Home Prices Soar For Eighth Straight Month

Home prices hit another record high in September as stock shortages spurred competition for well-priced homes. Year-over-year, prices rose 3.8%, up from 2.5% in August, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price NSA Index. Prices were up 0.3% month-over-month before seasonal adjustment and 0.7% after. This is the eight straight month of increases. Prices were up month-over-month in 15 of 20 cities, and both the 10- and 20-city composites analyzed saw prices exceed both their year-ago and January levels.  The National Composite surpassed its previous record high with this data, and ten individual cities hit record-breaking prices. “On a year-to-date basis, the National Composite has risen 6.1%, which is well above the median full calendar year increase in…

Rates Slip For Third Week Straight

Mortgage rates slipped for a third consecutive week as Wall Street rallied around positive inflation data. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.44%, a modest decline from the week prior’s 7.5%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.61%. The 15-year fixed rate fell from 6.81%% to 6.76%. A year ago, it averaged 5.98%. “For the third straight week, mortgage rates trended down, as new data indicates that inflationary pressures are receding,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “The combination of continued economic strength, lower inflation, and lower mortgage rates should likely bring more potential homebuyers into the market.” The consumer price index for October dipped by 0.1% month-over-month and…

Buyer Demand Elevated Despite Affordability Concerns

Even as buying a home is getting more expensive by the day, stock shortages are spurring serious competition among the few buyers on the market. New listings fell nearly 5% last month, according to Zillow’s latest market report. While inventory is slowly recovering – 5% is actually a smaller decline than seasonally expected – it is still the lowest number of listings in any October recorded by Zillow since 2018. Still, there are good indicators for inventory. Listings were down 1.2% YOY, the smallest since May 2022, and are down 19% compared to pre-pandemic levels, much better than April’s -35%. In fact, total inventory actually rose 2.6% from September to October, though this was due to a downturn in sales,…

Rates Fall Quarter Point In Second Week Of Declines

Treasury yields sank for a second week, pushing mortgage rates down in their largest single-week decline since last November. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.5%, down a full quarter point from 7.76%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 7.08%. The 15-year fixed rate fell from 7.03% to 6.81%. A year ago, it averaged 6.38%. But while this is undoubtedly good news for homebuyers, market headwinds continue to depress demand. “Incoming data show that household debt continues to rise, primarily due to mortgage, credit card, and student loan balances,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Many consumers are feeling strained by the high cost of living, so unless mortgage…

Ishbia Prepares For Market Rebound

By KIMBERLEY HAAS The CEO of United Wholesale Mortgage says they are investing in technology and hiring new team members in preparation for a turn in rates. Leaders at UWM Holdings Corporation announced their third-quarter results on Wednesday. Total loan origination volume was $29.7 billion, of which $25.9 billion was purchase volume. Net income was reported at $301 million, which includes a $92.9 million increase in the fair value of mortgage servicing rights and diluted earnings at $0.15 per share. This was the second consecutive quarter of profits for UWM despite industry-wide challenges. Mat Ishbia, chairman and CEO of UWMC, said in a statement that the strength of the company and the broker channel is on full display. “While others…

Mortgage Rates Make Biggest One-Week Drop In More Than A Year

U.S. mortgage rates took their biggest one-week drop in more than a year last week. The Mortgage Bankers Association reported the contract rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage fell 25 basis points to 7.61%. That’s the lowest level since the end of September. Market watchers point to the Federal Reserve’s decision last week to hold interest rates steady as one reason for the slide in mortgage rates, adding to hopes the housing sector will improve in the coming months. The MBA also reported mortgage applications for home sales rose 3%. Mortgage brokers say it’s no surprise that with a tight market and plenty of frustrated would-be buyers, there was a surge in demand. Refinancing activity ticked up as the refinance…

Rates Cool, Ending Weeks-Long Upward Streak

Borrowers struggling with rampant unaffordability are seeing some relief as mortgage rates cool, ending an upward swing. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.76%, down from 7.79%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.95%. The 15-year fixed rate remained unchanged at 7.03%. A year ago, it averaged 6.29%. “The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage paused its multi-week climb but continues to hover under 8%,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “The Federal Reserve again decided not to raise interest rates but have not ruled out a hike before year-end. Coupled with geopolitical uncertainty, this ambiguity around monetary policy will likely have an impact on the overall economic landscape and may continue…

Home For The Holidays: Will It Be Better To Buy At Thanksgiving Or Christmas?

By ERIN FLYNN JAY Holiday home shoppers who are sensitive to mortgage interest rates near 8% may resist the idea of buying before Thanksgiving, hoping that Santa Claus brings relief, but is waiting until Christmas the answer this season? On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve held its target range for the federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.5%, and mortgage rates slipped in anticipation of the news. But Orphe Divounguy, senior macroeconomist at Zillow Home Loans, warned that investors will likely recalculate their inflation forecasts based on employment and wage growth data, “causing large swings in mortgage rates.” That means uncertainty for homebuyers. Matt Ronne, senior loan officer with Motto Mortgage Preferred Brokers in Athens, TN, said that this year, with…

ARM Applications See Boost Again As Buyers Struggle With High Costs

Mortgage applications slipped again last week, though ARM applications soared in response to ongoing affordability pressures. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – decreased by 2.1%, slightly up from the week prior’s 1% dip. Adjusted purchase applications slipped by 1%, while the unadjusted index fell by 2% from the week before and was 22% lower YOY. Applications decreased despite the 30-year fixed mortgage cooling slightly to 7.86%, breaking a weeks-long streak of increases. Rates remain close to 23-year highs, however, and all rates are approximately 30 bps higher than a month ago. “The impact of higher rates continued to be felt across both purchase and refinance…

Rates Jump To 7.79%

Average mortgage rates jumped another 10 bps last week, edging closer to 8%. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.79%, up from 7.63%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 7.08%. The 15-year fixed-rate rose to 7.03% from 6.92%. A year ago, it averaged 6.36%. “For the seventh week in a row, mortgage rates continued to climb toward eight percent, resulting in the longest consecutive rise since the Spring of 2022,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “Rates have risen two full percentage points in 2023 alone and as we head into Halloween, the impacts may scare potential homebuyers. Purchase activity has slowed to a virtual standstill, affordability remains a…