Affordability Hovered Near 10-YR Low In Q4

Rates at 20-year highs and other ongoing issues forced affordability to hover near a decade-low in Q4 2023, constraining the housing market. A new report from the National Association of Home Builders revealed that housing affordability stayed close to its lowest level in about a decade in the last quarter of 2023. Just 37.7% of new and existing homes sold in that period were affordable to families earning the U.S. median income of $96,300. This is basically identical to Q3 2023, which posted the lowest-ever reading of the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index. That index has been tracking affordability since 2012. The report attributes the data to rates hitting a 20-year high during Q4, along with the high cost of…

Starts Slipped, Permits Surged In December

Home construction slipped for the first time in four months in December, with single-family starts taking a hit. Residential home construction fell 4.3% last month to a 1.46 million annualized rate, according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau. They were up 7.6% from December 2022’s rate of 1.36 million, however. The dip comes on the heels of a surge in November that sent new construction to a 6-month high. Notably, the decline was driven by single-family construction. Multi-family starts actually rose to a 5-month high. Permit applications also fared well after performing poorly the month prior. Single-family permits soared to their highest rate since May 2022, and multi-family also ticked up.  Permits offer an indication of future construction, suggesting…

Rates Fall 20 BPS To 7.03%

The 30-year fixed rate mortgage fell nearly 20 bps in one week, almost hitting 7%. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.03%, down from the week prior’s 7.22%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.33%. It is now down nearly 80 bps in the last six weeks. The 15-year fixed rate fell to 6.29%% from 6.56%. A year ago, it averaged 5.67%. Mortgage applications overall increased by nearly 3% last week as refinances saw their biggest gains in two months thanks to cooling rates. But purchase demand reversed course, slipping slightly.  “When rates began to rapidly drop, purchase applications rebounded initially, but this improvement in demand diminished in the last…

New Home Sales Surged In May

New home sales jumped in May as homebuilders continue to experience a boom, according to new data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Sales rose by 12.2% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 763,000, compared to April’s 680,000. They were up 20% from the same time last year, which saw an annualized rate of just 636,000. The seasonally‐adjusted estimate of new houses for sale was 428,000, down from last month and representing a supply of 6.7 months at the current sales rate. The median sales price for a new home was $416,300, while the average sales price was $487,300. Homebuilders are working overtime to accommodate surging demand. Americans still want to buy…