By CHUCK GREEN Builders in the United States are feeling the effects of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, leading some experts to say there will be ramifications in the home and commercial markets. “Already, retail gasoline and diesel prices have jumped by record amounts and reached record levels. Construction firms use large amounts of fuel for their own trucks and offroad equipment,” said Ken Simonson, Chief Economist of The Associated General Contractors of America. Doubling down on the notion that the conflict is putting builders in a sticky situation, Simonson said they pay directly through fuel surcharges. Costs are embedded in the thousands of deliveries of equipment and materials to job sites as well as the hauling away of dirt, debris,…
In its budget proposal this week, the Biden Administration allotted a 34% budget increase for the Department of Housing and Urban Development of $11.6 billion over the fiscal year of 2022. This proposed budget includes $32 billion for the Housing Choice Voucher Program and almost $2 billion for the HOME Investment Partnership, aimed at affordable housing strategies. The industry has so far applauded the budget for its investments in housing as affordability dwindles and many Americans struggle to find housing within their budget. “A president’s budget is a wish list of policy goals and ambitions,” Shannon McGahn, the National Association of Realtor’s chief advocacy officer, said. “Many changes will be made to this plan, but it is good news that…
Condo prices hit a record high– $319,000, up 14.6% YOY and 22.7% from before the pandemic— as buyers priced out of the single-family market turn towards more affordable options, Redfin reported. This is a turn-around from the beginning of the pandemic when American buyers wanted to avoid crowded areas, causing condo sales to drop by 48%. But as pandemic fears subside and home shoppers face stock shortages and price appreciation in the single-family market, condos are making a comeback. Gen Z in particular is reviving urban hotspots assumed to be dying out due to Covid-19. “Big cities are appealing for a host of reasons—big cities offer diverse job opportunities. Big cities offer many amenities that are not available in smaller…
Good Morning! Today is Monday, March 28. The White House will propose a 20% minimum tax on households worth more than $100 million. Russian and Ukrainian delegations will hold another round of peace talks in Turkey. Troy Kotsur became the first deaf man to win an acting Oscar for his role in “CODA,” which also won Best Picture. The Mortgage Note Reports Debt And Inflation Impacting The Housing Market: The pandemic has driven many people deeper into credit card debt. That, along with rising interest rates and inadequate housing stock, is reducing the number of new mortgages, Gregory Bresiger reports. Consumer Sentiment: Consumer sentiment fell again in March, hitting its lowest level since August 2011 thanks to rising rates, war, and inflation.…
March brought another dip in consumer sentiment, with the University of Michigan’s index registering its lowest level since August 2011. The March index was revised down to 59.4 from a reading of 59.7 two weeks ago. An index of 100 is equal to sentiment in Q1 1966. A year ago at this time, the index was 84.9. Consumer sentiment is now down 41.6 points from its peak in February 2020 and is even below the lows seen in four of the last six recessions. “When asked to explain changes in their finances in their own words, more consumers mentioned reduced living standards due to rising inflation than any other time except during the two worst recessions in the past fifty…
Pending home sales dropped for the fourth month in a row in February, down 4.1% from January and 5.4% YOY, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported. NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI), which measures home sales using contract signings, fell in three of the major regions. The Northeast was the only region that saw an increase from January. All four regions saw year-over-year declines. “Pending transactions diminished in February mainly due to the low number of homes for sale. Buyer demand is still intense, but it’s as simple as ‘one cannot buy what is not for sale,'” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. The Northeast PHSI rose 1.9% to 85.0 in February, down 9.2% YOY. In the Midwest, the…
Good Morning! Today is Friday, March 25. The U.S. imposed new sanctions on more than 300 members of Russia’s Parliament. Some journalists have quit jobs at Russian state media outlets, citing regret for promoting lies about the war. Arizona Republicans passed a bill banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy. The Mortgage Note Reports Rates Rise: Mortgage rates continued their upward march this week, averaging 4.42%. Forbearances Up: Forbearance plans rose for a second week, pushed up by plan re-starts, though new plan starts remained steady. And in other mortgage and housing news… Affordability Down: Homebuyer affordability decreased in February, with the national median payment applied for by applicants jumping 8.3% to $1,653. “We’re Concerned”: Liz Shuler, president of…
Mortgage rates continued their upward march this week, averaging 4.42%, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.42%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.17%. “This week, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased by more than a quarter of a percent as mortgage rates across all loan types continued to move up,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Rising inflation, escalating geopolitical uncertainty, and the Federal Reserve’s actions are driving rates higher and weakening consumers’ purchasing power. In short, the rise in mortgage rates, combined with continued house price appreciation, is increasing monthly mortgage payments and quickly affecting homebuyers’ ability to keep up with the…
Forbearance plans rose for a second week, according to Black Knight’s blog, Vision. Overall, forbearances rose by 17,400 (2.4%). Forborne loans held by portfolios and PSLs drove the week with an increase of 7,800 (3.3%). FHA/VA loans saw an increase of 5,000 (3.3%), while GSE plans rose by 4,500 (2%). Black Knight said this week’s numbers “extended their upward trend this week following a typical pattern of increased mid-month restarts.” New plan starts held steady this week at 11,200, though restarts increased by 6,000 to a total of 31,700. Plan volume is down 47,000 (-6%) month-over-month. The increase this week comes on the heels of a major drop in plans two weeks ago, so rates remain historically low. An analysis…
Good Morning! Today is Thursday, March 24. Madeleine Albright has died of cancer at age 84. President Biden landed in Brussels for three back-to-back meetings with G7 leaders, NATO allies, and the European Union. The Mortgage Note Reports Biden-Harris Tackle Equity In Lending And Appraisals: Vice President Kamala Harris joined officials from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development on Wednesday to announce the delivery of a plan aimed squarely at dismantling racial bias in the lending and appraisal process. New Home Sales: New home sales dropped in February for a second month, suggesting buyers are taking a step back thanks to high prices and rising mortgage rates. Housing Predictions: A panel of housing experts surveyed by Zillow said they don’t expect inventory or first-time…
