‘If You Haven’t Re-fi’d, Do So Now:’ Experts Predict Inflation, Fed Will Drive Up Rates

A new poll from Fox News shows 9 in 10 Americans are worried about inflation, and they aren’t alone. A growing consensus among housing and banking analysts is that, while the Federal Reserve gets most of the attention, the real force impacting mortgage rates in the coming months is inflation. And that’s a factor much harder for policymakers to impact than the Fed. “If you haven’t yet refinanced, do so now,” says Greg McBride, chief financial analyst for Bankrate. “The likelihood is that we see higher rates, not lower rates in the months ahead.” While an entire industry has grown up around ‘Fed watching’ — tracking every hint dropped by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and his counterparts — inflation…

Garland Announces DOJ Initiative To Combat “Modern-Day Redlining”

Attorney General Merrick Garland announced a Department of Justice (DOJ) initiative to combat discriminatory redlining policies that make homebuying more difficult for borrowers of color. In remarks to staff, Garland said the DOJ initiative will target “modern-day redlining.” The DOJ will investigate and prosecute banks with the help of U.S. attorneys around the nation, as well as the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau (CFPB) and the Treasury Department. “Lending discrimination runs counter to fundamental promises of our economic system,” he said. “When people are denied credit simply because of their race or national origin, their ability to share in our nation’s prosperity is all but eliminated.” Redlining is a practice of lenders denying loans based on the racial makeup of an…

Advocates Rally For “Robust” Housing Spending In Economic Plan

Housing stakeholders gathered at the nation’s capitol to call for the budget reconciliation package being negotiated in Congress to substantially support housing. The group included National Association of Realtors (NAR) CEO Bob Goldberg, members of the National Housing Conference (NHC), Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), Habitat for Humanity, National Association of Homebuilders, and others. Representative Sherrod Brown (D-OH), chairman of the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee, and Representative Maxine Waters (D-CA), chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, also attended. “Housing is fundamental to an economy that works for all. Democrats and President Biden understand this,” Chairman Brown said in his speech. “Robust housing investments support families and kids, improve health outcomes, and address climate change – while creating…

Red States Are Beating Blue States in White-Hot Housing Market. Why?

The housing market in red states is white-hot compared to their blue counterparts, a new analysis finds. As U.S. housing prices remain high and experts predict the trend will continue, states led by Republican legislatures and governors are disproportionately represented among the hottest housing markets in the country, with experts offering a variety of explanations as to why that might be. Data analyst firm CoreLogic noted this month that “home prices nationwide, including distressed sales, increased year over year by 18.1% in August 2021 compared with August 2020, marking the largest annual gain in home prices in the 45-year history of the CoreLogic Home Price Index.” That price spike was driven by a sharply constricted housing supply that saw homebuyers scrambling to…

Fannie Mae: Home Prices, Mortgage Rates Will Rise In 2022

Economists from Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) group anticipate that mortgage rates and home prices will increase in 2022, according to the group’s October 2021 Forecast commentary. The group cites inflation, tightening monetary policy, and continuing home stock shortages as drivers of higher prices in 2022.  Fannie Mae’s October economic forecast predicts the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will average 3.3% in 2022. It raised its prediction of 3.1% last month in anticipation of the Federal Reserve tapering its purchase of mortgage-backed securities, which is expected to start by the end of this year. “While we still view the supply chain disruptions and, to a lesser extent, labor market tightness as largely transitory, we now expect both to last even…

COVID-Era Programs Are Ending, but Analysts Don’t See a ‘Forbearance Cliff’ in the Future

With COVID-era forbearance programs coming to an end, some housing activists warned of an approaching flood in forbearance filings. But so far, that hasn’t happened, and the signs are good that forbearance rates will remain low. The end of government forbearance protections is indeed causing an increase in the number of foreclosure filings. ATTOM’s latest Foreclosure Market Report, for Q3 2021, finds scheduled auctions or bank repossessions are up 34% from the previous quarter and 68% from a year ago. However, those increases are from historic lows, as forbearance relief artificially lowered the numbers. In fact, there were just 45,517 U.S. properties with foreclosure filings in the quarter. “Despite the increased level of foreclosure activity in September, we’re still far…

Nearly 60% Of Single Women Don’t See Homeownership In Their Futures

Women have been disproportionately impacted by the pandemic, but none more so than single women. After Covid-19 ravaged their work and home lives, almost 60% of single female heads of household (SFHOH) now say they don’t see homeownership in their futures, a Freddie Mac survey found. “The COVID-19 pandemic has had disparate economic impacts nationwide, particularly on women who are heads of their households, such as single moms and caretakers,” said Pam Perry, Single-Family Vice President of Equitable Housing. “In this survey, we discovered this population’s housing and financial challenges have been further complicated by pandemic-related workplace disruptions and current economic conditions. While the survey showed some feel confident in their knowledge of finances and building credit, many lack confidence…

Analysis: Do Low-Income Home Buyer Programs Help or Hurt?

Homeownership for low-income Americans is a major policy plank for countless political leaders, as well as an intensively studied issue among nonprofit and research organizations. The interest is unsurprising: Getting more people at all income levels into homeownership is broadly seen as a net positive for a nation’s economic and social health.  In recent years, programs hoping to help low-income buyers enter the market have proliferated throughout the lending industry. Targeted loans, favorable rates, and other measures are designed to boost homebuying among those not in the top echelon of earners.  But do those programs work? Many industry leaders seem to believe so. Last week Freddie Mac announced a “multi-billion affordable housing bond program,” one that “provides a 3% down…

Should Homebuyers Care About Debt Ceiling Debate?

When President Joe Biden was trying to pressure Republicans into supporting Democrats’ efforts to raise the debt ceiling, he warned of ominous outcomes should the effort fail. “People may see the value of their retirement accounts shrink. They may see interest rates go up, which will ultimately raise their mortgage payments and car payments,” Biden said. Is that true? Political pundits on both sides of the aisle appear to agree the debt ceiling will get lifted, one way or another. “It has to be done, it will be done. The debt ceiling will be raised,” Fox News’ commentator Brit Hume said Monday night. “This will get done.” But what if something goes wrong in Washington, DC — hardly an unusual…

REPORT: High Rents Forcing Teachers, Nurses Into Smaller, Older Homes

Lack of affordable housing is forcing in-person workers like teachers and nurses into smaller, older homes, according to a Zillow report. While remote work has allowed some people to buy upscale homes in more affordable markets, workers in occupations that require in-person work are left to deal with rising rent and home prices. Those left behind are often forced to live with roommates or in a less desirable home.  “Many renters have been able to keep costs low even as prices have grown over the past several years, but merely affording rent does not mean they are thriving,” said Zillow economic data analyst Nicole Bachaud. “A deeper look shows a big slice of the market is out of reach for…