By TYRONE TOWNSEND Rising mortgage rates may not have brought the housing market to a halt just yet, but experts are predicting a cooldown that will come in waves and hit different areas of the country at different times. As home prices begin to level off, the 30-year mortgage rate is moving between 5% and 6%. At the same time, consumer confidence is dwindling, and economic statistics indicate the housing industry is cooling after its frenzied surge during the Covid-19 pandemic. As a result, several Wall Street analysts are revising their outlooks for the homebuilding sector and downgrading some equities. “The housing market faces both demand-side and supply-side challenges,” Robert Dietz, chief economist at the NAHB, said in a statement.…
Mortgage rates tanked last week, dropping from an average 5.70% to 5.30%, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 5.30%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.90%. “Over the last two weeks, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dropped by half a percent, as concerns about a potential recession continue to rise,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “While the drop provides minor relief to buyers, the housing market will continue to normalize if home price growth materially slows due to the combination of low housing affordability and an expected economic slowdown.” Potential buyers are backing away from the market due to the soaring cost of purchasing…
Home price growth saw its largest single-month slowdown since 2006 in May as inventory begins to correct, according to Black Knight’s May Mortgage Monitor Report. May was the second straight month of prices cooling across the country. Home price growth slowed in 97 of the U.S.’s 100 largest housing markets. The national appreciation rate fell by more than a whole point YOY. “[W]hile any talk of home values and 2006 might set off alarm bells for some, the truth is that price gains would need to see deceleration at this rate for more than 12 months just to get us back to a ‘normal’ 3-5% annual growth rate,” said Black Knight Data & Analytics President Ben Graboske. “That said, the…
Most consumers think the economy is on the “wrong track,” growing frustrated as they struggle against inflation and a slowing economy. Fannie Mae’s most recent Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) fell 3.4 points in June to its lowest reading in ten years, while a survey-high 81% of consumers reported they believe the economy is on “the wrong track.” The full index is down 14.9 points YOY. Four of its six components fell from the month prior. More Americans reported they are worried about losing their jobs in the next twelve months (+5%) and fewer reported their income has significantly increased in the past year (-1%.) For the first time in almost seven years, a plurality of respondents said they would…
By KIMBERLEY HAAS Guild Mortgage has launched a national program that can help potential homebuyers compete with all-cash offers. Vice President of Product Strategy Erin Watts said in a recent interview with The Mortgage Note that they are doing everything they can to help homebuyers compete in today’s market. “We were getting these really well-qualified homebuyers that needed to get mortgage financing but they just kept missing out due to these cash offers,” Watts said. How does CashPass Work? When homebuyers apply for a loan with Guild Mortgage, they let them know they are interested in CashPass. They then provide the same information that they would need for pre-approval for a conventional loan. A minimum credit score of 680 is…
Mortgage loan application volume fell by 5.4% last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey shows. The adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased by 5.4%. The adjusted purchase index dropped 4%, while the unadjusted purchase index increased by 7% and was 17% lower YOY. The refinance index fell by 8% and made up 29.6% of total applications, down 78% from the same time last year. ARM activity fell to 9.5% of total applications. “Mortgage rates decreased for the second week in a row, as growing concerns over an economic slowdown and increased recessionary risks kept Treasury yields lower. Mortgage rates have increased sharply thus far in 2022 but have fallen 24 basis points…
Home sellers are slashing prices at a record pace as buyer activity falls off, Redfin reported. The median asking price for newly-listed homes saw decreased acceleration, rising 15% YOY. It is down 1.5% from its all-time high, which it hit in May. At the same time, a record share of sellers cut their asking price in the four-week period ending June 26. Pending home sales saw their biggest drop since May 2020, as evidence emerges that buyer demand is beginning to cool. But Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather says buyers aren’t done yet. Instead, they’re noticing “the shift in power, and are no longer leaving the market in droves.” That is, buyers are seeing that sellers are losing the upper…
Mortgage rates reversed their upward trend this week, averaging 5.70%, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 5.70%, down from last week’s 5.81%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.98%. “The rapid rise in mortgage rates has finally paused, largely due to the countervailing forces of high inflation and the increasing possibility of an economic recession,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “This pause in rate activity should help the housing market rebalance from the breakneck growth of a seller’s market to a more normal pace of home price appreciation.” Recession fears are rapidly growing, with 70% of economists expecting it by 2023. “It’s…
By KIMBERLEY HAAS Two heavy hitters who recently joined the Guild Mortgage team in Kansas say although the market may be tough for potential buyers now, a home is still a great investment. “Every time you make your mortgage payment you’re putting money into your 401K,” Senior Loan Officer Paul Camenzind said during a recent interview with The Mortgage Note. Overland Park, Kansas, where Camenzind works, has earned a positive reputation as an affordable and family-friendly community, with accolades including being ranked in the “Top 10 Best Places to Live in the United States” by CNNMoney, named “Best Place to Raise a Family” by WalletHub, and included in the list of “America’s 10 Best Places to Grow Up” by U.S. News and…
Inventory jumped 18.7% YOY in June, with news listings beating out even typical pre-pandemic levels, Realtor.com reported in its June Housing Report. The number of homes for sale increased at its fastest yearly pace of all time at 18.7%, up 8% from the month prior. This is thanks in part to an influx of new sellers entering the market at a higher rate than in the years before the pandemic. Compared to June 2021, active inventory increased in 40 of the 50 metros analyzed by Redfin, led by Austin, Texas (+144.5%), Phoenix (+113.2%), and Raleigh, N.C. (+111.7%). However, prices have yet to come down as a result of new inventory. The national median listing price instead rose to a new…
