Mortgage Demand Down For Second Week As Rates Jump

Mortgage purchase demand fell for a second week as rates hit their highest point since last November.  The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – dropped by 13.3%. The average interest rate for 30-year fixed loans rose 23 basis points to 6.62%. Purchase demand dipped to its lowest level since 1995 as a result. Adjusted purchase applications decreased by 18%, while the unadjusted index was down 4% from the week before and was 41% lower YOY. “This time of the year is typically when purchase activity ramps up, but over the past two weeks, rates have increased significantly as financial markets digest data on inflation cooling at…

Prediction: Spring Home Shopping Season To Be Busy

The 2023 spring homebuying season may be cooler than in previous red-hot years, but competition will still be plentiful. According to a new Zillow analysis, ongoing stock shortages mean that even as fewer buyers enter the market this year, those who do will be competing for many of the same homes. Affordable markets like Cincinnati and St. Louis are likely to see the most competition, especially on lower-priced homes. The number of homes for sale now is equal to the number in 2021, which set a record for scarcity at the time. So while homes may sit on the market a little longer and sellers may have to make concessions, the chances of selling a home are still good, so…

Rates Up For A Second Week

Mortgage rates rose again this week, a second consecutive increase, pushing sub-6% rates further out of reach. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate averaged 6.32%, up from 6.12% the week prior. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.92%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage rose to 5.51% to 5.25%. A year ago, it averaged 3.15%. “The economy is showing signs of resilience, mainly due to consumer spending, and rates are increasing. Overall housing costs are also increasing and therefore impacting inflation, which continues to persist,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. Shelter inflation in particular is on the rise. A blog post by Christian Zimmermann, Assistant Vice President of Research Information…

Purchase Demand Drops As Rates Increase

Mortgage purchase demand declined after seeing a boost last week, triggered by an increase in rates. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – fell by 7.7%, wiping out last week’s 7.4% increase. The average interest rate for 30-year fixed loans rose to 6.39% from 6.28%. A year ago that rate was 4.05%. Bad inflation news this week pushed rates higher. Inflation rose 0.5% in January, more than expected. Shelter costs accounted for roughly half of the month-over-month increase. Retail sales also jumped in January, adding to the Fed’s big inflation headache as it tries to steer the economy to a 2% inflation rate. “Mortgage rates increased…

Purchase Apps, Refis See Boost As Rates Retreat

Both purchase applications and refis saw increases as rates fell for a fifth consecutive week. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – rose by 7.4%. Adjusted purchase applications increased by 3%, while the unadjusted index was up 4% from the week before and was 37% lower YOY. Refinances saw a big upswing, rising 18% from the week prior. But they remain 75% lower than the same time last year, comprising only 33.9% of total applications. In the past decade, refis averaged 58% of total activity. “Both purchase and refinance applications increased last week and have shown gains in three of the past four weeks because of…

Permanent Rate Buydowns Continue To Reign For Affordability-Minded Buyers

Rate buydowns continue to soar as borrowers look for ways to combat the affordability crisis, according to new data from Black Knight. In the third week of January, 57% of buyers paid at least a half-point on a permanent buydown, while 44% paid a full point, and almost 25% bought down two or more points. In total, borrowers paid an average of 1.25 points down, at an average of $4,300 per borrower. Pre-pandemic buydowns from 2018 to 2020 averaged only 0.5 points, around $1,500. This is not the high point for buydowns, which peaked in September and October 2022 with 71% of buyers buying down their rates. But it points to a continuing trend of buyers trying to decrease their…

Average Mortgage Rate Moves Closer To 6%

As economists predicted, the 30-year fixed rate fell again this week, moving closer to 6%. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.09%, down from 6.13% the week prior. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.55%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage fell from 5.17% to 5.14%. A year ago, it averaged 2.77%. “Mortgage rates inched down again, with the 30-year fixed-rate down nearly a full point from November, when it peaked at just over seven percent,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “According to Freddie Mac research, this one percentage point reduction in rates can allow as many as three million more mortgage-ready consumers to qualify and afford a $400,000 loan,…

Rates Down Again, Purchase Demand “Thawing”

The 30-year fixed rate slipped slightly again last week, prompting some pent-up buyers to lock in a purchase, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.13%, down from 6.15% the week prior. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.55%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage fell from 5.28% to 5.17%. A year ago, it averaged 2.80%. “Mortgage rates continue to tick down and, as a result, home purchase demand is thawing from the months-long freeze that gripped the housing market,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “Potential homebuyers remain sensitive to changes in mortgage rates, but ample demand remains, fueled by first-time homebuyers.” Pending home sales have been…

Pending Home Sales Rise, Breaking Six Month Spiral

Pending home sales rose for the first time since May, breaking a six-month streak of declines, according to the National Association of Realtors. The Pending Home Sales Index increased by 2.5% between November and December. Year-over-year it dropped by 33.8%, an improvement over November’s 37%. All four regions saw pending sales fall YOY, but the South and West saw gains month-over-month. “This recent low point in home sales activity is likely over,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “Mortgage rates are the dominant factor driving home sales, and recent declines in rates are clearly helping to stabilize the market.” Mortgage rates fell again last week to 6.13%, drawing some buyers back to the market. Purchase loan applications increased again as…

Loan Apps Rise Again, Buoyed By Refis

Mortgage loan application volume increased again last week, continuing a trend of rising demand as mortgage rates slip. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey showed the adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, rose by 7%. The results included an adjustment for Martin Luther King, Jr. Day. Refinances drove the increase, up 15% from the week prior as mortgage rates fell to 6.2%, their lowest level since September. They remain 77% lower than the same time last year, however, comprising only 31.9% of total applications. In the past decade, refis averaged 58% of total activity. Purchase demand saw a boost as well, though not as drastic. Applications increased at a seasonally adjusted rate of 3%, but…