Home Flippers Hit Hard By Interest Rates, Inflation

By ERIN FLYNN JAY Home flipping activity is down across the nation as people who work in the industry see reduced returns on investments due to high interest rates and inflation. Last month, ATTOM released its 2023 U.S. Home Flipping Report, which showed that 308,922 single-family homes and condos in the United States were flipped last year. That was down 29.3% from 436,807 in 2022 and is the largest annual drop since 2008. The report further revealed that as the number of homes flipped by investors declined, so did flips as a portion of all home sales, from 8.6% in 2022 to 8.1% percent last year. Rob Barber, ATTOM’s CEO, said high interest rates and inflation have elevated costs for…

Could Portable Mortgages Thaw A Frozen Housing Market?

By ERIN FLYNN JAY The concept of mortgage porting, or transferring the terms of an existing loan over to a new property, has gained popularity as Americans locked into low interest rates try to figure out ways to navigate the current housing market. It is estimated that trading up to a 25% more expensive home would more than double the average mortgage holder’s monthly payment at current interest rates. Even moving to a similarly-priced home in the same neighborhood would increase principal and interest payments by 40%. Advocates for portable mortgages say if homeowners could keep their current interest rates, they would be more likely to sell their homes and buy a new one. That, in turn, would help unfreeze…

Renters Feel Bad About Their Finances, But It’s Cheaper Than Owning

By ERIN FLYNN JAY Compared to homeowners, renters feel bad about their finances, but in most of the country renting is the more affordable option right now. A recent Axios Vibes survey by The Harris Poll shows that homeowners are nearly twice as likely to say they are getting ahead financially when compared to renters. 57% of renters and 29% of homeowners described their financial situation as “poor.” According to Emily Peck, a markets correspondent at Axios, part of the problem is that the median asking rent in the U.S. is up 40% from the first quarter of 2020. With average hourly earnings rising only 20% during the same time period, wages did not keep up with costs. Homeowners were…

Will Profits Continue To Drop For Sellers?

By ERIN FLYNN JAY Gross profits and profit margins remained near record levels for sellers last year but they decreased for the first time since 2011 in what could be seen as a sign of a cooling housing market. ATTOM released its Year-End 2023 U.S. Home Sales Report on Jan. 24, which shows that home sellers made a $121,000 profit on the typical sale in 2023, generating a 56.5% return on investment. Compare that to 2022, when the gross profit on median-priced single-family homes was $122,600 and the profit margin was 59.8%. This drop in profits happened as the median nationwide home price rose at the smallest annual pace in more than a decade, according to ATTOM. So is this…

Year In Review: Highs And Lows Of 2023

By ERIN FLYNN JAY As 2023 comes to a close, industry leaders say there were some highs, but leaving this year behind won’t be a problem for many mortgage professionals. ATTOM CEO Rob Barber said in the spring, as the peak homebuying season heated up, lenders nationwide enjoyed their first quarterly increase in mortgage activity after eight consecutive declines dating back to early 2021. “The second-quarter rebound was huge as total loans shot up 22%. The spike was powered by across-the-board, double-digit gains in purchase, refinance, and home-equity credit line deals,” said Barber. But the turnaround was quick lived, he said, as the numbers went back down in the third quarter, with overall activity decreasing by 3%. Only refinance lending…

How Will AI Change The Mortgage Market In 2024?

By ERIN FLYNN JAY As artificial intelligence plays an increasingly important role in the mortgage business, industry leaders are figuring out ways to harness its power to revolutionize homebuying. Dan Weisman, director of innovation strategy at the National Association of Realtors, said AI brings enhanced automation, efficiency, and transparency to the process. People who can effectively use it have the chance to dominate the landscape in 2024. “With artificial intelligence rapidly entering our lives faster than most could imagine, the industry has opportunities to improve analyzing market trends, assessing credit risk, and ensuring regulatory compliance, which will lead to a more tailored lending experience,” Weisman said in a recent interview with The Mortgage Note. For example, JPMorgan Chase is developing…

Did Student Loan Debt Calculations Fuel A Housing Bubble That’s Ready To Burst?

By ERIN FLYNN JAY Mortgage loans have some risks, as do student loans. But the two don’t add up to a toxic combination that threatens to cause a price crash in the housing market, and trillions of dollars of damages for taxpayers to clean up. A recent WSJ opinion piece by Allysia Finley claims taxpayers are standing behind trillions of dollars in risky mortgages due to the way that student loan debt is calculated during the mortgage process. In “The Student-Debt Bubble Fueled a Housing Bubble,” Finley blamed student loan repayment plans, saying monthly payments are capped at 10% of discretionary income. “Many student borrowers consequently aren’t paying down their debt, but it isn’t counted against them when they attempt…

Pending Home Sales Saw No Change In April

April brought no change in pending home sales, according to the National Association of Realtors. NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index remained at 78.9 in April, the same reading as in March. An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001. Year-over-year, pending sales dropped by 20.3%. “Not all buying interests are being completed due to limited inventory,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “Affordability challenges certainly remain and continue to hold back contract signings, but a sizeable increase in housing inventory will be critical to get more Americans moving.” Analysts differ on when inventory will be correct. ATTOM Data’s Rick Sharga told Bankrate not to expect a big inventory boost anytime soon. But Robert Johnson,…

November Foreclosure Activity Up YOY But Slipped From October

Foreclosure activity fell 5% in November from the month prior, remaining lower than pre-pandemic levels, according to a new report from ATTOM Data. Foreclosure filings were up 57% YOY due to last year’s moratoriums pushing activity to near zero and pushing data to artificially scary highs.  But activity remains below what ATTOM considers normal levels. Starts and completions are both up annually as well, by 98% and 64%, respectively, but they too fell month-over-month. Though starts almost doubled YOY, they are just barely above 80% of pre-pandemic activity. “We may be at or near a peak level of foreclosure activity for 2022,” said Rick Sharga, executive vice president of market intelligence at ATTOM. “We may continue to see below-normal foreclosure…

Analysis: Homes Near Trader Joe’s Have Higher Values

By KIMBERLEY HAAS Analysts say that being located near certain grocery stores can have an impact on a home’s value. Average houses near Trader Joe’s are $987,923, compared to $891,416 near Whole Foods and $321,116 near ALDI, according to an analysis released last week by ATTOM, a curator of real estate data. Rick Sharga, Executive Vice President of Market Intelligence at ATTOM, said homebuyers consider where they will do their grocery shopping when looking at houses. “It turns out that being located near grocery stores isn’t only a matter of convenience for homeowners but can have a significant impact on equity and home values as well. And that impact can vary pretty widely depending on which grocery store is in…