Inventory and first-time buyers won’t bounce back until 2024, according to Zillow’s Home Price Expectations Survey. The survey polled a panel of housing experts who said they anticipate for-sale inventory levels will take two years to climb back to pre-pandemic levels. Total inventory fell from a monthly average of just 1 million in 2021 and early 2022 figures aren’t looking any better, both down from 1.6 million units in 2018 and 2019. The largest group of Zillow’s respondents (38%) expect inventory to reach 1.5 million units or more in 2024, though the second largest group (36%) predicted 2023. “Inventory and mortgage rates will determine how far and how fast home prices will rise this year and beyond,” said Zillow senior…
New home sales dropped by 2% in February, declining for a second consecutive month, according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Purchase of new single-family homes fell to a 772,000 annualized rate, down from a revised rate of 788,000 in January and 6.2% lower than the expected rate of 823,000. These declines suggest American house hunters are taking a step back as interest rates and inflation rise. The South and West, two regions that have been quite popular with homebuyers in the last year, saw sales decline, while the less popular Northeast and Midwest saw an increase in sales. At month’s end, an estimated 407,000 new homes remained on the market,…
Good Morning! Today is Wednesday, March 23. Russia extended a law banning criticism of the government, and a court sentenced the opposition leader Aleksei Navalny to nine more years in prison. At least one person died last night after a tornado in the New Orleans area damaged homes and knocked out power. The Mortgage Note Reports Digital Real Estate: What Is It And Who Is Interested? Millions of dollars are being spent on digital real estate as investors take their money to the land of the Metaverse and Tyrone Townsend is taking a look at this new virtual opportunity. Applications Down: Mortgage loan application volume plummeted by another 8.1% last week as interest rates rise. IMB Profits Down:IMBs and mortgage…
Mortgage loan application volume plummeted by 8.1% last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey shows. The adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, dropped by 8.1%%. The adjusted purchase index fell 2%, while the unadjusted purchase index fell 1% and was 12% lower YOY. The refinance index fell a whopping 14% and was down 54% YOY. Refinances made up 44.8% of total applications. Mortgage interest rates jumped by 23 basis points last week, their largest weekly increase since March 2020, due to the Fed’s interest rate hike and the expectation of fewer MBS purchases, Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s Senior Vice President and Chief Economist, noted. “With mortgage rates now at 4.5%, compared to rates at…
Independent mortgage banks (IMBs) and mortgage subsidiaries of chartered banks made $1,099 on each originated loan in Q4 2021, dropping from Q3’s $2,594, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Quarterly Mortgage Bankers Performance Report. More than three-fourths (76%) of firms analyzed made a net profit in Q4, especially firms with servicing operations. Those benefited from slower prepayments and low delinquencies which boosted their MSR valuations. But it’s a decrease from Q3’s rate of 92%. Plus, if no firms in the study had servicing operations, only 58% would have made a net profit last quarter. “Production margins tightened substantially in the fourth quarter of 2021. After a two-year run of above-average profitability, pre-tax net production income per loan reached its…
Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, March 22. The U.S. is opposing Poland’s idea of sending troops into Ukraine. President Biden warned companies that Russia was considering cyberattacks in retaliation for sanctions. Miami Beach officials issued a curfew after two shootings during spring break. The Mortgage Note Reports Invasion Of Ukraine, Inflation To Take Toll On U.S. Housing Sector: Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and its implications for the global economy has some experts saying the housing market in the United States will be impacted. Soaring Housing Costs: The average monthly asking rent in the U.S. rose 15% YOY but were once again outpaced by mortgage payment growth, up 31% YOY. AIMI Falls: The Freddie Mac Multifamily Apartment Investment Market Index fell …
By KIMBERLEY HAAS Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and its implications for the global economy have some experts saying the housing market in the United States will be impacted because of growing inflation pressures and supply chain difficulties. The Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research Group now projects full-year 2022 real gross domestic product growth of 2.3%, down from last month’s projection of 2.8%. They have also increased their 30-year fixed mortgage rate forecast to 3.8% in 2022 and 3.9% in 2023. Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24. Just before the war began, inflation hit a 40-year high and the Federal Reserve was poised to begin a course of significant money tightening. According to the ESR Group, the task of enacting…
Investment opportunities in multifamily housing lost some steam in Q4 2021, with the Freddie Mac Multifamily Apartment Investment Market Index (AIMI) falling by 4.8% from Q3 and 2.4% year-over-year. AIMI analyzes multifamily rental income growth, property price growth, and mortgage rates to measure multifamily market investment conditions. A decline such as this indicates that attractive investment opportunities are becoming more difficult to find. The report suggests that record multifamily price appreciation and rising mortgage rates offset net operating incomes (NOI), despite “unprecedented” income growth for multifamily investors. Property prices grew by 19.6% YOY, while NOI grew by only 17.7%. “The year-over-year AIMI decline shows us that it may be more difficult now to find attractive multifamily investment opportunities in some…
Average monthly asking rent in the U.S. leaped to new heights in February, up 15% year-over-year to a record high of $1,901, though mortgage growth outpaced it yet again, according to Redfin. Rent growth saw its largest annual increase since Redfin began tracking rental data in February 2019. Mortgage payments rose 31% YOY to $1,716, also the biggest increase recorded by Redfin. Mortgage payment increases outpaced rent increases in 44 of the 50 largest U.S. metros. “The cost of housing is going up for homebuyers and renters, but it’s going up more quickly for homebuyers,” said Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather. “That’s because mortgage rates have increased sharply, and will likely continue to do so. When the cost of homeownership…
Good Morning! Today is Monday, March 21. Wheat, corn, and barley are trapped in Russia and Ukraine, threatening a global food shortage. The Senate begins hearings today for Ketanji Brown Jackson, Biden’s Supreme Court nominee. A China Eastern Airlines flight carrying more than 130 people crashed in southern China. The Mortgage Note Reports Unfair Discrimination In Consumer Finance Targeted: The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is targeting discrimination. Existing-Home Sales: Existing-home sales were down 7.2% from January to February and 2.4% from one year ago, NAR reported. Deephaven COO: Lisa Heitzmann has been appointed Chief Operating Officer at non-QM lender Deephaven Mortgage. And in other mortgage and housing news. Hispanic Homeownership: Last year was the best for Hispanic homeownership in the U.S. since 2008 by percent, but Hispanics are 81%…
