Housing Market Pessimism Reaches New Heights

Consumer sentiment towards home buying fell in March, pushed down by rising interest rates and difficult conditions generally, according to Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index. The HPSI decreased by 2.1 points to 73.2, with four of its six components down month-over-month. The full index is down 8.5 points YOY. In March, 69% of respondents said they expect mortgage rates to keep rising, a survey-high. At the same time, the “Good Time To Buy” component tanked to a survey low, with 73% saying it’s a bad time to buy. “This month, we also saw a survey-high share of consumers expecting their financial situations to worsen over the next year; this was especially true among current homeowners,” said Mark Palim, Fannie…

Morning Roundup (3/7/2022)– America’s Most Expensive Home, Fannie Mae HPSI

Good Morning! Today is Monday, March 7. Ukrainian resistance stalled Russian forces this weekend, driving them from the port city of Mykolaiv. This morning, Russia launched an artillery barrage there. Tornadoes in Iowa killed seven people and destroyed dozens of homes. The Mortgage Note Reports America’s Most Expensive Home Sets Record At Auction, New Owner Revealed: A Bel Air megamansion that was listed on the market for $295 million has been purchased at auction by the 40-year-old CEO of Fashion Nova. Fannie HPSI: Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index rose this month despite consumers’ surly attitudes toward home prices and rising interest rates. loanDepot Promotion: Min Kim has been promoted to EVP, Marketing and Analytics at loanDepot. And in other…

HPSI Up Despite Consumer Concerns Over Home Prices And Mortgage Rates

More consumers than ever think mortgage rates and home prices will continue to rise, according to Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI). The HPSI rose by 3.5 points to 75.3 in February, with five of the index’s six components increasing month-over-month despite respondents’ surly attitude towards home prices and interest rates. However, the full index dropped 1.2 points year-over-year (YOY). The “Good Time to Buy” component is still hovering near its record low, with consumers saying they are deterred from homebuying by high prices. Respondents to the survey said they feel an improved sense of job security, but a significantly greater share– 67%, a record high for the HPSI– assume mortgage rates will rise higher. The report notes this…

Morning Roundup (2/8/2022)– UWM Lawsuit, HPSI

Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, February 8. The Supreme Court reinstated Alabama’s congressional map, which a lower court had said hurts Black voters. Vladimir Putin met with President Emmanuel Macron of France but did not rule out a Ukraine invasion. The budget airlines Frontier and Spirit plan to merge. The Mortgage Note Reports UWM Sues Brokerage in Effort to Enforce its ‘Anti-American’ Restrictions on Lenders. UWM’s Mat Ishbia is defending his company’s decision to slap America’s Moneyline with a $2.8 million lawsuit over its decision to violate UWM’s restrictions on working with Rocket and Fairway Independent. AML’s Shawn Nevin calls it ‘anti-American.’ $53 Million Agreement With Fannie Mae To Help Rebuild Communities Of Color In Metro Areas: Fair housing organizations throughout the…

Affordability Challenges Push Housing Sentiment Down

Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) fell 2.4 points to 71.8 in January, its lowest level since May 2020, the GSE reported. The full index is down 5.9 points year-over-year. Affordability concerns drove sentiment down, with four of the index’s six components falling month-over-month. Only 25% of respondents said they believed it’s a good time to buy a home, an all-time low for the survey, while 69% said it’s a good time to sell. “Consumer sentiment toward housing softened further in January – the HPSI fell 2.4 points to 71.8 – as affordability and supply constraints continue to limit home purchase opportunities, particularly among younger households,” said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae Senior Vice President and Chief Economist. Younger consumers…

HPSI Suggests A Slower Housing Market In 2022

Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) fell 0.5 points to 74.2 in December, the GSE reported. Three of the index’s six components fell month-over-month as consumers once again reported pessimistic views on the homebuying market. Year-over-year, the index rose by 0.2. A record-low 26% of respondents reported they believe it’s a good time to buy a home, while 76% said it’s a good time to sell.  This is a drastic drop from December 2020, when 50% said it was a good time to sell and 52% said it was a good time to buy. Month-over-month, the share of consumers that reported it’s a bad time to buy a home rose from 64% to 66%, while the net share of…

Most Consumers Don’t Think The Economy Is On The “Right Track”

Consumers continued to feel pessimistic about the housing market in October, reporting mixed feelings about buying and selling homes and worries over the economy overall. Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index stayed relatively flat, rising only one point in October to 75.5. The index’s six components increased month-over-month (MOM) but are down 6.2 points year-over-year (YOY.)  A somewhat larger group of consumers from last month said it’s a good time to buy a home (30%, +2%) or sell a home (77%, +3%), and report they expect mortgages will increase over the next 12 months. The net share of respondents who say it’s a good time to buy a home rose 3% MOM. The share of respondents who expect home prices…

High Home Prices Driving HPSI Down

Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) fell 1.2 points to 74.5 in September. Three of the index’s six components dropped month-over-month. The full index is down 6.5 points year-over-year. More consumers, 66%, reported that it’s a bad time to buy a home in September than in August, when 63% of respondents said the same. Only 28% said they believe it’s a good time to buy. The home-selling conditions component stayed flat, as a majority of consumers reported they believe it’s a good time to sell. “The HPSI declined slightly this month but remains within the general bounds we’ve seen since the end of last year,” said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae Senior Vice President and Chief Economist.  “The survey’s story…

HPSI Stays Flat, But Buyers Are Optimistic About The Future

As the housing market cools slightly and prices trend downward, consumers feel more positive about their homebuying prospects, according to Fannie Mae’s August Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI). The HPSI is a national telephone survey that polls 1,000 consumers a month about owning or renting a home, price changes, the economy, and overall consumer confidence. The results can help predict future housing outcomes. The HPSI was essentially unchanged in August, falling 0.1 points to 75.7, but the survey revealed that buyers are starting to feel more optimistic about the housing market. For the first time since March, more respondents said they believe it’s a good time to buy a home, rising from 28% to 32%. The percentage of those who…