Interest rates increased last week for the first time in more than a month, pushing mortgage applications down.
The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey says the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – decreased by 8.8%, outstripping last week’s 5.3% increase.
Adjusted purchase applications fell by 10%, while the unadjusted index was down 9% from the week before and 36% lower YOY.
The average interest rate for 30-year fixed loans jumped from 6.30% to 6.43% after ticking down consistently since bank failures last month.
MBA Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist Joel Kan noted that an influx of first-time buyers in the market adds to rate sensitivity, as these buyers lack the flexibility of…
Recent bank failures have created another problem for the housing market: lack of credit.
First American’s Potential Home Sales Model– a measure of what a healthy level of home sales should be based on market fundamentals– fell by 2.5% month-over-month in March. Year-over-year, it is down 10.7%, a loss of more than 640,000 sales.
The biggest contributor to the decline was tightening credit standards, First American says. At the beginning of the pandemic, lenders reduced credit due to the increased likelihood of forbearance and delinquency, but it slowly began to ease.
Now, credit is tightening again thanks to banking uncertainty.
“There are fears that the recent bank failures will prompt lenders to be much more conservative with their lending,” said…
Mixed economic indicators released this week may stall the Federal Reserve’s plans for another round of aggressive rate hikes.
Retail sales fell 0.4% in February as consumers strained under high inflation, Commerce Department data released Wednesday showed. Spending fell in eight of the thirteen groups analyzed, with furniture and department stores seeing the biggest dips.
Bar and restaurants saw sales fall by 2.2%, the most in more than a year.
But a surprise decline in producer prices provided a glimmer of hope that inflation may be cooling. Wholesale prices were down 0.1%, upending the Dow Jones prediction of a 0.3% increase. The index still increased YOY, but by less than expected.
Both of these reports come just a day after…
