Rate lock volumes increased across the board in January, finally breaking a nine-month downward streak, as buyers began stepping out before the spring season.
Lock volumes rose 32% last month, according to Black Knight’s Originations Market Report.
“Mortgage rates declined in January, continuing a trend that began in early November 2022. Conforming rates dropped 36 basis points from where they were at the start of the year, and we saw that rates associated with those FHA/VA/jumbo locks all came down in kind,” said Kevin McMahon, president of Optimal Blue, a division of Black Knight.
“Triggered by this pullback, rate lock volumes rose for the first time since March 2022, driven by declining interest rates and seasonal tailwinds, snapping a nine-month…
Home sales plummeted by 35% in November but there are early signs that demand may be picking up. Redfin’s latest data found that home sales dropped 35.1% YOY in November on a seasonally-adjusted basis. High buying costs kept both buyers and sellers on the sidelines. “Rates have declined significantly over the past six weeks, which is helpful for potential homebuyers, but new data indicates homeowners are hesitant to list their homes,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist, noted. “Many of those homeowners are carefully weighing their options as more than two-thirds of current homeowners have a fixed mortgage rate of below four percent.” Sellers have hesitated to put their homes on the market, knowing they’ll have to buy a new…
Mortgage loan application volume rose again, with refinances up 6% as interest rates hit a three-month low, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey. Refinances remain 85% lower than the same time last year, however, comprising 31.3% of total applications. Purchases took a hit with the adjusted purchase and unadjusted purchase indices down by 0.1% and 3%, respectively. The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances fell from 6.42% to 6.34%, its lowest point since September. Despite that, the adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased by just 0.9%. “This is a particularly slow time of year for homebuying, so it is not surprising that purchase applications did not…
Home price drops are up more than 95% from last year as the market cooldown continues into fall, according to HouseCanary’s latest Market Pulse report. The report compares data between August 2021 and August 2022 and is an ongoing review of insights from HouseCanary’s platform. The data shows that the monthly nationwide supply continues shrinking as interest rates increase. Combined with seasonal slowdown after the spring and summer buying seasons, net new listing volume and contract volume fell YOY across all price points. “The nationwide supply shortage accelerated by the Fed’s rate hikes and economic concerns persisted through the end of the summer despite a slight increase in inventory back in June,” said Jeremy Sicklick, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer…
Mortgage loan application volume fell last week, with both refis and purchase applications falling as interest rates hit their highest point since mid-June, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows. The adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased by 0.8%. The adjusted purchase index fell 1%, while the unadjusted purchase index dropped 3% and was 23% lower YOY. The refinance index dropped by 1% and made up 30.7% of total applications, down 83% from the same time last year. “Mortgage rates moved higher over the course of last week as markets continued to re-assess the prospects for the economy and the path of monetary policy, with expectations for short-term rates to move and stay higher…
Home price appreciation is leveling out on a national level, but zooming in on price points and regions reveals a more complex picture, according to new data from the AEI Housing Center. The center looked at how home price appreciation is changing, first by price tier and then by specific metros and geography. While June home price appreciation dropped to nearly zero month-over-month nationally, the story is completely different when analyzing these two metrics. In the first, the Center divided home sales into four price tiers based on their access to leverage. Doing so revealed that appreciation is slowing across all tiers, especially when it comes to the highest level. High-price tier homes were the first to show a negative…
Home price appreciation slowed for the second month straight in June, but remains in the high double-digits. CoreLogic’s Home Price Index found that home prices increased by 18.3% YOY in June, the 125th month of consecutive annual price growth. This is down from May’s 20.2% YOY increase. CoreLogic attributes the cool-off to reduced buyer demand from rising interest rates and concerns about the economy. Month-over-month, prices are down 0.6%. “Signs of a broader slowdown in the housing market are evident, as home price growth decelerated for the second consecutive month. This is in line with our previous expectations and given the notable cooling of buyer demand due to higher mortgage rates and the resulting increased cost of homeownership,” said Selma…
Home price growth saw the largest single-month slowdown on record since at least the 1970s in June, coinciding with a huge increase in inventory, according to Black Knight’s most recent Mortgage Monitor Report. Annual home price growth fell from 19.3% to 17.3% between May and June. “For context, during the 2006 downturn the strongest single-month slowing was 1.19 percentage points – about what we saw last month – and June topped that by 66%,” said Black Knight Data & Analytics President Ben Graboske. However, while the slowdown was historic, home price growth would need to fall at this pace for a while yet before annual price appreciation returned to 5%. “Still, while this was the sharpest cooling on record nationally,…
Home price growth saw its largest single-month slowdown since 2006 in May as inventory begins to correct, according to Black Knight’s May Mortgage Monitor Report. May was the second straight month of prices cooling across the country. Home price growth slowed in 97 of the U.S.’s 100 largest housing markets. The national appreciation rate fell by more than a whole point YOY. “[W]hile any talk of home values and 2006 might set off alarm bells for some, the truth is that price gains would need to see deceleration at this rate for more than 12 months just to get us back to a ‘normal’ 3-5% annual growth rate,” said Black Knight Data & Analytics President Ben Graboske. “That said, the…
Annual home price appreciation dipped slightly in April, the first decline in months and a sign that the housing market is finally pumping the brakes. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index, which measures average home prices, found that home prices rose by 20.4% YOY, decelerating from March’s read of 20.6%. Though it’s not a drastic fall, the numbers suggest that rising mortgage rates and increasing costs associated with buying a home are deterring buyers. The last time prices decelerated was in November of 2021. “April 2022 showed initial (although inconsistent) signs of a deceleration in the growth rate of U.S. home prices,” said Craig Lazzara, managing director at S&P DJI. “We continue to observe very broad strength in the housing market,…
