America’s home affordability problem was bad in 2020, before COVID-19 hit. In 2021, it got even worse. In Q4 2021, median-priced single-family homes were less affordable in 77% of U.S. counties analyzed by ATTOM Data Solutions, a 13-year high, the company found. In 440 out of the 575 counties analyzed, the gap between incomes and affordable home prices was larger than their historical averages. This is a dramatic increase from Q4 2020 when only 39% of counties were less affordable than in the past. “The average wage earner can still afford the typical home across the United States, but the financial comfort zone continues shrinking as home prices keep soaring and mortgage rates tick upward,” said Todd Teta, chief product…
Good Morning! Today is Thursday, December 23. The F.D.A. authorized Pfizer’s Covid treatment pill for high-risk patients. The Biden administration extended a moratorium on student loan repayments until May 1. Authorities in Texas are investigating a “major industrial accident” at an Exxon Mobil plant.And in mortgage and housing news… A New Home For The Holidays?: It may be the week before Christmas, but that doesn’t mean potential homebuyers aren’t out searching for their perfect piece of real estate. Guaranteed Rate Leadership: Guaranteed Rate has appointed two new Divisional Managers, Ryan Ogata and Tim Sorenson. Existing-Home Sales Up: Existing-home sales rose 1.9% in November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.46 million, while inventory fell 13.3% YOY, NAR reported. Potential…
Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, December 21. President Biden will give a speech today outlining his plans to combat the Omicron variant. Omicron accounts for about 75% of new cases in the US. The E.P.A. will require new cars to get 55 miles per gallon starting in 2026. And in mortgage and housing news… Forbearances Improved In November: The total number of loans in forbearance fell from 2.06% of servicers’ portfolio volume to 1.67% in November, according to MBA’s Loan Monitoring Survey. ESR Expectations Change: Commentary from Fannie’s ESR Group showed the year ending on a strong note, with 2021 total home sales for rising 7.1%, but lowered its prediction for 2022’s GDP due to inflation concerns. CFPB, DOJ Warning…
The Fannie Mae Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group boosted its expectation for full-year 2021 economic growth to 5.5% in its December commentary, up 0.7% from November’s projection. The group cited “stronger-than-anticipated consumer spending and inventory investment data” as the reason for its revised projection. Total home sales are now expected to increase 7.1% in 2021 rather than 5.3%. Total mortgage originations are expected to be $4.5 trillion, up from $4.4 trillion. But it also revised its 2022 expectations, downgrading its 2022 growth forecast from 3.7% to 3.2%. Though recent data appears strong, the group noted it “likely reflects a pull-forward of activity from the first half of 2022 and is unlikely to be sustained.” Inflation is the primary reason…
Good Morning! Today is Friday, December 17. France is banning travel to and from Britain due to high levels of Omicron infection. A federal judge overturned Purdue Pharma’s opioid settlement, ruling that members of the Sackler family could not receive protection from civil lawsuits. Haiti announced that the last of the 17 kidnapped US missionaries have been freed. And in mortgage and housing news… Buying Houses With Friends: As the number of homes purchased by people with different last names increases, it is being reported that Millennials are choosing to buy single-family houses with their friends. Rates Up Slightly: Mortgage rates rose slightly over the last week, up from an average of 3.10% to 3.12%, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Forbearances…
Mortgage rates rose slightly over the last week, up from an average of 3.10% to 3.12%, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.12%, rising slightly after a weeks-long pattern of hovering around 3.10% or 3.11%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.67%. “Mortgage rates inched up as a result of economic improvement and a shift in monetary policy guidance,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “While house price growth is slowing, prices remain high due to solid housing demand and low supply. We expect rates to continue to increase into 2022 which may leave some potential homebuyers with less room in their budgets…
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced it will double the pace of tapering its pandemic asset purchase program, and signaled it would likely raise interest rates next year. This would be its first rate hike since March 2020. The move comes in response to concerns about rising inflation. At its November meeting, the FOMC said it would reduce its purchases of Treasury securities from $80 billion to $70 billion and from $40 billion to $35 billion for mortgage-backed securities. Since then, inflation has reached a 39-year high and become a major sticking point for the American public. As to how this announcement affects the mortgage and real estate industries, analyst response has focused on rising costs. “Increasing mortgage rates…
Good Morning! Today is Wednesday, December 15. Congress passed a measure raising the government’s borrowing limit by $2.5 trillion. Mr. Trump lost his bid to shield his tax returns from the House Ways and Means Committee after a federal judge dismissed the case. Britain’s antitrust regulator said Apple and Google hold a “vise-like grip” over how people use mobile devices, limiting innovation and choice and leading to higher prices. And in mortgage and housing news… Thompson Tapped For Full Term…: President Biden will nominate Sandra Thompson, currently the acting director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, to a full term at the regulator, the White House announced. …And The Industry Responds: The industry’s response has been largely positive. Mortgage App…
Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, December 14. Members of the Federal Open Market Committee begin their two-day policy-setting meeting today. Larry Nassar’s victims reached a $380 million settlement. The Supreme Court turned down emergency requests by New York healthcare workers for a religious exemption from state requirements to vaccinate against Covid-19. And in mortgage and housing news… Rental Rates Skyrocket: More than a quarter of the states in the country have experienced a rental price increase of 20% or more in 2021 and a senior research analyst says people moving out of cities and into more rural communities are partially to blame. November 2021 Originations: Rate lock volume fell 4.7% month-over-month in November, Black Knight’s latest Originations Market Monitor report…
Mortgage credit availability shrank in November, falling by 0.6% to 124.9, according to the Mortgage Banker Association’s (MBA) Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI). The Conventional MCAI rose by 1.9% but was offset by the Government MCAI dropping 2.7%. Within the Conventional MCAI, the Jumbo MCAI rose by 3% and the Conforming MCAI rose by 0.2%. The decline comes on the heels of a four-month period of mortgage credit growth. “Credit availability in November was down slightly, even as the housing market continues to thrive amidst the improving job market. However, the picture was different depending on the market segment. An increase in conventional credit availability was offset by a decrease in government credit, as lenders reduced their offerings of government…
