Rates Jump To 7.79%

Average mortgage rates jumped another 10 bps last week, edging closer to 8%. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.79%, up from 7.63%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 7.08%. The 15-year fixed-rate rose to 7.03% from 6.92%. A year ago, it averaged 6.36%. “For the seventh week in a row, mortgage rates continued to climb toward eight percent, resulting in the longest consecutive rise since the Spring of 2022,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “Rates have risen two full percentage points in 2023 alone and as we head into Halloween, the impacts may scare potential homebuyers. Purchase activity has slowed to a virtual standstill, affordability remains a…

Average Rates Creep Closer To 8%

Average mortgage rates are creeping closer to 8%, piling more lousy news on top of recent sales declines and price spikes. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.63%, up from 7.57%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.94%. On Wednesday, the daily rate hit 8%, pointing to further average increases next week. The 15-year fixed-rate rose to 6.92% from 6.89%. A year ago, it averaged 6.23%. “Not only are homebuyers feeling the impact of rising rates, but home builders are as well. Incoming data shows that the construction of new homes rebounded in September but as rates keep rising, home builders appear to be losing confidence,” said Sam Khater, Freddie…

Existing Sales Sink Even Further

Existing-home sales sunk even further in September, with all regions seeing declines. Sales fell by 2% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.96 million, according to the latest data from the National Association of Realtors. Leaders there say sales retreated 15.4% from one year ago. “As has been the case throughout this year, limited inventory and low housing affordability continue to hamper home sales,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “The Federal Reserve simply cannot keep raising interest rates in light of softening inflation and weakening job gains.” All regions saw sales slip last month, with the formerly-hot Northeast and Midwest joining the South and West in declines. The median price for an existing home rose 2.8% YOY to…

Housing Starts Saw Surprise Uptick In September

Housing starts surged unexpectedly in September, suggesting some relief for homebuyers grappling with tight inventory. New U.S. home construction increased by 7% last month to an annualized rate of 1.36 million, resurfacing after an 11.3% drop in August, according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau. They rose in three of the four major regions, with just the Northeast seeing a decline. Multi-family starts in particular were up 17% after a slumping last month. Single-family starts also saw a boost, up 3.2% month-over-month. “The uptick in single-family production was somewhat unexpected as our latest builder surveys indicate that starts are likely to weaken in the months ahead due to recent higher mortgage rates that were near 7.6% in mid-October,” Alicia…

Applications Sink To Lowest Level Since 1995

Mortgage applications tanked last week, hitting their lowest level since 1995 and wiping out a brief surge the week prior. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – decreased by 6.9%. Adjusted purchase applications slipped by 6%, while the unadjusted index fell by 5% from the week before and was 21% lower YOY. Another week of rate increases drove the decline. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose for a sixth straight week to 7.70%, the highest level since 2000. “Both purchase and refinance applications declined, driven by larger drops for conventional applications. Purchase applications were 21% lower than the same week last year, as homebuying activity continues…

Rates Climb Higher

Mortgage rates climbed again last week amid the rippling impacts of war in the Gaza Strip. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.57%, jumping from 7.49%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.92%. The 15-year fixed-rate rose to 6.89% from 6.78%. A year ago, it averaged 6.09% “For the fifth consecutive week, mortgage rates rose as ongoing market and geopolitical uncertainty continues to increase,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “The good news is that the economy and incomes continue to grow at a solid pace, but the housing market remains fraught with significant affordability constraints. As a result, purchase demand remains at a three-decade low.” The Israel-Hamas war…

ARM Rush Pushes Mortgage Applications Up

Mortgage applications rose slightly last week, driven by an increase in adjustable-rate applications. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – increased by 0.6%. Mortgage rates shot up for all loan types but adjustable-rate mortgages, leading to a rush on these loans, which boosted overall volume.  ARM applications jumped by 15% in just one week, pushing them to a 9.2% share of all applications, their highest level since November 2022. Adjusted purchase applications inched up 1%, while the unadjusted index rose by 1% from the week before and was 19% lower YOY. “The yield curve has become less inverted in recent weeks and ARM pricing has certainly…

Mortgage Rates Overtake Home Prices As Main Buyer Concern

Consumer sentiment is stuck in the pits thanks to soaring mortgage rates. Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index sank further in September, down by 2.4 points to 64.5. The full HPSI is up 3.7 points YOY, a decline from August. Five of the index’s six components fell month-over-month. The home price expectations component increased, resulting in a net negative outlook.  Only 16% of respondents say it’s a good time to buy a home, down from 18% last month, while 84% say it’s a bad time to buy. This is new survey high. The share of respondents who say it’s a good time to sell dropped as well, down to 63% from 66%. Driving this pessimistic streak are mortgage rates, which…

Rates Jump To 7.49%

Mortgage rates climbed again last week following treasury yield gains in the wake of political turmoil and an unexpected jobs report spike. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.49%, jumping from 7.31%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.66%. The 15-year fixed-rate rose to 6.78% from 6.72%. A year ago, it averaged 5.90% “Mortgage rates maintained their upward trajectory as the 10-year Treasury yield, a key benchmark, climbed,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Several factors, including shifts in inflation, the job market, and uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s next move, are contributing to the highest mortgage rates in a generation. Unsurprisingly, this is pulling back homebuyer demand.” Chaos…

Rates Soar To 23-Year High

Mortgage rates hit a more than two-decade high last week, exacerbating creeping financial troubles for many would-be buyers. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.31%, jumping from 7.19%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.70%. The 15-year fixed-rate rose to 6.72% from 6.54%. A year ago, it averaged 5.96% “The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has hit the highest level since the year 2000,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist, said. “However, unlike the turn of the millennium, house prices today are rising alongside mortgage rates, primarily due to low inventory. These headwinds are causing both buyers and sellers to hold out for better circumstances.” Pending home sales tanked in August, reversing…