Fed Not Likely To Cut Rates Anytime Soon

By PATRICK LAVERY Kicking the can down the road, moving the goalposts – whatever idiom you want to use – such an expression will likely be appropriate for this week’s meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, which appears poised to hold the target range for the federal funds rate steady at 5.25% to 5.5%. While that margin has not been raised since last summer, there has been hope that at some point in 2024, Federal Reserve Board chairman Jerome Powell will come to the microphone at the conclusion of one of the FOMC’s two-day summits and announce the beginning of a rollback of the series of rate hikes that steadily climbed from near-zero in early 2022 to their current…

Rates Retreat, Giving Refinances A Boost

Mortgage applications increased for a second week as rates retreated from 7%. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows that the adjusted Market Composite Index — a measure of mortgage loan application volume — increased by 7.1%, following the week prior’s 9.7% bump. Adjusted purchase applications rose by 5%, while the unadjusted index was up 6% and 11% lower YOY.  “Mortgage rates dropped below 7% last week for most loan types because of incoming economic data showing a weaker service sector and a less robust job market, with an increase in the unemployment rate and downward revisions to job growth in prior months,” said Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s SVP and Chief Economist.  Nonfarm payrolls rose by 275,000 in February while the…

Rates Cool Down, Increasing Demand

Mortgage rates broke a month-long upward streak, deflating for the first time in weeks and resulting in a purchase demand boost. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.88%, down from the week prior’s 6.94%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.73%. This is the first decline in four weeks. The 15-year fixed also fell, dropping to 6.22% from 6.26%. A year ago, it averaged 5.95%. “Evidence that purchase demand remains sensitive to interest rate changes was on display this week, as applications rose for the first time in six weeks in response to lower rates,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  Mortgage loan applications were up nearly 10% from…

Applications Picked Up Last Week, Reversing Downturn

Mortgage applications pulled back from a weeks-long stretch of declines, increasing last week across the board. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows that the adjusted Market Composite Index—a measure of mortgage loan application volume—increased by 9.7%, reversing the week prior’s 5.6% dip. Adjusted purchase applications rose by 11%, while the unadjusted index was up by 13% and was 8% lower YOY. The data is adjusted to include the President’s Day holiday. Rates moved down slightly but not by much, reaching 7.02%. This is elevated from the beginning of the year, but rate-sensitive buyers may be inclined to lock in here before they move any higher. “The latest data on inflation was not markedly better nor worse than expected, which…

Rates Up For A Fourth Week, Skirting 7%

Mortgage rates inched up to a two-month high last week, putting pressure on hopeful spring homebuyers. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.94%, up from the week prior’s 6.90%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.65%. This is the fourth consecutive week of increases. The 15-year fixed fell, however, to 6.26% from 6.29%. A year ago, it averaged 5.89%. “The recent boomerang in rates has dampened already tentative homebuyer momentum as we approach the spring, a historically busy season for homebuying,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “While sales of newly built homes are trending in a positive direction, higher rates and elevated prices continue to pose affordability challenges…

UWM Releases 2023 Results, CEO Emphasizes Strength Of Broker Channel

By KIMBERLEY HAAS The chairman and CEO of United Wholesale Mortgage says they will continue to assert market dominance in 2024 as the company remains 100% committed to the success of the broker channel. Mat Ishbia spoke during an earnings call on Wednesday after leaders at UWM reported a net loss in 2023 of $69.8 million – inclusive of a $854.1 million decline in fair value of MSRs – and a diluted loss per share of $0.14. In 2022, the company’s net income was $931.9 million. Total loan originations for 2023 were $108.3 billion, of which $93.9 billion was purchase volume. In comparison, originations were at $127.3 billion in 2022. Ishbia started his comments by saying 2023 wasn’t one of…

Rates Jump After Dour Inflation Data

Tough inflation data led to mortgage rates increasing for a second straight week. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.77%, up from the week prior’s 6.64%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.32%. The 15-year fixed jumped to 6.12% from 5.90%. A year ago, it averaged 5.51%. “On the heels of consumer prices rising more than expected, mortgage rates increased this week,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “The economy has been performing well so far this year and rates may stay higher for longer, potentially slowing the spring homebuying season. According to our data, mortgage applications to buy a home so far in 2024 are down in more…

Applications Reverse, Refis Fall

Mortgage applications are swinging up and down, falling last week as rates posted increases. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – decreased by 2.3%, countering the week prior’s 3.7% rise. Adjusted purchase applications slipped by 3%, while the unadjusted index increased by 4% and was 12% lower YOY. Rates rose to 6.87%, their highest point since December, but have stayed in the mid-6% range since the beginning of 2024. “Purchase applications remained subdued as elevated rates continue to add to affordability challenges along with still-low existing housing inventory. Refinance applications declined and remained depressed, with rates still higher than a year ago,”  said Joel Kan, MBA’s…

Rates Hold Steady at 6.64%

Rates stayed basically the same last week, inching up just slightly. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.64%, barely budging from the week prior’s 6.63%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.12%. Rates have stuck around the mid-6’s  for about two months now. The 15-year fixed decreased to 5.90% from 5.94%. A year ago, it averaged 5.25%. “The economy and labor market remain strong with wage growth outpacing inflation, which is keeping consumer spending robust,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Meanwhile, affordability in the housing market is an ongoing issue due to continued high home prices, elevated mortgage rates and low supply of homes on the market, particularly…

Mortgage Rates Decline, Reversing One-Week Uptick

Mortgage rates reversed a one-time uptick and fell last week, giving potential buyers even more breathing room. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.63%, down from the week prior’s 6.69%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.09%. Rates have now been largely stable, within the mid-6’s, for almost two months. The 15-year fixed also decreased to 5.94% from 5.96%. A year ago, it averaged 5.14%. “Although affordability continues to impact homeownership, the combination of a solid economy, strong demographics, and lower mortgage rates are setting the stage for a more robust housing market,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. Khater noted that expected disinflation should push rates down further…