Payments Surpass Cost-Burdened Threshold As Affordability Sinks To Lowest Point In 35 Years

Housing payments have surpassed the dreaded 30% cost-burdened threshold thanks to the 30-year fixed rate’s recent half-point jump. Black Knight reports that it now costs $2,103 to make the principal and interest (P&I) payment on an average-priced home with a 20% downpayment. That equates to 36.2% of the median household income and sinks affordability to its lowest level in more than 35 years. Payments as a percentage of income are now higher than the previous record of 34.1% in July 2006, and significantly up from the long-term average of 25.1%. The Department of Housing and Urban Development defines cost-burdened families as those “who pay more than 30% of their income for housing” and “may have difficulty affording necessities such as…

Affordability Hits 15-Year Low

Affordability is at a 15-year low, with mortgage payments up in 45 of the 50 largest U.S. metros, according to Zillow’s latest market report. Buying a typical U.S. home with interest rates of 5.78% would result in monthly payments of $2,127. That’s up 36% year to date, and 51% YOY. Those monthly payments would account for 28% of homeowners’ monthly income, inching closer to the 30% benchmark that means homeowners are cost-burdened. The report noted that since rates have risen above the April data it references, homeowners may already be at that 30% threshold. Rising interest rates and soaring home prices have pushed mortgages out of reach for many Americans, leading to diminishing demand that has economists worried that recession…

Affordability Declining As Monthly Payments Eat Up The Typical Borrower’s Income

The national median payment applied for by homebuyers rose 8.8% to $1,889 in April, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Purchase Applications Payment Index (PAPI). PAPI measures changes in monthly mortgage payments relative to income across time. An increase shows the payment to income ratio is up due to increasing application loan amounts or mortgage rates, or a decline in earnings. The national PAPI was up 7.8% to 162.7 in April. This shows affordability declining as payments increase, accounting for a larger share of a typical person’s income. The index is up 27% YOY. Borrowers in the 25th percentile of prices saw their mortgage payment rise 9.6% to $1,236. “Rapid home-price growth, low inventory, and an 80-basis-point surge in…

Double-Digit Home Price Growth Increased In Q1 2022

More metro areas saw double-digit YOY increases in their median single-family existing-home sales price in Q1 2022 than in Q4 2021, according to the National Association of Realtors’ (NAR) quarterly report. Prices grew by double-digits in 70% of the 185 metros analyzed by NAR, up from 66% in Q4 2021. The median sales of single-family existing homes rose at a pace of 15.7% to $368,200, compared to 14.3% in the quarter prior. Affordability dropped as a result, with monthly mortgage payments on the typical home with a 20% downpayment rising to $1,383, up $319 (30%) YOY. Homeowners spent 18.7% of their income on mortgage payments, up from 14.2% the same time last year. The South region accounted for 45% of…

Home Price Growth Sets Yet Another Record In 122nd Month Of Consecutive Increases

Home prices rose by 20.9% YOY in March, setting another record and marking the 122nd consecutive month of YOY home price increases nationally, according to CoreLogic’s Home Price Index (HPI) and HPI Forecast. Home prices were up 3.3% from the month prior. The annual appreciation of detached properties (22%) was 4% higher than that of attached properties (17.3%). But the company predicts that home price growth will moderate to 5.9% by March 2023 due to rising interest rates and low affordability. Late April rates jumped about 30% YOY, a “trend that might derail more prospective buyers.” “The annual growth in the U.S. index was the largest we have measured in the 45-year history of the CoreLogic Home Price Index,” said…

March Home Sales Dropped 4% From Feb, Sign Of A Potential Slowdown

Home sales dropped by 4% last month and 8% YOY, closing out a fast-paced March with signs of a potential cooldown, Redfin reported. Homes sold at their fastest pace ever and for more above list price than any other March in history. The median home-sale price rose 6.2% to $412,700, a record high and the fastest month-over-month gain for this time of year since 2013. But seasonally adjusted home sales fell 4% thanks to severe inventory shortages, rising rates, and accelerating home prices. Seasonally adjusted active listings—the count of all homes that were for sale at any time during the month—fell 13% YOY to an all-time low. “Although pricey coastal markets began showing early signs of a slowdown in late…

Rental Rates Up By More Than 15%, Adding To Inflation

By KIMBERLEY HAAS Monthly asking rates for rentals increased an estimated 15.2% year-over-year in January, and some economists say this is accounting for a significant portion of recent inflation. Redfin is reporting that last month the average asking rent was $1,891, which is the largest annual jump since at least February of 2020. The national median monthly mortgage payment for homebuyers climbed by 25% year-over-year to $1,595. That is also the biggest increase in Redfin’s records. Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather noted that rising mortgage rates are shrinking more Americans out of the for-sale market, which will likely put increasing pressure on rents this year. “Moving right now is expensive, whether you’re renting or buying,” Fairweather said. “One of the only…

HouseCanary Report: ‘Bleak Picture For Housing Affordability’

National brokerage HouseCanary’s new Market Pulse report shows troubling trends in housing affordability. The report underscored the shortage of homes with selling prices under $200 thousand. While net new listing activity is up in other pricing categories, it’s down 30% for these homes from the same time last year.  List-to-sale price ratios show a seller-friendly environment staying put, hovering slightly above 100. “The record growth in home prices over the past year driven by short supply has made homeownership less affordable for many Americans, especially for would-be first-time homebuyers and those searching for homes under $200K. It’s also worth noting that mortgage rates have increased recently, topping 3% for the first time since early July,” said Jeremy Sicklick, Co-Founder and…

Mortgage Payments Up $50 Over The Last Six Weeks As Median Asking Price Hits Record

Monthly mortgage payments for the average homebuyer rose $50 over the last six weeks. Redfin’s Housing Market Update reported that, despite concerns about affordability and price, homes are still selling fast, with about half being sold within two weeks. The $50 increase is a result of prices increasing 12% year-over-year. Homes are on average selling about 1% above asking price, though listings with price drops are increasing slightly. The number of homes sold above list price was up 13% year-over-year to 47%, but the smallest share since April. “Mortgage rates and asking prices are both on the rise, which translates to higher housing costs,” said Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather.  “For now, mortgage rates are still hovering near 3%, and…