Morning Roundup (1/14/2022)– Forbearance Exits Remain High, Rates Hit 3.45%

Good Morning! Today is Friday, January 14. The Supreme Court blocked the Biden administration from enforcing a vaccine-or-testing mandate for large employers. Australia canceled Novak Djokovic’s visa for a second time, days before the Australian Open. The leader of the far-right Oath Keepers militia was charged with seditious conspiracy in the Capitol riot investigation. And in mortgage and housing news… Forbearance Exits Remain High: Of single-family homeowners who entered Covid-19 related forbearance, 89% have now exited their plans, according to Black Knight. Rates Climb Again: Mortgage rates jumped significantly this week, up to an average of 3.45% from 3.22%, Freddie Mac reported. Vice Chairwoman: President Biden will nominate Sarah Bloom Raskin, a former top Treasury Department official, to serve as…

Interest Rates Jump to 3.45%

Mortgage rates jumped significantly this week, up to an average of 3.45% from 3.22%, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.45%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.79%. “Mortgage rates rose across all mortgage loan types, with the 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage increasing by almost a quarter of a percent from last week,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “This was driven by the prospect of a faster than expected tightening of monetary policy in response to continued inflation exacerbated by uncertainty in labor and supply chains. The rise in mortgage rates so far this year has not yet affected purchase demand, but given…

Morning Roundup (1/12/2022)– Credit Availability Up, Delinquencies Down

Good Morning! Today is Wednesday, January 12. In an effort to keep kids in schools, the Biden administration will ship five million free rapid Covid-19 tests to K-12 schools each month. Celebrities including Kim Kardashian, Floyd Mayweather Jr., and Paul Pierce are being sued for allegedly leading investors into a cryptocurrency “pump and dump” scam. Maya Angelou has become the first Black woman on a quarter. And in mortgage and housing news… Credit Availability Up: Mortgage credit availability rose in December, according to MBA’s Mortgage Credit Availability Index. Zillow CDO: Zillow has hired Jenny Arden as the company’s first Chief Design Officer. Delinquencies Down: Mortgage delinquency fell to 3.8% in October 2021, down 2.3% YOY, according to CoreLogic’s latest Loan…

Morning Roundup (1/11/2022)– Multifamily Projections, Origination Activity Down

Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, January 11. The SEC has begun work on a plan requiring companies to routinely disclose information about their finances and operations. Chicago schools will reopen after the teachers’ union and the city struck a deal over Covid safeguards. The Biden administration announced that private insurers will cover the costs of eight at-home Covid tests per person per month. And in mortgage and housing news… Jaws Are Dropping: “The One” hit the market. This megamansion with 21 bedrooms and 42 bathrooms in Bel Air is listed for $295 million. Freddie’s Multi-Family Outlook: Freddie Mac’s annual multifamily outlook suggests another strong year with rent growth in all markets, led by the Sun Belt. Black Knight: Origination activity…

Origination Activity Fell Again In December

Origination activity fell for the fourth consecutive month in December as higher rates and seasonal slowdown pushed rate locks down, according to Black Knight’s December 2021 Origination Market Monitor. Rate locks fell 18.3% from November to December and 35% year-over-year (YOY), fueled by a 22.5% drop in locks on purchase loans and a 17.1% drop in rate/term refinances. Rate/terms refis hit their lowest point in two years at the end of 2021. Locks on cash-out refis also dropped by 10% from November, though they are up 18% YOY thanks to incredible gains in home equity. The share of refinances rose to 48% due to the decline in purchase locks, though average refi credit scores were down 20 points YOY as…

Multifamily To Remain Strong In 2022

Freddie Mac’s annual multifamily outlook projects another strong year, with rents continuing to increase despite an overall moderating market. The report projects that the Sun Belt will outperform slow-growing smaller markets in the Northeast and Midwest. “We believe the market will continue to grow in 2022, reflecting the strong multifamily fundamentals that drove the market to a record-breaking year in 2021,” said Steve Guggenmos, vice president of Multifamily Research & Modeling at Freddie Mac. “We anticipate rent growth in all markets in 2022 due to strong demand driven by improving economic conditions.” Growth broke records in 2021 thanks to changing migration patterns and strong economic conditions. Multifamily demand reached its highest ever levels during Q2 and Q3 of 2021, and…

Morning Roundup (1/10/2022)– UWM In-Office Fight Continues, Fraud Costs Rising

Good Morning! Today is Monday, January 10. A fire in a Bronx apartment building killed at least nineteen people. Russian forces have surrounded Ukraine on three sides as diplomats meet in Geneva for talks. “Power of the Dog” and “Succession” won top honors at the Golden Globes, which did not air this year due to criticism over ethical lapses and a lack of diversity. And in mortgage and housing news… Are UWM Workers Being Unreasonable?: United Wholesale Mortgage turned heads in the industry last week when it was reported that health officials are investigating the company after receiving complaints about how they are handling COVID, which lead some people to ask why employees in lending are expected to be in…

HPSI Suggests A Slower Housing Market In 2022

Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) fell 0.5 points to 74.2 in December, the GSE reported. Three of the index’s six components fell month-over-month as consumers once again reported pessimistic views on the homebuying market. Year-over-year, the index rose by 0.2. A record-low 26% of respondents reported they believe it’s a good time to buy a home, while 76% said it’s a good time to sell.  This is a drastic drop from December 2020, when 50% said it was a good time to sell and 52% said it was a good time to buy. Month-over-month, the share of consumers that reported it’s a bad time to buy a home rose from 64% to 66%, while the net share of…

Morning Roundup (1/7/2022)– Rates Climb To Highest Level Since May 2020

Good Morning! Today is Friday, December 7. President Biden accused Donald Trump of spreading a “web of lies about the 2020 election.” The Supreme Court will hear arguments today in cases challenging the Biden administration’s vaccine mandates. Canada’s ban on conversion therapy takes effect today. And in mortgage and housing news… Rates Climb: Mortgage rates rose to their highest level since May 2020, up to an average of 3.22%, Freddie Mac reported. Forbearances Improve: Active forbearance plans dropped by 8% in the first week of January, according to Black Knight’s blog, Vision.  December Jobs: The US economy added just 199,000 jobs in December, far below economists’ expectations of 422,000 gains. FHFA Changes Explained: The FHFA this week announced loan-level price…

Rates Rise To Highest Level Since May 2020

Mortgage rates rose to their highest level since May 2020, up to an average of 3.22%, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.22%, significantly higher than last week’s 3.11%. It disrupts a trend of rates hovering around 3.10% or 3.11%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.65%. “Mortgage rates increased during the first week of 2022 to the highest level since May 2020 and are more than half a percent higher than January 2021,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “With higher inflation, promising economic growth, and a tight labor market, we expect rates will continue to rise. The impact of higher rates…