Originations See Largest YOY Decline In Two Decades

Mortgage originations saw their largest annual decline in 21 years, further evidence that the housing boom is coming to an end. Originations fell 47% YOY in Q3, according to ATTOM Data’s Q3 2022 U.S. Residential Property Mortgage Origination Report. Quarter-over-quarter they were down 19%, the sixth consecutive drop. Lenders issued a total of $636.5 billion worth of mortgages in Q3. By dollar count, that’s down 22% from Q2 and 46% YOY. It’s the largest dip in loan dollar volume since at least 2001. HELOC lending increased for the fifth time in six quarters, but the boost was overwhelmed by the slump in purchase and refinance origination. “There are no surprises in this quarter’s loan origination numbers, as the unprecedented jump…

Foreclosures Up 57% YOY But Remain Far From Pre-Pandemic Levels

Foreclosures have now risen more than 50% YOY as filings edge closer to pre-pandemic levels, according to ATTOM’s October 2022 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report. A total of 32,376 properties had foreclosure filings in October, up 57% from a year ago. But month-to-month, foreclosures only rose by 2%. Foreclosures continue to climb steadily toward pre-pandemic levels after the foreclosure moratorium, pushing YOY data artificially to scary highs. Activity is still below what ATTOM considers normal levels. “October foreclosure activity was about 59% of pre-pandemic numbers, and at its current pace, foreclosures probably won’t be back to historically normal levels until sometime around mid-2023,” said Rick Sharga, executive vice president of market intelligence at ATTOM. Illinois, Delaware, and New Jersey were the…

Rates Shoot Up To Nearly 7%

Mortgage rates skyrocketed again this week, nearing 7% as the affordability crisis escalates, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.70%, up from 6.29% just last week. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.01%. “The uncertainty and volatility in financial markets is heavily impacting mortgage rates. Our survey indicates that the range of weekly rate quotes for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has more than doubled over the last year. This means that for the typical mortgage amount, a borrower who locked in at the higher end of the range would pay several hundred dollars more than a borrower who locked in at the lower end of the…

New Jersey, Illinois, And California Have Most Markets At Risk For Declines

As the housing cooldown continues, New Jersey, Illinois, and inland California have the highest concentration of at-risk markets, according to a new report from ATTOM. The Special Housing Risk Report spotlights county-level housing markets that are more or less vulnerable to declines, based on affordability, unemployment, and other measures from Q2 2022. The largest clusters of at-risk markets are around the NYC and Chicago metros, while Southern and midwestern starts have the least at-risk markets. The top 50 at-risk markets include nine in and around New York City, six in the Chicago metro area, and 13 throughout the entirety of California. The rest are spread throughout the country, with three around Philadelphia. These counties have elevated levels of unaffordable housing,…

Dwindling Refis Eclipsed Rising HELOC, Purchase Lending In Q2 2022

Refinance lending fell 36% from Q1 to Q2 2022, eclipsing increases in other lending areas, according to ATTOM’s second-quarter 2022 U.S. Residential Property Mortgage Origination Report. The report found that 2.39 million mortgages secured by residential property were originated in Q2 2022, down 13% from Q1 and 40% YOY. This is the fifth consecutive quarter of falling originations and the biggest annual drop since 2014. Though purchase originations and home-equity lending actually increased 8% and 35%, respectively, they were heavily outweighed by the double-digit refi drop. The total number of mortgages issued was down 13.2% from Q1 and 40% YOY, dropping at their fastest pace in eight years. Lenders issued $807.8 billion worth of mortgages overall in Q2, down 11%…

Half Of Mortgaged Homes Are Equity-Rich

Nearly half of mortgaged homes in the U.S. were equity-rich in Q2, with the most equity gains concentrated in the South, according to ATTOM’s Q2 2022 U.S. Home Equity & Underwater Report. The report found that 48.1% of mortgaged residential properties had an estimated worth that topped their loan balances by 50% or more. That’s up from 44.9% in Q1 2022 and 34.4% YOY. At least half of all mortgagees in 18 states were equity-rich, up from just 3 states at the same time last year. It’s the ninth consecutive quarter in which the number of equity-rich homes increased. ATTOM also found that only 2.9% of mortgaged homes were considered seriously underwater in Q2, down from 3.2% in Q1 and…

Zombie Foreclosures Tick Up As Overall Foreclosure Activity Accelerates

Zombie foreclosures rose 3% from Q1 to Q2 2022, the first increase in a year, as overall foreclosure activity jumped 13%, ATTOM reported. Zombie properties– homes that sit vacant– account for 1.3 million properties in the U.S. That is one in every 76 homes. Among pre-foreclosure properties, 7,569 sit vacant in Q2, meaning that the number of zombie-foreclosure properties rose quarterly by 2.8%. Foreclosures are up 12.7% from Q1 2022 and 15.9% YOY, with 259,166 properties in the process of foreclosure in Q2 2022. This is the third consecutive quarter of increases since the national foreclosure moratorium was lifted in July 2021. “The incidence of zombie-foreclosures tends to be higher in cases where the foreclosure process has dragged on for…

Prices Are Up In Distressed Neighborhoods Due To Soaring HPI And Low Inventory Elsewhere

Home prices rose in Q1 2022 for the majority of Opportunity Zones, with the pace of gains in half of all zones besting quarterly and annual increases across the nation, ATTOM reported. Opportunity Zones are areas targeted for economic improvement, defined in the Tax Act legislation as census tracts in or alongside low-income neighborhoods that meet specific criteria for redevelopment. ATTOM analyzed 5,092 zones in the U.S. that had at least five home sales in Q1 2022. The report found that median single-family home and condo prices increased in 55% of zones between Q4 2021 and Q1 2022. In 50%, prices rose by at least 20%, despite the fact that the pace of increases slowed in Q1. “Home price trends…

American Equity Shoots Up In Q1 2022

Just under half of all mortgaged residential properties in the U.S. were considered equity-rich in Q1 2022, up to 44.9% from 41.9% in Q4 2021 and 31.9% in Q1 2021, according to a new report from ATTOM. ATTOM’s U.S. Home Equity and Underwater Report shows that only one in 31 homes (3.2%) were considered seriously underwater in Q1 2022, about the same from last quarter but down significantly from 4.7% the year prior. “Homeowners continue to benefit from rising home prices,” said Rick Sharga, Executive Vice President of Market Intelligence for ATTOM.  “Record levels of home equity provide financial security for millions of families, and minimize the chance of another housing market crash like the one we saw in 2008.…

May Is The Best Time Of The Year To Sell A Home For Maximum Profit, CoreLogic Says

Selling a home in May, June, or July brings premiums of 10% or more above market value, according to a new analysis by ATTOM Data Solutions. ATTOM looked at home sales over the past eleven years to determine the best month to sell a home. It found that spring and summer are the most popular times for homebuying, giving sellers the best opportunity to make money on their homes. “April showers may bring May flowers, but May brings home sellers the best opportunities to watch their profits grow,” said Rick Sharga, Executive Vice President of Market Intelligence at ATTOM.  “Homeowners looking to maximize the price premium they can claim on their homes should sell their properties in May, June, and…