Pending Sales Improved In March But Show No Signs Of “Breakout”

Pending home sales improved in March but low inventory remains a challenge to affordability. NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index rose by 3.4% month-over-month to a reading of 78.2 last month. An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001. Year-over-year, they were up a modest 0.1%, with the Midwest and West seeing improvement. “March’s Pending Home Sales Index – at 78.2 – marks the best performance in a year, but it still remains in a fairly narrow range over the last 12 months without a measurable breakout,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “Meaningful gains will only occur with declining mortgage rates and rising inventory.” Month-over-month sales rose in all regions but the Midwest, which…

Pending Home Sales Improved In February

Pending home sales increased in February as inventory loosened up and buyers became accustomed to the high-rate environment. NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index rose by 1.6% month-over-month to a reading of 75.6 last month. An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001. Year-over-year, they were down 7%. “While modest sales growth might not stir excitement, it shows slow and steady progress from the lows of late last year,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “Ongoing job gains are clearly increasing demand along with more inventory.” All four U.S. regions saw declines in year-over-year sales, while month-over-month sales rose in the Midwest and South. The Northeast and West saw losses from January. Southern states and…

New Home Sales Slip As Existing Sales Surge

New home sales declined in February as existing sales surged, showing buyers still prefer affordable, older stock over new when it becomes available. That’s according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development, which reported sales down by 0.3% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 662,000, slipping from the month priors’ revised rate of 664,000. Sales were still up by 5.9% from the same time last year, however. The decline was the first in three months and generally unexpected by analysts, according to Bloomberg. Surveyed economists had predicted a rate of 667,000. There were 463,000 new homes for sale at the end of the month. This represents an 8.4-month supply at the…

Pending Home Sales Fell Off In January

Pending home sales contracted in January as rate-sensitive buyers skipped out despite increasing inventory. NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index fell by 4.9% month-over-month to a reading of 74.3 in January. An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001. Year-over-year, they were down 8.8%. “The job market is solid, and the country’s total wealth reached a record high due to stock market and home price gains,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “This combination of economic conditions is favorable for home buying. However, consumers are showing extra sensitivity to changes in mortgage rates in the current cycle, and that’s impacting home sales.” All four U.S. regions saw declines in year-over-year sales, while month-over-month sales actually…

Existing Home Sales Rebounded In January

Existing-home sales rebounded from a December plummet in January, increasing month-over-month, but not annually. Sales increased by 3.1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.00 million, according to the latest data from the National Association of Realtors. They were down 1.7% from the same time last year, however. The Midwest, West, and South all saw sales increase, while the Northeast held steady but didn’t decline. This is a turnaround from December, which saw existing sales shrink to their lowest point since 1995. “While home sales remain sizably lower than a couple of years ago, January’s monthly gain is the start of more supply and demand,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “Listings were modestly higher, and home buyers are…

Residential Construction Tanked In January Due To Apartment Downslide

Home construction lost ground in January, collapsing to the slowest pace in five months. Residential home construction fell to a 1.33 million annual pace, down from a revised 1.56 million in December, according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau. This is the biggest drop since April 2020, and a far cry from Wall Street expectations of 1.45 million. Single-family starts fared poorly, down by a 4.7% adjusted annual rate of 1.004 million units last month. But the driving factor was multifamily, which shrank by 35.6%, wiping out gains the month prior. On the bright side, permits once again rose, besting last month’s 5-month high. Permits offer an indication of future construction. Analysts partly attribute the inconsistency to severe winter…

Rates Hold Steady at 6.64%

Rates stayed basically the same last week, inching up just slightly. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.64%, barely budging from the week prior’s 6.63%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.12%. Rates have stuck around the mid-6’s  for about two months now. The 15-year fixed decreased to 5.90% from 5.94%. A year ago, it averaged 5.25%. “The economy and labor market remain strong with wage growth outpacing inflation, which is keeping consumer spending robust,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Meanwhile, affordability in the housing market is an ongoing issue due to continued high home prices, elevated mortgage rates and low supply of homes on the market, particularly…

New Home Sales Spiked In December

New home sales spiked in December as cooling rates encouraged purchase-shy buyers to make the leap. That’s according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development, which reported sales up by 8% from October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 664,000, a jump from the month priors’ revised rate of 615,000. December saw rates cool to the mid-6’s, a process that began in November but needed time to bear out fully. The data suggests potential buyers who were cautious at first eventually came to terms with slightly lower rates and jumped into the market. New home sales were up 4.4% from the same time last year. There were 453,000 new homes for…

Existing-Home Sales Now At Lowest Levels Since 1995

Existing-home sales slipped in December to their lowest point since 1995. Sales declined by 1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.78 million, according to the latest data from the National Association of Realtors. They were down 6.2% from the same time last year. The South and Midwest experienced declines month-over-month, while the Northeast saw effectively no change. Notably, sales in the West spiked by 7.8%. All regions clocked decreases YOY. This is a turnaround from November, which saw sales increase for the first time in five months, and a break from predictions. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expected sales of previously owned homes would rise to a seasonally adjusted 0.3%. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun suggested…

Existing-Home Sales Up For First Time In 5 Months

Existing-home sales increased for the first time in five months as falling rates made homebuying more affordable. Sales rose by 0.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.82 million, according to the latest data from the National Association of Realtors. While this is a clear improvement from past months, year-over-year sales are down 7.3%, and NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun notes the data is still impacted by the sky-high mortgage rates of the past few months. “The latest weakness in existing home sales still reflects the buyer bidding process in most of October when mortgage rates were at a two-decade high before the actual closings in November,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “A marked turn can be expected…