Delinquencies Improved In Q2, But The Future Looks Bleak

Mortgage delinquencies improved in the second quarter of 2023, but homeowners face increasing credit stress as the year drags on. The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that the delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties fell to a seasonally adjusted rate of 3.37% of all loans outstanding at the end of Q2 2023, down 9 bps from Q1 and 27 bps YOY.  This is the lowest level on MBA’s record, which dates back to 1979.  “Buoyed by a resilient job market, homeowners are continuing to make their mortgage payments,” said Marina Walsh, CMB, MBA’s Vice President of Industry Analysis.  Foreclosure actions also dipped by 3 bps to 0.13%, and foreclosure inventory is down from last quarter. But Walsh pointed…

Monthly Bills Straining Americans’ Finances

As inflation ravages American bank accounts, monthly bills are becoming a strain on homeowners’ finances. New data from fintech doxo shows that the average U.S. household spends 35% of their median income on essential household bills– roughly $2,046 per month, and $25,000 a year. But the actual impact varies hugely by state. Doxo analyzed typical household bills such as auto loans, utilities, cable and internet, and alarms and security, along with a monthly mortgage payment or rent, to gauge a state’s affordability. Hawaii, the most expensive state for household bills, sits at a markup of 50% above the national average. At the other end of the spectrum is West Virginia at -25.2% below that average. “As consumers navigate their household…

Capitol Hill News Pushes Rates Up

Mortgage rates increased again last week due to a heap of political and financial news. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.57%, up from 6.39% the week prior. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.10%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage rose from 5.75% to 5.97%. A year ago, it averaged 4.31%. Daily average rates even exceeded 7% on May 25, hitting their highest level since November. “The U.S. economy is showing continued resilience which, combined with debt ceiling concerns, led to higher mortgage rates this week,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  At the current rate, 6.57%, Redfin reported that the typical buyer’s monthly mortgage payment amounts to $2,614, a…

Mortgage Applications Rose After May’s FOMC Meeting

Mortgage applications rose last week across the board as rates dipped in the wake of positive news from the Fed. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – increased by 6.3%, changing course after last week’s 1.2% decrease. Adjusted purchase applications rose by 5%, while the unadjusted index was up 5.3% from the week before and 32% lower YOY. The average interest rate for 30-year fixed loans dipped from 6.50% to 6.48%. Refinances also showed movement, up 10% from the week prior. They remain 44% lower than the same time last year, however, comprising only 28% of total applications. In the past decade, refis averaged 58% of…

Entry-Level Home Prices Still Hot As Competition Sizzles

First-time buyers are still living in last year’s housing market thanks to limited affordable inventory, leading to tight competition and soaring prices. A new report from Zillow found that typical home values for the least-expensive one-third of houses rose by 8% YOY, or $13,000. In comparison, mid-level homes saw a 3% YOY increase, and the most expensive one-third of houses lost value, experiencing a 1% drop. This is the first loss of value for the top tier since at least 2012. “Buyers shopping for the least-expensive homes this spring aren’t noticing much difference from the pandemic-era market heat,” said Skylar Olsen, Zillow’s chief economist. “Competition is fierce, but there aren’t many homes for sale, so buyers should be patient but…

Mortgage Rates Declined Again, But Buyers Are Still Hesitant

The average mortgage rate declined for another week, giving buyers planning to finance a home this spring a little more bang for their buck. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.28%, down from 6.32% the week prior. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 4.27%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage increased, however, from 5.56% to 5.64%. A year ago, it averaged 3.91%. “Mortgage rates continue to trend down entering the traditional spring homebuying season,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. Retreating rates aren’t enough to bring buyers priced out of the market back. Mortgage application volume, which had ticked up when rates first began declining, is dropping again as buyers contend…

The Luck Of The Irish: Average Rate Down, Daily Rate Below 6%

Prospective homebuyers may be benefiting from the luck of the Irish this week as mortgage rates fall. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate averaged 6.60%, down from 6.73% the week prior. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 4.16%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage dipped from 5.95% to 5.90%. A year ago, it averaged 3.39%. “Mortgage rates are down following an increase of more than half a percent over five consecutive weeks,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “Turbulence in the financial markets is putting significant downward pressure on rates, which should benefit borrowers in the short term. During times of high mortgage rate volatility, homebuyers would greatly benefit from shopping…

Rates Move Closer To 7% After Bleak Powell Comments

Mortgage rates moved closer to 7% after bleak news from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell this week. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate averaged 6.73%, up from 6.65% the week prior. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.85%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage rose from 5.89% to 5.95%. A year ago, it averaged 3.09%. “Mortgage rates continue their upward trajectory as the Federal Reserve signals a more aggressive stance on monetary policy,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “Overall, consumers are spending in sectors that are not interest rate sensitive, such as travel and dining out. However, rate-sensitive sectors, such as housing, continue to be adversely affected. As a result,…

Research Provides Mixed Projections For Mortgage Market

By SCOTT KIMBLER It’s a mixed bag when it comes to predictions for the mortgage market as the economy continues to balance out after the pandemic. ATTOM recently held a conference where research performed by their company, Altos Research, and others were compiled to provide a more complete picture of what the remainder of 2023 may look like in terms of new home construction, home sales, and mortgage rates. Inflation, the job market, supply and demand, as well as the steady rising of rates by the Federal Reserve, along with other factors, were taken into account. Unlike some predictions of 2023 that paint a picture of a distraught housing market, this research shows the year as having mortgage challenges, but…

Million-Dollar Homes Are Disappearing In Some American Metros

The number of million-dollar U.S. homes has dropped dramatically from a record high last year. They now account for 7% of all U.S. houses, down from 8.6% in June 2022, according to an analysis by Dana Anderson at Redfin. This could signal a reversal in the housing market, at least on the luxury side. Prices soared so high and so fast that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac raised their lending limits to $1 million in some metros back in 2021. The 18% hike was the highest single jump since at least 1970, outpacing the 15.9% increase seen in 2006. The exception to the current trend is Florida, which now has more homes worth $1 million than it did last year…