Rates Rise For Second Week, But Not By Much

Mortgage rates increased slightly last week but remain in the mid-6s, encouraging some potential buyers to come off the sidelines. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.66%, up from the week prior’s 6.62%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.33%. This is the second consecutive week of increases, but just the second since October. Rates have fallen more than a full percentage point since then, giving homebuyers more breathing room as they struggle against record-high unaffordability. The 15-year fixed rate bucked this trend and fell for a second week, from 5.89% to 5.87%. A year ago, it averaged 5.52%. Freddie Mac Chief Economist Sam Khater noted that even as rates…

Rates Remain Effectively Unchanged At 6.62%

Mortgage rates remained basically unchanged last week as markets adjust to economic expectations for 2024. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.62%, inching up from the week prior’s 6.61%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.48%. This is the first increase since October. Rates have fallen more than a full percentage point since then, giving homebuyers more breathing room as they struggle against record-high unaffordability. The 15-year fixed rate dropped, however, from 5.93% to 5.89%. A year ago, it averaged 5.73%. Freddie Mac Chief Economist Sam Khater ascribed the news to the slow machinations of the market as it “digests incoming economic data.” He pointed out that rates stopped their…

Listings, Properties Under Contract Increased In December

Both listings and sales improved in December, suggesting the impact of cooling rates may finally be encouraging movement in the market. That’s according to HouseCanary’s December Market Pulse Report, which found new listings up 5% YOY last month. Though stock remains historically low and many buyers are still priced out of the market, the data may reflect the beginning of a market reset for 2024. “The slight increase in December listings indicates the impact of lower mortgage rates is beginning to trickle down into the market which comes as an optimistic sign as we head into the new year,” said Jeremy Sicklick, HouseCanary Co-Founder and CEO. “With that said, any market turns are likely to be slow.” Sicklick pointed to…

Mortgage Applications Slip In Last Two Weeks Of 2023

The last two weeks of 2023 brought a slump in mortgage applications as buyers continue to grapple with affordability. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – fell 9.4% from the two weeks prior. The data includes adjustments for the holidays. Adjusted purchase applications dropped by 5%, while the unadjusted index fell 34% and was 12% lower YOY. Americans appear to be losing interest in falling rates, which initially sparked some activity in the market. The 30-year fixed ended the year at 6.76%, ticking up very slightly from the week prior but still down more than a full point from its October peak. MBA Vice President and…

New Home Sales Slowed To A Crawl In November

New home sales sank again in November despite cooling mortgage rates, according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Sales fell by 12.2% from October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 590,000, well below the rate of 685,000 units predicted by economists. This is the sharpest decline since April 2022. November saw the beginning of a cool down that brought interest rates to the mid-6’s. But at the start of that process, rates were at their highest levels in more than two decades, nearing 8%. New home sales were up only 1.4% year-over-year, a notable decline from the month prior’s 17.7% YOY increase. Lack of existing inventory pushed buyers to new…

Rates Fall To 6.67%

Mortgage rates sank last week, buoying buyers, sellers, and builders’ spirits ahead of the holiday. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.67%, down from the week prior’s 6.95%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.27%. The 15-year fixed rate dropped as well, down more than 40 bps to 5.95%. A year ago, it averaged 5.69%. “The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage remained below seven percent for the second week in a row, a welcome downward trend after 17 consecutive weeks above seven percent,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Lower rates are bringing potential home buyers who were previously waiting on the sidelines back into the market and builders already are…

Rates Fall Below 7%

Mortgage rates dipped below 7% for the first time since August after the Federal Reserve set the stage for rate cuts in the coming year. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.95%, down from the week prior’s 7.03%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.31%. It is now down nearly 90 bps in the last six weeks. This lowers the monthly mortgage payment for a $400,000 house to $2,118, down $183 from recent peaks. The 15-year fixed rate, on the other hand, rose to 6.38%% from 6.29%. A year ago, it averaged 5.54%. “Potential homebuyers received welcome news this week,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “Given inflation continues…

Affordability FIopped In 2023, But Redfin Predicts A Brighter New Year

This year was one of the worst on record for affordability. But with the market at an all-time low, the only move now is up, according to a new analysis by Redfin. A homebuyer with the median U.S. income needed to spend 41% of their earnings on monthly home costs in 2023, a record high in Redfin’s data (dating to 2012) and fully 10% more than just two years ago.  In some hot markets, like California’s Anaheim and San Francisco, that number jumps to more than 80%. But Redfin expects mortgage rates and home prices to both cool in 2024, paving the way for more Americans to buy their dream home. “A perfect storm of inflation, high prices, soaring mortgage…

Rates Fall 20 BPS To 7.03%

The 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell nearly 20 bps in one week, almost hitting 7%. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.03%, down from the week prior’s 7.22%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.33%. It is now down nearly 80 bps in the last six weeks. The 15-year fixed rate fell to 6.29%% from 6.56%. A year ago, it averaged 5.67%. Mortgage applications overall increased by nearly 3% last week as refinances saw their biggest gains in two months thanks to cooling rates. But purchase demand reversed course, slipping slightly.  “When rates began to rapidly drop, purchase applications rebounded initially, but this improvement in demand diminished in the last…

Applications Soar As Rates Hit Lowest Level Since August

Mortgage applications increased again last week as cooling inflation and Fed rate expectations pushed mortgage rates down. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – increased by 2.8%, up from the week prior’s modest +0.3%. Adjusted purchase applications fell by 0.3%, while the unadjusted index rose 35% from the week before and was 17% lower YOY. Falling rates drove the jump, with the 30-year fixed-rate falling to 7.17%, its lowest since August 2023. MBA Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist Joel Kan pinned the rate cooldown on disinflation and the dwindling possibility of further Fed rate hikes. The FOMC will meet on December 12-13 and Wall Street…