Interest rates increased last week for the first time in more than a month, pushing mortgage applications down.
The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey says the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – decreased by 8.8%, outstripping last week’s 5.3% increase.
Adjusted purchase applications fell by 10%, while the unadjusted index was down 9% from the week before and 36% lower YOY.
The average interest rate for 30-year fixed loans jumped from 6.30% to 6.43% after ticking down consistently since bank failures last month.
MBA Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist Joel Kan noted that an influx of first-time buyers in the market adds to rate sensitivity, as these buyers lack the flexibility of…
Recent bank failures have created another problem for the housing market: lack of credit.
First American’s Potential Home Sales Model– a measure of what a healthy level of home sales should be based on market fundamentals– fell by 2.5% month-over-month in March. Year-over-year, it is down 10.7%, a loss of more than 640,000 sales.
The biggest contributor to the decline was tightening credit standards, First American says. At the beginning of the pandemic, lenders reduced credit due to the increased likelihood of forbearance and delinquency, but it slowly began to ease.
Now, credit is tightening again thanks to banking uncertainty.
“There are fears that the recent bank failures will prompt lenders to be much more conservative with their lending,” said…
Inflation is forcing homeowners to put renovations on the back burner, but most would still rather renovate than move.
Nearly 60% of respondents to a new survey from Discover Home Loans said they are postponing their renovation projects as projects become more expensive than their budgets. Another 26% will reduce the scope of their projects due to increased costs.
But 79% would still rather renovate their current home than purchase a new one. Just under half of respondents said they are no longer interested in buying a home specifically because of rising interest rates.
“Our survey results show that homeowners are still looking to invest in their homes, despite higher home improvement costs. With large amounts of existing home equity…
Zoomers are approaching homeownership from a different perspective than past generations, focusing more on their pets than their romantic partners.
A recent Zillow survey found that Gen Z adults consider a fenced backyard more essential than a double sink in the primary bathroom, a home office for their partner, or a kids’ playroom.
When asked whether it was more important to have a pet-friendly home or a kid-friendly home, features, 10% more Zoomers chose the former. At the same time, almost a full quarter of Gen Z pet owners would move if their home wasn’t working for their pets. Only 12% said the same about their partners’ preferences.
“Young adults may be delaying parenthood, but they’re not putting off pet…
Mortgage rates ticked down again, the fifth straight week of declines.
Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.27%, down from 6.28% the week prior.
A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5%.
The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage fell from 5.64% to 5.54%. A year ago, it averaged 4.17%.
“Incoming data suggest inflation remains well above the desired level but showing signs of deceleration,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “These trends, coupled with tight labor markets, are creating increased optimism among prospective homebuyers as the housing market hits its peak in the spring and summer.”
First-time buyers particularly are feeling prepared to enter the market.
More than half of respondents to…
Mortgage applications righted themselves last week after a brief dip as buyers took advantage of cooling rates.
The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey says the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – increased by 5.3%, outstripping last week’s 4.1% decline.
Adjusted purchase applications rose by 8%, while the unadjusted index was up 9% from the week before and 31% lower YOY.
The average interest rate for 30-year fixed loans fell from 6.40% to 6.30%. This is the lowest level in two months. MBA’s SVP and Chief Economist Mike Fratantoni attributed this to slowing job market data released last week. Slowing employment leads to less demand for housing, typically pushing rates down, and vice versa.…
Inflation continued its upward march last month but showed signs of cooling, according to new data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The Consumer Price Index rose 5% YOY in March, down from 6% in February. Month-over-month, inflation was up 0.1% on a seasonally adjusted basis, compared to 0.4% in February.
The core index, which measures everything but volatile food and fuel costs, ticked up by 0.1% to 5.6% YOY. Though the increase is slight, it’s the first YOY acceleration since September.
“This is obviously a short-term setback for the Fed. However, inflation was never expected to decelerate in a straight line,” Tiffany Wilding, managing director and North American economist at PIMCO, wrote in a note. “[N]otwithstanding this report we…
First-time homebuyers are feeling ready to enter the market, despite facing high prices, rates, and competition.
TD Bank’s First-Time Homebuyer Pulse surveyed more than 1,000 Americans planning to buy a home in 2023 on their perception of the market and feelings of preparedness.
Of that group, 54% say they are now better off financially than they were two years ago. Just under 40% think it’s a good time to buy regardless of broad affordability pressures.
They are conscious of market pressures, and many are choosing to buy a fixer-upper or starter home, specifically looking for lower-priced properties. But the majority feel that homeownership is a good long-term investment and showed signs of financial preparedness such as saving for a down…
Vacation home hunters are poised to face less competition this spring buying season as the number of locks on second homes dwindles.
According to a new report from Redfin, the number of people locking in mortgages for second homes remained close to a 7-year low in March. Locks for these buyers are down by 52% from February 2020, before the pandemic housing boom, and 49% YOY.
In comparison, primary loan locks are only down 13% from pre-pandemic levels, and 29% YOY.
Locks for second homes peaked at 89% in August 2020 as wealthy Americans took advantage of historically low rates and remote work opportunities.
Now, second-home buyers are deterred by high costs and lifestyle changes. Remote work is gradually fading…
Lock volumes increased across the board last month, with purchase locks seeing the greatest gains of any March in the past five years.
Rate locks dollar volumes rose by 43% thanks to retreating rates and greater demand, according to Black Knight’s latest Originations Market Report.
Rates fell by 24 bps by the end of the month, impacted by banking sector uncertainty. They are continuing to shrink moving into April, hitting 6.28% last week.
“It is not unusual for rate locks to surge in March ahead of the spring homebuying season, although this year’s rise outpaced what we typically see on a seasonal basis,” said Andy Walden, vice president of enterprise research at Black Knight.
Purchase locks were up 44% month-over-month…
