Loan Apps Turn Down Again As Rates Breach 6.5%

Mortgage loan application volume returned to its downward trajectory, wiping out gains from last week as mortgage rates breached 6.5% for the first time since mid-2008, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey. The adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, dropped by 3.7%, effectively negating a 3.8% rise last week. The adjusted purchase index fell 0.4%, while the unadjusted purchase index decreased 1% and was 29% lower YOY. The refinance index dropped by 11% and was 84% lower than the same time last year. Refis made up 30.2% of total applications. “Applications for both purchase and refinances declined last week as mortgage rates continued to increase to multi-year highs following more aggressive policy measures…

Price Growth Cooled In July But Remains Elevated

Home price appreciation cooled in July though growth remained elevated from a year earlier, according to new data. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price NSA Index saw home prices decelerate, posting a 15.8% annual gain in July, down from 18.1% in the previous month. This is the largest monthly deceleration in the history of the index. “Although U.S. housing prices remain substantially above their year-ago levels, July’s report reflects a forceful deceleration,” said Craig J. Lazzara, Managing Director at S&P DJI. The 10-City Composite reported a 14.9% increase YOY, down from 17.4% in June, while the 20-City Composite rose by 16.1% YOY, down from 18.7%. July’s gains were less than June’s for each of the 20 cities analyzed. Tampa…

Mortgage Rates Up Full Quarter Point Over One Week

Mortgage rates jumped by a quarter point this week in the wake of another 75-point rate hike from the Central Bank, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 6.29%, up from 6.02% just last week. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.88%. “The housing market continues to face headwinds as mortgage rates increase again this week, following the 10-year Treasury yield’s jump to its highest level since 2011,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “Impacted by higher rates, house prices are softening, and home sales have decreased. However, the number of homes for sale remains well below normal levels.” Existing-home sales dropped for the…

Luxury Home Sales See Biggest Dip Since 2012

Luxury home sales tanked by 28.1% YOY in the three months ending August 31, the biggest drop since 2012, according to new Redfin data. The decline overtook even the 23.2% drop that happened at the beginning of the pandemic, when home sales slowed to a crawl in every area. Non-luxury home sales also fell by the largest margin on record, but in a far less dramatic drop of 19.5%, a change of 0.5%. The same stressors that are beating down the non-luxury market are impacting high-end buyers: low inventory, rising rates, and economic uncertainty. “High-end-house hunters are getting sticker shock when they see the impact of rising mortgage rates on paper. For a luxury buyer, a higher interest rate can…

Existing Home Sales Down 0.4% In August

Existing-home sales dropped for the seventh straight month in August, down 0.4% from July and 19.9% YOY, according to the National Association of Realtors’ most recent data. Sales fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.80 million and declined in every major region. Inventory of unsold homes fell 1.5% from July to 1.28 million, breaking a five-month streak of increases. This is a 3.2 months supply at the current sales pace. “The housing sector is the most sensitive to and experiences the most immediate impacts from the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy changes,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.  “The softness in home sales reflects this year’s escalating mortgage rates. Nonetheless, homeowners are doing well with near nonexistent distressed…

Loan Volume Up As Rates Rise To 6.25%

Mortgage loan application volume increased by 3.8% last week, breaking a multi-week pattern of steep declines, despite rates rising to their highest point since October 2008. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows that the adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, rose by 3.8%. The results include an adjustment for Labor Day. The adjusted purchase index rose 1%, while the unadjusted purchase index increased 11% and was 30% lower YOY. The refinance index rosed by 10% and was 83% lower than the same time last year. Refis made up 32.5% of total applications. “Treasury yields continued to climb higher last week in anticipation of the Federal Reserve’s September meeting, where it is expected that they…

Rates And Inflation Both Up Ahead of FOMC Meeting

Mortgage rates exceeded 6% last week for the first time since 2008, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 6.02%, up from 5.89% last week. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.86%. “Mortgage rates continued to rise alongside hotter-than-expected inflation numbers this week, exceeding six percent for the first time since late 2008,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  Inflation rose more than expected in August, up 8.3% YOY, though prices are down some from record highs earlier this year. Analysts had anticipated an 8.1% YOY increase. “Today’s evidence of a peak in US CPI might be welcome but the figure of 8.3% was…

New Jersey, Illinois, And California Have Most Markets At Risk For Declines

As the housing cooldown continues, New Jersey, Illinois, and inland California have the highest concentration of at-risk markets, according to a new report from ATTOM. The Special Housing Risk Report spotlights county-level housing markets that are more or less vulnerable to declines, based on affordability, unemployment, and other measures from Q2 2022. The largest clusters of at-risk markets are around the NYC and Chicago metros, while Southern and midwestern starts have the least at-risk markets. The top 50 at-risk markets include nine in and around New York City, six in the Chicago metro area, and 13 throughout the entirety of California. The rest are spread throughout the country, with three around Philadelphia. These counties have elevated levels of unaffordable housing,…

Morning Roundup (9/14/2022) – Rates Exceed 6%

Good Morning! Today is Wednesday, September 14.  The S&P 500 fell 4.3%, its biggest one-day drop in more than two years, partly in response to the inflation numbers. Senator Lindsey Graham introduced a bill to ban abortions nationwide after 15 weeks of pregnancy. West Virginia’s legislature passed a bill banning nearly all abortions.  The Mortgage Note Reports Rates Hit 6%: Mortgage loan application volume fell last week as mortgage rates topped 6% for the first time since 2008, nearly doubling YOY. MCCU VP: Denise Miller has been promoted to Vice President, Controller, at Monroe Community Credit Union. Share your promotions! Email Editor Kimberley Haas at [email protected]. In other mortgage and housing news… Producer Price Index: Wholesale prices fell slightly in August, a mild respite from inflation pressures that are threatening…

Rates Exceed 6%, Applications Tumble

Mortgage loan application volume fell last week as mortgage rates topped 6% for the first time since 2008, nearly doubling year over year. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows that the adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased by 1.2%. The adjusted purchase index rose 0.2%, while the unadjusted purchase index dropped 12% and was 29% lower YOY. The refinance index dropped by 4% and was 83% lower than the same time last year. Refis made up 30.2% of total applications. “Higher mortgage rates have pushed refinance activity down more than 80 percent from last year and have contributed to more homebuyers staying on the sidelines. Government loans, which tend to be favored by…