Home Prices Grew 18.5% In 2021, Should Cool In 2022

Home prices rose year-over-year (YOY) by 18.5% across the nation in December 2021, and by 1.3% from November, CoreLogic’s latest Home Price Index reported. Home price growth averaged 15% for 2021, which saw one of the hottest housing markets in decades. Q1 2021 started off with 10% appreciation but continued to grow, reaching 18% in Q4. By comparison, price appreciation for the full year of 2020 averaged only 6%. The states with the highest increases YOY were Arizona (28.4%), Florida (27.1%), and Utah (25.2%). The cities with the biggest gains were Phoenix (30.2%), Las Vegas (24.4%), and San Diego (22.4%). CoreLogic predicts that home prices will remain flat this month and rise by only 3.5% by next December. Comparing annual…

Morning Roundup (2/1/2022)– Crowded Out Of The Market, New Home Record

Good Morning! Today is February 1, 2022. Moderna’s Spikevax won full FDA approval for adults 18 and up, making it the second fully approved Covid-19 vaccine. Pfizer is planning to ask the FDA to authorize its vaccine for children under 5. A prosecutor dropped the last criminal inquiry into sexual misconduct allegations against Andrew Cuomo. The Mortgage Note Reports Getting Pushed Out Of The Housing Market? You’re Not Alone: Low-income and minority buyers will continue to be crowded out of the housing market in 2022, according to the director of research at the AEI Housing Center. Home Showings Skyrocket: Showing traffic rose 11.5% YOY in December 2021 as buyers continued scouring the market for a new home. New Construction Record: …

Morning Roundup (1/28/2022)– Forbearance Plans Up, Rates Flat

Good Morning! Today is Friday, January 28. Economic output in the U.S. grew 5.7% over the past year, the biggest annual increase in decades. Biden told Ukraine’s president that the U.S. was ready to respond forcefully to any Russian aggression. A federal judge revoked Gulf of Mexico oil and gas leases, ruling the Biden administration failed to consider climate change when it sold them. The Mortgage Note Reports Predicting The Future: Higher interest rates will be a big issue for homebuyers in 2022. Will they drive down mortgage business? Rates Settle: After weeks of steadily rising, interests rates stayed steady last week, averaging 3.55%. Black Knight: Forbearance exits rose for the second week in a row, up by 19,000 plans…

Higher Interest Rates Are on the Way. Will They Drive Down Mortgage Biz?

Interest rates are always an issue when purchasing a home. This year, they may be an even bigger issue. “Mortgage brokers are telling buyers that rates are rising, and if they are planning on buying, they need to be doing it as soon as possible before rates go up,” says Linda McCoy, board president of National Association of Mortgage Brokers (NAMB). If you finance the purchase of a property, as opposed to paying for all of it with cash, a mortgage interest rate is what it costs you per month to finance your home/property. “Your interest rate is effectively the lender’s compensation for letting you use its money to purchase your property,” says Aly J. Yale in an article for…

Rates Settle Down After Weeks Of Increases

Mortgage rates flattened out after weeks of steadily rising, averaging 3.55% last week, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.55%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.73%. “Following a month-long rise, mortgage rates effectively stayed flat this week. Recent rate increases have yet to significantly impact purchase demand, as history demonstrates that potential homebuyers who are on the fence will often enter the market at the start of rate increase cycles,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “We do expect rates to continue to increase but at a more gradual pace. Therefore, a fair number of current homeowners could continue to benefit from…

Morning Roundup (1/27/2022)– Behind The Inflation Curve, Loan Apps Down

Good Morning! Today is Thursday, January 27. Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer is retiring. Neil Young is removing his music from Spotify, saying it has become “the home of life-threatening Covid misinformation.” The U.S. rejected Russia’s demands that NATO retreat from Eastern Europe and bar Ukraine from ever joining, but offered other areas of negotiation. The Mortgage Note Reports Rate Increases Into 2023: At least one economist says the Federal Reserve is already behind the inflation curve, and the mortgage industry should expect interest rate increases into 2023. Down, Up, Then Back Down: Mortgage loan application volume fell 7.1% from last week, with refis tumbling 13%, MBA reported. “Appropriate Pricing Policies”: CHLA sent a letter to FHFA Acting Director Sandra…

Economist: Interest Rates Will Go Up in 2022, Rise Even More in 2023

At least one economist says the Federal Reserve is already behind the inflation curve, and the mortgage industry should expect interest rate increases into 2023. “Short-term interest rates will be pushed up by the Federal Reserve [in 2022], as the Fed announced,” writes Dr. Bill Conerly in Forbes. “They will raise rates in quarter-point increments three or four times this year. They will still be behind the curve, most likely, and will raise short rates more aggressively in 2023.” Predicting future Fed moves isn’t easy — not even for the Fed itself. Last summer, the Federal Reserve said it wouldn’t raise rates at all until 2023. That proved to be untrue. In a video news conference after their two-day meeting…

Morning Roundup (1/24/2022)– 2022 Forecast, Record Rent And Mortgage Growth

Good Morning! Today is Monday, January 24. Biden is considering sending troops to Eastern Europe in response to fears of a Russian incursion into Ukraine. Virginia’s Republican attorney general fired a top Jan. 6 investigator from his job at the University of Virginia. The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Buffalo Bills, and the LA Rams beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. TMN REPORTS: Finding A Mortgage On Your Phone: The typical American spends between five and six hours a day on their mobile phone, so mortgage companies are developing new technologies to help them meet consumers where they are. Freddie Mac Forecast: Purchases Up, ReFi’s Down in 2022: Freddie Mac’s latest Quarterly Forecast predicts that rising rates will lead to moderation in…

Rents And Mortgage Payments See Record Growth

Both rent and mortgage payment price growth reached record highs in December, according to a new report from Redfin. Rents jumped to $1,877, 14.1% year-over-year (YOY) and the largest annual jump since at least February 2019, the earliest month in Redfin’s data. The national monthly mortgage payment rose 21.6% YOY, also the largest increase in Redfin’s data history. “The growth in mortgage payments has been driven by both climbing prices and climbing mortgage rates,” said Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather.  “And those rising mortgage costs push more potential homebuyers into renting instead, which pushes up demand and prices for rentals. Mortgage rate increases are accelerating, which will cause both mortgage payments and rent to grow throughout 2022.” The 30-year fixed-rate…

Freddie Mac Forecast: Purchases Up, ReFi’s Down in 2022

Mortgage lenders should expect a small uptick in home purchases, while refi’s fall off the fiscal cliff. That’s the finding of the latest Freddie Mac’s latest Quarterly Forecast. Housing demand is expected to remain high, with home sales forecast to reach 6.9 million in 2022, then 7 million in 2023. “As mortgage rates rise, we do expect some moderation in housing demand, causing house price growth to temper. However, the combination of a large number of entry-level homebuyers facing a shortage of entry-level inventory of homes for sale should keep the housing market competitive,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “In 2022, we expect purchase originations to grow from $1.9 trillion in 2021 to $2.1 trillion in 2022 while…