Homebuyers are finally starting to see some moderation in prices as the market corrects. The cost of a new mortgage fell 4.8% in November as mortgage rates plunged, according to Zillow’s latest Market Report. This is only the second time mortgage costs have declined in the past 19 months. Falling home values and shrinking mortgage rates forced prices to cool. Rates dropped 57 basis points in November alone. The typical U.S. home saw its value shrink 0.2% from October to November, and is down 0.5% from a peak in June. Renters also reaped the benefits of declining values, with rents seeing their largest single-month drop in the seven-year history of Zillow’s data. Affordability remains a challenge. Monthly mortgage costs are…
Home price appreciation is now half of what it was in April, its lowest recorded point since early 2021, according to new data from CoreLogic. October’s CoreLogic Home Price Index recorded a 10.1% increase YOY. Though still elevated, it continues to decrease from record highs earlier this year. The coming months are expected to push growth back into single digits. Month-over-month, prices were down 0.1% from September. Low inventory, waning buyer purchase power, and economic uncertainty are at the heart of the issue, CoreLogic leaders say. Price growth is expected to cool through next spring when the housing market may go negative before slowly rebounding in the latter half of 2023. CoreLogic predicts appreciation will be 4.1% next October. “Following…
Home price appreciation continued to cool in September though growth remained elevated from a year earlier, according to new data. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price NSA Index saw home prices decelerate, posting a 10.6% annual gain in August, down from 12.9% in the previous month. Craig J. Lazzara, Managing Director at S&P DJI, said all three composites are above their historical medians but peaked about six months ago. “As has been the case for the past several months, our September 2022 report reflects short-term declines and medium-term deceleration in housing prices across the U.S.,” he said. “As the Federal Reserve continues to move interest rates higher, mortgage financing continues to be more expensive and housing becomes less affordable. Given the…
The third quarter of 2022 brought the slowest quarterly price growth since Q4 2011, showing just how quickly home prices are changing as the market rebalances. Single-family home prices rose 13.8% YOY in Q3 2022, slowing from last quarter’s 19.1%, according to Fannie Mae’s Home Price Index. The Index measures average quarterly price change for all single-family U.S. properties except condos. Prices were up only 0.2% from Q2, their slowest quarter since 2011. “Year-over-year home price growth decelerated in the third quarter, as the sharp rise in mortgage rates – and declining housing affordability – appears to have weighed further on demand,” said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae Senior Vice President and Chief Economist. He added that many homeowners who might…
Home price appreciation cooled in July though growth remained elevated from a year earlier, according to new data. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price NSA Index saw home prices decelerate, posting a 15.8% annual gain in July, down from 18.1% in the previous month. This is the largest monthly deceleration in the history of the index. “Although U.S. housing prices remain substantially above their year-ago levels, July’s report reflects a forceful deceleration,” said Craig J. Lazzara, Managing Director at S&P DJI. The 10-City Composite reported a 14.9% increase YOY, down from 17.4% in June, while the 20-City Composite rose by 16.1% YOY, down from 18.7%. July’s gains were less than June’s for each of the 20 cities analyzed. Tampa…
Existing-home sales dropped for the seventh straight month in August, down 0.4% from July and 19.9% YOY, according to the National Association of Realtors’ most recent data. Sales fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.80 million and declined in every major region. Inventory of unsold homes fell 1.5% from July to 1.28 million, breaking a five-month streak of increases. This is a 3.2 months supply at the current sales pace. “The housing sector is the most sensitive to and experiences the most immediate impacts from the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy changes,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “The softness in home sales reflects this year’s escalating mortgage rates. Nonetheless, homeowners are doing well with near nonexistent distressed…
The value of a typical American home dropped for the second straight month, down 0.3% from July to August in the largest monthly dip since 2011. Zillow’s latest market report found that affordability is directing market declines, with lower-priced homes staying hotly competitive while expensive markets see drastic declines. The U.S. typical home value is now $356,054. Areas that saw big gains during the pandemic are now susceptible to fast drops, losing their appreciation momentum from the Great Migration. Midwestern markets, which tend to be more affordable, remain hot, while Western markets are comparatively tanking. Volatile mortgage rates are impacting these areas as borrowers find it increasingly hard to even qualify for a loan, let alone house-hunt. “Substantial day-to-day and…
Mortgage loan application volume fell last week, with both refis and purchase applications falling as interest rates hit their highest point since mid-June, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows. The adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased by 0.8%. The adjusted purchase index fell 1%, while the unadjusted purchase index dropped 3% and was 23% lower YOY. The refinance index dropped by 1% and made up 30.7% of total applications, down 83% from the same time last year. “Mortgage rates moved higher over the course of last week as markets continued to re-assess the prospects for the economy and the path of monetary policy, with expectations for short-term rates to move and stay higher…
Home prices decelerated in June as buyers left the market, driven by historically high prices and rising interest rates. Both the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices and Federal Housing Finance Agency House Price Index (FHFA HPI) saw price growth moderate in June. The HPI saw prices rise only 0.1% from May, while Case-Shiller reported an 18% YOY gain in June, down from 19.9% in May. FHFA’s data suggests prices are just now beginning to moderate. From Q1 2022 to Q2, prices rose 17.7% YOY and 4% quarter-over-quarter, with the only deceleration appearing in June. “Housing prices grew quickly through most of the second quarter of 2022, but a deceleration has appeared in the June monthly data. The pace of growth has…
Home prices have peaked in a growing number of overpriced housing markets as sellers and buyers pull back in the face of rising interest rates and affordability challenges. Researchers at Florida Atlantic University and Florida International University analyzed the 100 most overvalued housing markets by looking at their premiums, the percentage above the long-term pricing trend that buyers must pay on a property. The larger the premium, the more overpriced the market. In July, they found that premiums fell in 27 markets. Of those, 22 also saw home prices fall. Most of these markets are west of the Mississippi River. This is a significant increase from June when premiums declined in 12 markets and prices fell in only seven. FAU’s…
