Freddie Mac: Little Change In Interest Rates

Mortgage rates remained basically the same over the last week, averaging 3.11%, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.11%, up only a smidge from last week’s 3.10%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.71% “Mortgage rates continue to remain stable notwithstanding volatility in the financial markets,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “The consistency of rates in the face of changes in the economy is primarily due to the evolution of the pandemic, which lingers and continues to pose uncertainty. This low mortgage rate environment offers favorable conditions for refinancing.” The emerging Omicron variant of Covid-19 has dampened hopes of normalcy returning, and…

Morning Roundup (12/01/2021)– A New Gold Rush For Lenders, Mortgage Apps Drop

Good Morning! Today is Wednesday, December 1. At least three students were killed in a high school shooting in Oxford, Michigan. The CDC is planning to require international travelers to show a negative test that is less than 24 hours old. The TV host Dr. Oz will run for Senate in Pennsylvania as a Republican. And in mortgage and housing news… A New Gold Rush For Lenders?: As the pandemic continues and workers reevaluate their commitment to metropolitan life, lenders in smaller cities stand to benefit from what is being termed the “Great Resignation.” Mortgage Applications Drop: Mortgage loan application volume fell 7.2% last week, with refis down 15% due to rising interest rates, according to the MBA. Insurance Hikes…

SitusAMC: Insurance Premium Hikes Coming As Natural Disasters Intensify

Both homeowners and lenders may be underestimating the rising cost of insurance following a growing number of natural disasters, according to a SitusAMC white paper titled “Weathering the Storm: Burgeoning Insurance Costs for Real Estate.” The paper found that natural disasters have impacted residential property nationwide, not just in areas with highly publicized disasters such as California and Florida. The states with the most natural disasters were Texas (where winter storms accounted for 40% in total insurance market losses in 2021), Virginia, and South Dakota. As the number of disasters rises and their severity intensifies, insurance companies will face more risk, leading to higher insurance premiums and reductions in coverage for property owners. “The growing number of climate events has…

Pending Home Sales Rebounded In October

Pending home sales rebounded in October after a September drop, though the year-over-year (YOY) numbers were mild, according to the National Association of Realtor’s (NAR) Pending Home Sales Index. The Index, which is based on contract signings, rose 7.5% to 125.2 in October. An index of 100 is equivalent to the level of contract activity in 2001.  However, signings fell 1.4% YOY.  “Motivated by fast-rising rents and the anticipated increase in mortgage rates, consumers that are on strong financial footing are signing contracts to purchase a home sooner rather than later,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist.  “This solid buying is a testament to demand still being relatively high, as it is occurring during a time when inventory is still…

Mortgage Industry Reacts To Powell Renomination

After weeks of waiting, President Biden announced Monday he is renominating Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome H. Powell to another four-year term. Now analysts are asking what impact another Powell term will mean to mortgage rates and the housing market. The move has been characterized as a return to the status quo in which the Fed chairman is reappointed regardless of their political identity, a tradition former President Trump bucked when he appointed Powell. The Fed chairman question has been on many industry watchers’ minds in the last two weeks. Much was made of Biden’s sit down with Fed Governor Lael Brainard, seen as the most likely candidate if Biden chose to make a change. Brainard has instead been nominated as…

Freddie Mac: Interest Rates Inch Back Up

Mortgage rates rose again after several weeks of small declines, reaching 3.10%, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.10%, up from last week’s 2.98%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.72% “The combination of rising inflation and consumer spending is driving mortgage rates higher,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Shoppers looking to buy a home are fueling strong demand while ongoing inventory shortages are not improving in the presence of higher home prices. This reality illustrates the challenging situation facing the housing market.” Though the holidays are usually a slow period in the industry, homebuyer demand has remained high. Redfin’s latest Homebuyer Demand…

MBA: Purchase Applications Tick Up, Offset Low Refi Rates

Mortgage loan application volume fell 2.8% last week, driven again by low refinance applications, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey reported. The Market Composite Index, which measures application volume, fell 2.8% on an adjusted basis. The Refinance Index dropped 5% and was 31% lower than a year ago, rebounding from last week’s drop to its lowest level since July 2021. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index rose 2%, while the unadjusted Purchase Index fell 2% compared to the week before, down 6% from the previous year. “Refinance applications decreased for the seventh time in eight weeks, as mortgage rates moved higher after two weeks of declines,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting.  But the…

Morning Roundup (11/10/2021)– Mortgage Credit Remains Tight, Application Volume Up

Good Morning! Today is Wednesday, November 10. Moderna is locked in a patent dispute after excluding three government researchers who worked on the vaccine from its application. General Electric will split into three companies focused on aviation, energy, and healthcare. A federal court denied Donald Trump’s attempt to withhold records from the committee investigating the January 6 riot. And in mortgage and housing news… HUD Awards $36M For Affordable Housing: HUD announced $36 million in “capacity-building” grants to boost affordable housing programs across 250 communities. Mortgage Credit Up: Mortgage credit availability rose slightly in October but remains tight overall, posing “significant” problems for first-time buyers. Applications Rise Alongside Rate Drop: Mortgage loan application volume rose 5.5% last week, responding to…

Morning Roundup (11/9/2021)– HPSI Flat, Forbearances Drop

Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, November 9. Four SpaceX astronauts returned to Earth after 200 days in orbit. The Justice Department charged a Russian man with conducting cyberattacks and recovered $6 million in ransom. A missing girl was recovered after a motorist noticed her using an emergency hand signal that has gained attention on TikTok. And in mortgage and housing news… HPSI Stays Flat: Consumers have mixed feelings about the housing market and are slightly more pessimistic about the economy overall, especially when it comes to their personal finances. Forbearances Improve Again: The number of loans in forbearance dropped to 1 million as homeowners exited their plans, most entering modifications. Inflation Fears Climb: Inflation fears rose for the 12th consecutive…

Most Consumers Don’t Think The Economy Is On The “Right Track”

Consumers continued to feel pessimistic about the housing market in October, reporting mixed feelings about buying and selling homes and worries over the economy overall. Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index stayed relatively flat, rising only one point in October to 75.5. The index’s six components increased month-over-month (MOM) but are down 6.2 points year-over-year (YOY.)  A somewhat larger group of consumers from last month said it’s a good time to buy a home (30%, +2%) or sell a home (77%, +3%), and report they expect mortgages will increase over the next 12 months. The net share of respondents who say it’s a good time to buy a home rose 3% MOM. The share of respondents who expect home prices…