30-YR FRM Rose Last Week, 15-YR Declined

The 30-year FRM increased once again last week, blocking even more homebuyers from entering the market. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.43%, up from 6.39% the week prior. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.11%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage fell, however, down to 5.71% from 5.76%. A year ago, it averaged 4.40%. “The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased modestly for the second straight week, but with the rate of inflation decelerating rates should gently decline over the course of 2023,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “Incoming data suggest the housing market has stabilized from a sales and house price perspective. The prospect of lower mortgage rates for the…

Pending Home Sales Slipped In March

Pending home sales sank in March as rate-sensitive buyers continued to skirt the market, according to the National Association of Realtors. NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index declined by 5.2% between February and March. Year-over-year, it dropped by 23.2%. All four regions saw pending sales fall YOY, and three of the four saw contract signings shrink. Signings increased slightly in the South as the region continues to attract buyers chasing affordability and sunny weather. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun pointed to tight inventory as the main hindrance to sales. “Multiple offers are still occurring on about a third of all listings, and 28% of homes are selling above list price. Limited housing supply is simply not meeting demand nationally,” he said.…

Applications Rise Despite Rate Increase

Mortgage applications rose last week despite rates jumping to their highest point in more than a month. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – increased by 3.7%, changing course after last week’s 8.8% decrease. Adjusted purchase applications rose by 5%, while the unadjusted index was up 6% from the week before and 28% lower YOY. The average interest rate for 30-year fixed loans jumped from 6.43% to 6.55%, a second week of increases and the highest level in more than a month. “Both conventional and government home purchase applications increased last week. However, activity was still nearly 28% below last year’s pace, as high mortgage rates…

New Home Sales Increased In March

New home sales increased by more than expected in March but remain down significantly from last year, according to new estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. Sales rose by 9.6% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 683,000, compared to just 1.1% in February. Sales remain down 3.4% YOY, which boasted an annual rate of 707,000. The seasonally‐adjusted estimate of new houses for sale was 432,000, representing a supply of 7.6 months at the current sales rate. Inventory remains tight even as more people are home-shopping this spring. As a result, home prices unexpectedly rose in February. “Homebuyers are window shopping and many are entering the store, but few of them are…

Home Prices Moderated In February

Data released today shows a modest increase in home prices took place in February. Year-over-year, prices increased by 2%, down from 3.7% in the previous month, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price NSA Index. The 20-City Composite posted a 0.4% year-over-year gain, down from 2.6% in the previous month. “February’s results were most interesting because of their stark regional differences… It’s unsurprising that the Southeast (+7.8%) remains the country’s strongest region, while the West (-4.2%) continues as the weakest,” noted Craig J. Lazzara, Managing Director at S&P DJI. West Coast hubs that saw huge migration during the pandemic remained negative YOY in February, with San Francisco, Seattle, San Diego, and Portland all experiencing declines. Southern cities continued…

Rates Rise, Breaking Five-Week Downward Streak

Mortgage rates jumped last week, breaking a five-week streak of declines. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.39%, up from 6.27% the week prior. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.11%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage also rose, up to 5.76% from 5.54%. A year ago, it averaged 4.38%. “For the first time in over a month, mortgage rates moved up due to shifting market expectations,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.“Home prices have stabilized somewhat, but with supply tight and rates stuck above six percent, affordable housing continues to be a serious issue for many potential homebuyers. Unless rates drop into the mid five percent range, demand will only…

Interest Rates Rose Last Week, Pushing Applications Down

Interest rates increased last week for the first time in more than a month, pushing mortgage applications down. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey says the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – decreased by 8.8%, outstripping last week’s 5.3% increase. Adjusted purchase applications fell by 10%, while the unadjusted index was down 9% from the week before and 36% lower YOY. The average interest rate for 30-year fixed loans jumped from 6.30% to 6.43% after ticking down consistently since bank failures last month. MBA Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist Joel Kan noted that an influx of first-time buyers in the market adds to rate sensitivity, as these buyers lack the flexibility of…

Rates Fall For A Fifth Week

Mortgage rates ticked down again, the fifth straight week of declines. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.27%, down from 6.28% the week prior. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage fell from 5.64% to 5.54%. A year ago, it averaged 4.17%. “Incoming data suggest inflation remains well above the desired level but showing signs of deceleration,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “These trends, coupled with tight labor markets, are creating increased optimism among prospective homebuyers as the housing market hits its peak in the spring and summer.” First-time buyers particularly are feeling prepared to enter the market. More than half of respondents to…

Purchase Locks Jumped In March As Rates Fell

Lock volumes increased across the board last month, with purchase locks seeing the greatest gains of any March in the past five years. Rate locks dollar volumes rose by 43% thanks to retreating rates and greater demand, according to Black Knight’s latest Originations Market Report. Rates fell by 24 bps by the end of the month, impacted by banking sector uncertainty. They are continuing to shrink moving into April, hitting 6.28% last week. “It is not unusual for rate locks to surge in March ahead of the spring homebuying season, although this year’s rise outpaced what we typically see on a seasonal basis,” said Andy Walden, vice president of enterprise research at Black Knight. Purchase locks were up 44% month-over-month…

Rates Down Again, But Waning Banking Fears Add Volatility

The average mortgage rate ticked down again this week, but waning banking sector concerns have rates seesawing. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.32%, down from 6.42% the week prior. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 4.67%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage dipped from 5.68% to 5.56%. A year ago, it averaged 3.83%. “Economic uncertainty continues to bring mortgage rates down,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Over the last several weeks, declining rates have brought borrowers back to the market but, as the spring homebuying season gets underway, low inventory remains a key challenge for prospective buyers.” Some buyers returned to the market early in order to snag a…