Morning Roundup (1/17/2022)– Commercial, Multifamily Delinquencies Down In Q4 2021

Good Morning! Today is Monday, January 17. It’s Martin Luther King Day, and markets are closed. Martin Luther King Jr.’s family will lead a march for voting rights today in DC as congressional Democrats vow to press ahead with legislation. The public can begin ordering free at-home rapid Covid-19 tests through a new government website on Wednesday. Four hostages at a Texas synagogue were freed on Saturday, and their captor killed. And in mortgage and housing news… C&M Delinquencies Fall: Delinquency rates for commercial and multifamily mortgages fell during Q4 2021, according to the MBA. Affordability Down: Housing affordability fell slightly in November, according to NAR’s Housing Affordability Index. Home Sales Fell In December: The stock shortage drove home sales…

Morning Roundup (1/14/2022)– Forbearance Exits Remain High, Rates Hit 3.45%

Good Morning! Today is Friday, January 14. The Supreme Court blocked the Biden administration from enforcing a vaccine-or-testing mandate for large employers. Australia canceled Novak Djokovic’s visa for a second time, days before the Australian Open. The leader of the far-right Oath Keepers militia was charged with seditious conspiracy in the Capitol riot investigation. And in mortgage and housing news… Forbearance Exits Remain High: Of single-family homeowners who entered Covid-19 related forbearance, 89% have now exited their plans, according to Black Knight. Rates Climb Again: Mortgage rates jumped significantly this week, up to an average of 3.45% from 3.22%, Freddie Mac reported. Vice Chairwoman: President Biden will nominate Sarah Bloom Raskin, a former top Treasury Department official, to serve as…

Morning Roundup (1/13/2022)– Foreclosure Filing All-Time Low, Mortgage Applications Up

Good Morning! Today is Thursday, January 13. Donald Trump endorsed booster shots and said politicians who hid their vaccination status were “gutless.” Kevin McCarthy, the top House Republican, said he would not cooperate with the House committee investigating the Capitol riot. More than 8,000 unionized employees at Kroger’s King Soopers stores in Denver went on strike on Wednesday. And in mortgage and housing news… Mortgage Applications Up: Mortgage loan application volume rose 1.4% from last week, though refis once again fell, MBA reported. All-Time Low: ATTOM’s Year-End Foreclosure Market Report found foreclosure filings dropped to an all-time low in 2021, down 95% from a peak of nearly 2.9 million in 2010. Forty-Year High: The BLS’s Consumer Price Index reported that…

Morning Roundup (1/10/2022)– UWM In-Office Fight Continues, Fraud Costs Rising

Good Morning! Today is Monday, January 10. A fire in a Bronx apartment building killed at least nineteen people. Russian forces have surrounded Ukraine on three sides as diplomats meet in Geneva for talks. “Power of the Dog” and “Succession” won top honors at the Golden Globes, which did not air this year due to criticism over ethical lapses and a lack of diversity. And in mortgage and housing news… Are UWM Workers Being Unreasonable?: United Wholesale Mortgage turned heads in the industry last week when it was reported that health officials are investigating the company after receiving complaints about how they are handling COVID, which lead some people to ask why employees in lending are expected to be in…

HPSI Suggests A Slower Housing Market In 2022

Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) fell 0.5 points to 74.2 in December, the GSE reported. Three of the index’s six components fell month-over-month as consumers once again reported pessimistic views on the homebuying market. Year-over-year, the index rose by 0.2. A record-low 26% of respondents reported they believe it’s a good time to buy a home, while 76% said it’s a good time to sell.  This is a drastic drop from December 2020, when 50% said it was a good time to sell and 52% said it was a good time to buy. Month-over-month, the share of consumers that reported it’s a bad time to buy a home rose from 64% to 66%, while the net share of…

Morning Roundup (1/7/2022)– Rates Climb To Highest Level Since May 2020

Good Morning! Today is Friday, December 7. President Biden accused Donald Trump of spreading a “web of lies about the 2020 election.” The Supreme Court will hear arguments today in cases challenging the Biden administration’s vaccine mandates. Canada’s ban on conversion therapy takes effect today. And in mortgage and housing news… Rates Climb: Mortgage rates rose to their highest level since May 2020, up to an average of 3.22%, Freddie Mac reported. Forbearances Improve: Active forbearance plans dropped by 8% in the first week of January, according to Black Knight’s blog, Vision.  December Jobs: The US economy added just 199,000 jobs in December, far below economists’ expectations of 422,000 gains. FHFA Changes Explained: The FHFA this week announced loan-level price…

Forbearances Plans Drop In First Week Of 2022

Active forbearance plans dropped by 73,000 (-8%) in the first week of January, according to Black Knight’s blog, Vision.  The number of loans in forbearance fell across all categories, led by a 30,000 plan decrease in FHA/VA loans (-10%). Forbearances on loans held by portfolios and PSLs fell by 17,000 (-8%) and GSE loans fell by 27,000 (-19%). The number of active plans is down 123,000 (-13%) from last month. Additional declines are expected with 61,000 plans still listed as extension/removal in December 2021, of which 25,000 are expected to expire. An additional 186,000 plans are up for extension or removal in January, though less a third are expected to expire. Forbearance plan starts ticked up once again, continuing a…

Morning Roundup (1/6/2022)– Rocket Leadership Changeup, Second Home Demand Remains High

Good Morning! Today is Thursday, January 6. It’s the anniversary of the January 6 riot, and President Biden will speak today on steps to strengthen democracy in the US. A Philadelphia fire left at least thirteen dead and two hospitalized. The CDC recommended Pfizer boosters for children aged twelve and up. And in mortgage and housing news… Check Out The Photos!: These are the most expensive homes in 2022’s hottest housing markets. Second Home Demand Stays High: December demand for vacation homes topped pre-pandemic levels by 77% as affluent Americans continue to take advantage of remote work and low-interest rates. But it’s so hard to get into the game, some people are comparing it to finding their way into an…

Morning Roundup (12/21/2021)– ESR Boosts 2021 Expectations, Lowers 2022

Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, December 21. President Biden will give a speech today outlining his plans to combat the Omicron variant. Omicron accounts for about 75% of new cases in the US. The E.P.A. will require new cars to get 55 miles per gallon starting in 2026. And in mortgage and housing news… Forbearances Improved In November: The total number of loans in forbearance fell from 2.06% of servicers’ portfolio volume to 1.67% in November, according to MBA’s Loan Monitoring Survey. ESR Expectations Change: Commentary from Fannie’s ESR Group showed the year ending on a strong note, with 2021 total home sales for rising 7.1%, but lowered its prediction for 2022’s GDP due to inflation concerns. CFPB, DOJ Warning…

2021 Finishes Strong, But Inflationary Concerns Weaken 2022 Projections

The Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group boosted its expectation for full-year 2021 economic growth to 5.5% in its December commentary, up 0.7% from November’s projection. The group cited “stronger-than-anticipated consumer spending and inventory investment data” as the reason for its revised projection. Total home sales are now expected to increase 7.1% in 2021 rather than 5.3%. Total mortgage originations are expected to be $4.5 trillion, up from $4.4 trillion. But it also revised its 2022 expectations, downgrading its 2022 growth forecast from 3.7% to 3.2%. Though recent data appears strong, the group noted it “likely reflects a pull-forward of activity from the first half of 2022 and is unlikely to be sustained.” Inflation is the primary reason…