13.1% drop but continuing a trend down, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey shows. The adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, dropped 0.7%. The adjusted purchase index fell 2%, while the unadjusted purchase index rose 1% and was 9% lower YOY. The refinance index rose 1% and was down 56% YOY. Refinances made up 49.9% of total applications. Rising mortgage rates continue to impact application activity. Mortgage rates reached 4.15% last week, their highest since 2019, and are driving refinance applications down. “Although there was an increase in government refinance applications, higher rates continue to push potential refinance borrowers…
Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, March 1. A convoy of Russian armed forces stretching approximately 40 miles is moving closer to Kyiv. California, Oregon, and Washington will stop requiring masks in schools. President Biden will deliver his State of the Union address tonight. The Mortgage Note Reports The ‘Rent vs. Own’ Debate Heats Up: With both home prices and rents rising at or near record levels, the debate over which makes the most fiscal sense is hotter than ever, these experts say. Broker Confidence Dips: Broker confidence fell for the second straight month in February, though brokers are “cautiously optimistic” about the future. CoreLogic HPI: CoreLogic’s Home Price Index found that home prices rose 19.1% YOY in January and 1.4%…
By SCOTT KIMBLER Across the country, especially in urban metropolitan areas, it’s becoming as difficult to find a rental property as it is to buy a home. “It’s just going to keep happening,” said economist Roy Black of Emory University’s Goizueta Business School. “It is the perfect storm: Supply chain issues, inflation, gas prices going up. It is everything happening from different angles. The middle class, even the upper middle class, is being squeezed. Prices are squeezing the people whose salaries are not increasing at the pace of the cost of living. About the only thing people can do is bargain-hunt until they find something or move farther and farther out where the rents are cheaper.” Elizbeth Rose with Mortgage…
Pending home sales continued a three-month streak of declines in January, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported. NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) found contract signings fell 5.7% to 109.5 in January, down 9.5% year-over-year (YOY). Only the West saw any increases, with contract signings rising 1.5% from December to January, but down 9.7% from a year earlier. The Northeast saw the largest annual drop in contract signings, 16.7%, plus a 12.1% drop in the month-to-month numbers, down to 84.3. The Midwest saw a 5.9% drop both monthly and annually, while signings in the South fell 6.3% from December and 8.7% YOY. “With inventory at an all-time low, buyers are still having a difficult time finding a home,” said…
Mortgage rates took a surprise turn down last week, averaging 3.89% after weeks of rising, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.89%, down from 3.92%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.97%. “Even with this week’s decline, mortgage rates have increased more than a full percent over the last six months,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Overall economic growth remains strong, but rising inflation is already impacting consumer sentiment, which has markedly declined in recent months. As we enter the spring homebuying season with higher mortgage rates and continued low inventory, we expect home price growth to remain firm before cooling off…
Good Morning! Today is Thursday, February 24. Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a military operation in Ukraine. President Biden will address the nation with an update on the attacks at 12:30 p.m. The Mortgage Note Reports “Battling It Out”: A Redfin report found that 70% of homebuyers faced bidding wars in January, making it the most competitive month in Redfin’s data. Loan Applications Down: Mortgage loan application volume fell 13.1% last week to their lowest level since December 2019, MBA’s weekly survey shows. And in other mortgage and housing news… Seeking Comment: MISMO is seeking public comment on updates to Engineering Guideline 7 establishing class words that enable consistency in the naming and structure of data point names. Panel Market: …
