Applications Drop Despite Rate Cooldown

Mortgage applications dipped again after a brief increase last week, despite rates cooling. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – decreased by 2.9%, drifting down after the week prior’s 2.3% increase. Applications are now at their lowest level since December 1996. Adjusted purchase applications fell by 2%, while the unadjusted index dipped 5% from the week before and was 28% lower YOY. The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed loan fell 10 bps to 7.21%. “Both purchase and refinance applications fell, with the purchase index hitting a 28-year low, as prospective buyers remain on the sidelines due to low housing inventory and elevated mortgage rates,”…

Mortgage Rates Pull Back

Mortgage rates cooled last week after a weeks-long run of increases. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.18%, down from 7.23%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.66%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage remained the same at 6.55%. A year ago, it averaged 4.98%. “Mortgage rates leveled off this week but remain elevated. Despite continued high rates, low inventory is keeping house prices steady,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. Active inventory shrank YOY in August. But Realtor.com reported an “unusual increase” in newly listed homes month-over-month, which might suggest homeowners are adjusting to the high-rate environment and preparing to sell come fall. Any significant change in stock will be…

Applications Tumble As Rates Soar

Mortgage applications tanked last week, raising concerns over the market’s future. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – fell by 4.2%, supercharging after the week prior’s 0.8% decline. The average interest rate for 30-year fixed loans rose from 7.16% to 7.31%, pushing homeownership farther out of reach for many Americans. This is the fourth straight week of increases and the highest level since December 2000. “Applications for home purchase mortgages dropped to their lowest level since April 1995, as homebuyers withdrew from the market due to the elevated rate environment and the erosion of purchasing power. Low housing supply is also keeping home prices high in…

Rate Lock Volumes Slipped In July As Rates Surged

Rate lock volumes sank in July as mortgage rates exceeded 7% for the first time since November 2022. Black Knight’s Optimal Blue Mortgage Market Indices for July found that 30-year conforming rates cross 7% early in the month before bouncing down and up again, ultimately ending the month at 6.88%. In line with rising rates, lock volumes dipped 7% from June. “While they moved around a bit in July, there was no escaping the fact that conforming 30-year rates topped 7% in July for the first time since they spiked last fall,” said Andy Walden, vice president of enterprise research and strategy at Black Knight. “On both a practical and psychological level, that put further downward pressure on mortgage demand.…

Rates Average Close To 7% As Market Prepares For Fall Slowdown

Mortgage rates increased for a third consecutive week, pushing averages closer to 7% and adding pressure to buyers. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.96%, up from 6.90%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.22%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage also increased, up to 6.34% from 6.25%. A year ago, it averaged 4.59%. “There is no doubt continued high rates will prolong affordability challenges longer than expected, particularly with home prices on the rise again,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.“However, upward pressure on rates is the product of a resilient economy with low unemployment and strong wage growth, which historically has kept purchase demand solid.” Demand has been sluggish…

Mortgage Rates Increase Again Putting Pressure On Buyers

Mortgage rates increased slightly last week, inching up after falling the week prior. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.81%, up from 6.78%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.30%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage also increased, up to 6.11% from 6.06%. A year ago, it averaged 4.58%. “Higher interest rates continue to dampen activity in interest rate-sensitive sectors, such as housing. However, overall U.S. consumer confidence is unwavering, surging to a two-year high in the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for July 2023,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Rising consumer confidence often leads to greater spending, which could drive more consumers into the housing market.” Consumers believe that…

Applications Fall As Rates Stay Put

Mortgage applications decreased last week as rates hovered near 7%. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – decreased by 1.18%, wiping out last week’s 1.1% bump. Adjusted purchase applications fell by 3%, while the unadjusted index dipped 2% from the week before and 23% lower YOY. The average interest rate for 30-year fixed loans remained the same as last week at 6.87%, driving the decline in activity. The FHA share of total applications saw the biggest change, down nearly 10 bps. These applications fell to a 12.7% share from 13.6%, with an average interest rate of 6.80%, up from 6.77%.  FHA loans tend to do well…

Experts Weigh In: When Mortgage Rates Drop, Will Home Prices Surge?

By ERIN FLYNN JAY It is being speculated that once interest rates drop, a number of buyers will jump into the housing market, causing another surge in prices. We spoke to some industry leaders to get their take. Jessica Lautz, deputy chief economist and vice president of research at the National Association of Realtors, said this is true. “Buyers who were priced out of the housing market with rates at nearly 7% will be able to purchase. Due to limited housing inventory, the housing market may see a rebound in multiple offers, which will put upward demand on housing prices,” said Lautz. She said a significant portion of homes are already selling at above the asking price. “Currently, there are…

Questions Linger Before Next Week’s FOMC Meeting

By PATRICK LAVERY When last we heard from the Federal Reserve on interest rates, on June 14, the Federal Open Market Committee agreed not to raise the target range for the federal funds rate for the first time in more than a year. With the Fed’s next meeting now less than a week away, could Chairman Jerome Powell be preparing to announce one of the hikes that he said in June might still be remaining for this year? Or will the FOMC stick to a holding pattern? And how are those developments going to impact a U.S. housing market that Powell has continuously characterized as sluggish throughout 2023? It is predicted that the central bank will deliver a quarter of…

Rates Drop By 10+ BPS As Prices Surge

Mortgage rates retreated last week, dropping more than ten basis points in a one-week period. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.78%, down from 6.96% the week prior. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.54%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage reversed course as well, down a whopping 24 bps from 6.30% to 6.06%. A year ago, it averaged 4.75%. “As inflation slows, mortgage rates decreased this week,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Still, the ongoing shortage of previously owned homes for sale has been a detriment to homebuyers looking to take advantage of declining rates.” Existing-home sales saw their most sluggish levels in 14 years in June. At the…