Buyer Demand Elevated Despite Affordability Concerns

Even as buying a home is getting more expensive by the day, stock shortages are spurring serious competition among the few buyers on the market. New listings fell nearly 5% last month, according to Zillow’s latest market report. While inventory is slowly recovering – 5% is actually a smaller decline than seasonally expected – it is still the lowest number of listings in any October recorded by Zillow since 2018. Still, there are good indicators for inventory. Listings were down 1.2% YOY, the smallest since May 2022, and are down 19% compared to pre-pandemic levels, much better than April’s -35%. In fact, total inventory actually rose 2.6% from September to October, though this was due to a downturn in sales,…

Now May Be The Best Time To Buy

In a year of housing market horrors for buyers, now may be the best time to buy, according to a new analysis from Redfin. In the last three weeks, rates have sunk from 8% to 7.4%, giving buyers breathing room after a succession of rate increases. Just last week, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate dropped by 25 bps, the largest single-week decline since July 2022. At the same time, though inventory remains low it is on the rise. New listings were up 1.5% YOY at the beginning of November, only the second stock increase in more than a year. Plus, with demand slowing as rates priced more buyers out of the market, the number of sellers cutting prices is on…

Luxury Prices Climbing 3x Faster Than Typical Homes

Well-to-do buyers are avoiding high interest rates with cash purchases, pushing luxury home prices up even more than regular houses. The median luxury home price rose 9% YOY in Q3 2023 to $1.1 million, the highest third quarter on record, according to a new analysis from Redfin. It’s also three times faster than non-luxury prices, which were up 3.3% to $340,000 in the same period. Luxury sales seem to have followed a similar pattern as regular homes, with sales and listings falling last year before reversing course in 2023. Now, limited inventory has increased competition and pushed prices higher. But while mid-tier buyers suffer high rates, high-end buyers bypass them with cash, avoiding mortgages altogether. More than two in five…

Commutes Influencing Homebuyer Decisions

Scores of workers are being called back to their offices after more than three years of working remotely, influencing homebuyers’ choices as commutes are reintroduced to their lives. The typical American commute is 26.4 minutes long, according to a new analysis by LendingTree. Based on median hourly earnings of $30.80, commuting costs $27.10 a day in lost time — or $5,724.56 a year. Losses associated with commuting go beyond working time, according to LendingTree chief credit analyst Matt Schulz. Gas, parking, car maintenance, child care, and the toll on the mind and body add to the overall stresses of a workday involving travel. Price-wise, the typical commute costs nearly 50 cents a mile when total expenses are added together. “The…

America’s Scariest Housing Markets Are In California

American home shoppers have plenty to fear this Halloween as the housing crunch continues. But where buyers live plays a role in how stressful their experience is. Though markets are tough across the nation, California is home to the scariest housing markets in the U.S., according to a new analysis by Point2. Of the 200 largest American metros, California markets bode worst for homebuyers based on price changes and for-sale inventory.  Nine of the ten worst markets are in California, and they aren’t stereotypically wealthy West Coast leaders like San Francisco and Los Angeles. Instead, these are emerging hubs like Escondido and Sunnyvale, which were once more affordable than their famous counterparts. Finding affordable housing in California has long been…

Home Prices Surged In Q3

Home prices surged again in the third quarter as home shoppers butted heads because of low inventory. Annual single-family home price growth increased annually and quarterly from Q3 2022 to Q3 2023, according to Fannie Mae’s Home Price Index. Price growth rose 2% quarter-over-quarter and was up 5.3% YOY, showing home price appreciation remains resilient amid stock shortages. The index measures the average quarterly price change for all single-family properties in the United States, excluding condos. “Slightly slowing house price growth may reflect in part the affordability impact of the higher mortgage rate environment – even though prices were still solidly higher this past quarter than a year earlier,” said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae Senior Vice President and Chief Economist. …

Rates “Anchored” Above 7%

Mortgage rates increased last week, and despite a two-week streak of declines, will likely remain above 7%. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.18%, up from 7.12%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.02%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage slipped, however, down to 6.51% from 6.52%. A year ago, it averaged 5.21%. “Mortgage rates inched back up this week and remain anchored north of seven percent. The reacceleration of inflation and strength in the economy is keeping mortgage rates elevated,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  The consumer price index saw its biggest monthly gain this year in August, coming in hotter than expected at +0.3% month-over-month. This heightens the…

Pending Home Sales Improved In July

Pending home sales were up in July, marking a second month of increases, but there is still lots of room for improvement. NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index rose by 0.9% to a reading of 77.6 in July. An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001. “The small gain in contract signings shows the potential for further increases in light of the fact that many people have lost out on multiple homebuying offers,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “Jobs are being added and, thereby, enlarging the pool of prospective home buyers. However, rising mortgage rates and limited inventory have temporarily hindered the possibility of buying for many.” Only seven of the nation’s 200 largest…

RibbonCash Relaunched In Atlanta, Charlotte

Powerbuyer Ribbon, now owned by sale-leaseback platform EasyKnock, is reintroducing its all-cash offer product to Atlanta and Charlotte. RibbonCash offers temporary financing for cash offers, a powerful model during the housing boom that allowed it to expand to multiple states. But last year brought two rounds of serious staff cuts, with the company retaining only 30 employees by November 2022. It suspended new RibbonCash financing at that time as well. EasyKnock purchased Ribbon in May 2023, saying it would speed up the development of its buyer-seller marketplace, slated to launch later this year. The marketplace will connect sellers to both institutional and individual buyers, giving EasyKnock access to another sector of the housing market. It currently caters to existing homeowners.…

Consumers Down In The Dumps On Homebuying Despite Optimism About Personal Finances

As inflation slowly cools, consumers are feeling a lot more secure in their personal finances. But when it comes to homebuying, they’re still in the dumps. Leaders at Fannie Mae said the Home Purchase Sentiment Index increased by 4 points YOY in July as consumers responded positively to the job security and mortgage rate components. When asked to describe their feeling about the housing market, consumers became much more pessimistic, however, with 82% reporting that it’s a “bad time to buy” a home. This is a record high, up from 78% in June and above the last all-time high in October 2022. “While consumers are reporting confidence in the components related to their personal financial situations, it’s unlikely we’ll see…