Home Prices Saw Largest Ever Annual Gains In February 2022

Home prices rose 1.84% in February and 19.6% year-over-year, the largest annual gains on record, according to Black Knight’s Monthly Mortgage Monitor Report. The 1.84% increase is nearly four times the 25-year average for the month and marks the 14th consecutive month of greater than 1% price growth. The average home has now increased in value by more than 34% since February 2020. All of the markets analyzed by Black Knight experienced double-digit annual home price growth in February 2022. Three-quarters of them saw continued acceleration of appreciation. Home price growth cooled off briefly last fall but reaccelerated in winter despite rising rates. Affordability is now at its lowest ever point outside of 2004-2007. The monthly principal and interest payment…

Morning Roundup (4/4/2022)– Young Buyers Priced Out In 2022

Good Morning! Today is Monday, April 4. Ukraine accused Russian forces of executing civilians in a Kyiv suburb before retreating. At least six people were killed after gunfire erupted in downtown Sacramento, California. Tesla CEO Elon Musk disclosed a 9% stake in Twitter. The Mortgage Note Reports Young Buyers Priced Out: The share of younger home buyers is declining after peaking in 2020, but is higher in more affordable metros. Geneva CCO: Kelly Singh has joined direct mortgage lender Geneva Financial as its Chief Compliance Officer. In Case You Missed It: People in the mortgage and real estate industries are speculating on whether 2022 will be a year of growth or the start of the end for a red-hot market…

Morning Roundup (4/1/2022)– Rates, Forbearances Up

Good Morning! Today is Friday, April 1. Russia’s defense ministry announced a cease-fire in Mariupol. The U.S. imposed new sanctions on Russian technology companies. The House passed a bill to limit the cost of insulin to $35 a month, sending it to the Senate. The Mortgage Note Reports Rates Rise: Mortgage rates jumped again to an average of 4.67%. Forbearances Up Slightly: Forbearances rose slightly again last week, though new plan starts dropped to 10,100, the lowest level in four months. And in other mortgage and housing news… Jobs Report: The unemployment rate fell to 3.6% in March, while payrolls saw big gains, according to Labor Department data. Listing In April: Homes listed for sale in the second half of…

Rates Hit 4.67%

Mortgage rates jumped again to an average of 4.67%, up from last week’s 4.42%, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.67%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.18%. “Mortgage rates continued moving upward in the face of rapidly rising inflation as well as the prospect of strong demand for goods and ongoing supply disruptions,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “Purchase demand has weakened modestly but has continued to outpace expectations. This is largely due to unmet demand from first-time homebuyers as well as a select few who had been waiting for rates to hit a cyclical low.” Though refinance applications continue dropping,…

Refi Applications Down 60% YOY As Rates Rise

Mortgage loan application volume fell by 6.8% last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey shows. The adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, dropped by 6.8%. The adjusted purchase index rose by 1%, while the unadjusted purchase index rose 1% and was 10% lower YOY. The refinance index fell 15% and was down 60% YOY. Refinances made up just 40.6% of total applications, down from 44.8%. Mortgage rates hit a three-year high at 4.80%, putting further pressure on dwindling refinances. “Not surprisingly, refinance application volume declined further, as fewer borrowers have an incentive to apply at rates that are significantly higher than a year ago,” said Mike Fratantoni, MBA Senior Vice President and Chief…

Morning Roundup (3/29/2022)– Biden’s Budget Proposal, Condo Prices Up

Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, March 29. Biden said he was expressing “moral outrage”, not policy, when he said Putin “cannot remain in power.” A federal judge concluded that Donald Trump most likely committed felonies by trying to overturn the 2020 election. Will Smith apologized to Chris Rock for slapping him at the Oscars. The Mortgage Note Reports Russia’s Attack On Ukraine Felt By Builders In America: Some experts say there will be ramifications in the home and commercial markets, Chuck Green reports. Budget Response: The Biden administration’s budget proposal includes big money for housing, which the CHLA says reaffirms the need to scrap its Life of Loan policy. Condo Explosion: Condo prices have hit a record high – up…

Condo Prices Hit Record High As Shoppers Seek Affordable Options

Condo prices hit a record high– $319,000, up 14.6% YOY and 22.7% from before the pandemic— as buyers priced out of the single-family market turn towards more affordable options, Redfin reported. This is a turn-around from the beginning of the pandemic when American buyers wanted to avoid crowded areas, causing condo sales to drop by 48%.  But as pandemic fears subside and home shoppers face stock shortages and price appreciation in the single-family market, condos are making a comeback. Gen Z in particular is reviving urban hotspots assumed to be dying out due to Covid-19. “Big cities are appealing for a host of reasons—big cities offer diverse job opportunities. Big cities offer many amenities that are not available in smaller…

Morning Roundup (3/28/2022)– Consumer Sentiment

Good Morning! Today is Monday, March 28. The White House will propose a 20% minimum tax on households worth more than $100 million. Russian and Ukrainian delegations will hold another round of peace talks in Turkey. Troy Kotsur became the first deaf man to win an acting Oscar for his role in “CODA,” which also won Best Picture. The Mortgage Note Reports Debt And Inflation Impacting The Housing Market: The pandemic has driven many people deeper into credit card debt. That, along with rising interest rates and inadequate housing stock, is reducing the number of new mortgages, Gregory Bresiger reports. Consumer Sentiment: Consumer sentiment fell again in March, hitting its lowest level since August 2011 thanks to rising rates, war, and inflation.…

Consumer Sentiment Down To Its Lowest Point Since 2011

March brought another dip in consumer sentiment, with the University of Michigan’s index registering its lowest level since August 2011. The March index was revised down to 59.4 from a reading of 59.7 two weeks ago. An index of 100 is equal to sentiment in Q1 1966. A year ago at this time, the index was 84.9. Consumer sentiment is now down 41.6 points from its peak in February 2020 and is even below the lows seen in four of the last six recessions.  “When asked to explain changes in their finances in their own words, more consumers mentioned reduced living standards due to rising inflation than any other time except during the two worst recessions in the past fifty…

Pending Home Sales Down For Fourth Consecutive Month

Pending home sales dropped for the fourth month in a row in February, down 4.1% from January and 5.4% YOY, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported. NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI), which measures home sales using contract signings, fell in three of the major regions. The Northeast was the only region that saw an increase from January.  All four regions saw year-over-year declines. “Pending transactions diminished in February mainly due to the low number of homes for sale. Buyer demand is still intense, but it’s as simple as ‘one cannot buy what is not for sale,'” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist.  The Northeast PHSI rose 1.9% to 85.0 in February, down 9.2% YOY. In the Midwest, the…