Morning Roundup (5/9/2022)– Consumer Sentiment Down, Refi Closing Costs

Good Morning! Today is Monday, May 9. Today is Victory Day, a holiday in Russia that has become a celebration of military might. Jill Biden made an unannounced visit to western Ukraine and met with the nation’s First Lady. A shortage of baby formula in the U.S. is causing some retailers to limit how much customers can buy. The Mortgage Note Reports Sentiment Down: Consumers across the country continue to report difficult homebuying conditions, Editor Kimberley Haas writes. OriginPoint Hire: John Stewart is joining OriginPoint as its new EVP of National Sales. Refi Closing Costs: The national average closing costs for a refinance in 2021 were up $88 from 2020 but were still less than 1% of the average refinance loan amount. And in other mortgage and housing news… NAR…

Housing Market Pessimism Reaches New Heights

Consumer sentiment towards home buying fell in March, pushed down by rising interest rates and difficult conditions generally, according to Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index. The HPSI decreased by 2.1 points to 73.2, with four of its six components down month-over-month. The full index is down 8.5 points YOY. In March, 69% of respondents said they expect mortgage rates to keep rising, a survey-high. At the same time, the “Good Time To Buy” component tanked to a survey low, with 73% saying it’s a bad time to buy. “This month, we also saw a survey-high share of consumers expecting their financial situations to worsen over the next year; this was especially true among current homeowners,” said Mark Palim, Fannie…

Morning Roundup (3/28/2022)– Consumer Sentiment

Good Morning! Today is Monday, March 28. The White House will propose a 20% minimum tax on households worth more than $100 million. Russian and Ukrainian delegations will hold another round of peace talks in Turkey. Troy Kotsur became the first deaf man to win an acting Oscar for his role in “CODA,” which also won Best Picture. The Mortgage Note Reports Debt And Inflation Impacting The Housing Market: The pandemic has driven many people deeper into credit card debt. That, along with rising interest rates and inadequate housing stock, is reducing the number of new mortgages, Gregory Bresiger reports. Consumer Sentiment: Consumer sentiment fell again in March, hitting its lowest level since August 2011 thanks to rising rates, war, and inflation.…

Consumer Sentiment Down To Its Lowest Point Since 2011

March brought another dip in consumer sentiment, with the University of Michigan’s index registering its lowest level since August 2011. The March index was revised down to 59.4 from a reading of 59.7 two weeks ago. An index of 100 is equal to sentiment in Q1 1966. A year ago at this time, the index was 84.9. Consumer sentiment is now down 41.6 points from its peak in February 2020 and is even below the lows seen in four of the last six recessions.  “When asked to explain changes in their finances in their own words, more consumers mentioned reduced living standards due to rising inflation than any other time except during the two worst recessions in the past fifty…

HPSI Up Despite Consumer Concerns Over Home Prices And Mortgage Rates

More consumers than ever think mortgage rates and home prices will continue to rise, according to Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI). The HPSI rose by 3.5 points to 75.3 in February, with five of the index’s six components increasing month-over-month despite respondents’ surly attitude towards home prices and interest rates. However, the full index dropped 1.2 points year-over-year (YOY). The “Good Time to Buy” component is still hovering near its record low, with consumers saying they are deterred from homebuying by high prices. Respondents to the survey said they feel an improved sense of job security, but a significantly greater share– 67%, a record high for the HPSI– assume mortgage rates will rise higher. The report notes this…

HPSI Suggests A Slower Housing Market In 2022

Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) fell 0.5 points to 74.2 in December, the GSE reported. Three of the index’s six components fell month-over-month as consumers once again reported pessimistic views on the homebuying market. Year-over-year, the index rose by 0.2. A record-low 26% of respondents reported they believe it’s a good time to buy a home, while 76% said it’s a good time to sell.  This is a drastic drop from December 2020, when 50% said it was a good time to sell and 52% said it was a good time to buy. Month-over-month, the share of consumers that reported it’s a bad time to buy a home rose from 64% to 66%, while the net share of…

Most Consumers Don’t Think The Economy Is On The “Right Track”

Consumers continued to feel pessimistic about the housing market in October, reporting mixed feelings about buying and selling homes and worries over the economy overall. Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index stayed relatively flat, rising only one point in October to 75.5. The index’s six components increased month-over-month (MOM) but are down 6.2 points year-over-year (YOY.)  A somewhat larger group of consumers from last month said it’s a good time to buy a home (30%, +2%) or sell a home (77%, +3%), and report they expect mortgages will increase over the next 12 months. The net share of respondents who say it’s a good time to buy a home rose 3% MOM. The share of respondents who expect home prices…