Pricier, More Populated Metros Making a Comeback

Big cities could be making a comeback, with more expensive, populated housing markets appearing on the quarterly Wall Street Journal/Realtor.com® Emerging Housing Markets Index. The top 20 emerging markets listed averaged 500,000 residents this quarter, more than 100,000 people more than last quarter. It is a mix of coastal, Southern, and Midwestern markets. Six of the 100 largest U.S. metros made the list: Raleigh, NC; Colorado Springs; North Port, Fla; San Jose, CA.; Cape Coral-Ft. Myers, Fla; and Oxnard-Thousand Oaks, CA. “It could signal a reorientation of the real estate market,” says Realtor.com Chief Economist Danielle Hale. The rankings and their median list price are as follows: Naples, FL ($667,000)North Port, FL ($445,000)Kahului, HI ($937,000)San Luis Obispo, CA ($899,000)San Jose, CA…

Morning Roundup (1/24/2022)– 2022 Forecast, Record Rent And Mortgage Growth

Good Morning! Today is Monday, January 24. Biden is considering sending troops to Eastern Europe in response to fears of a Russian incursion into Ukraine. Virginia’s Republican attorney general fired a top Jan. 6 investigator from his job at the University of Virginia. The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Buffalo Bills, and the LA Rams beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. TMN REPORTS: Finding A Mortgage On Your Phone: The typical American spends between five and six hours a day on their mobile phone, so mortgage companies are developing new technologies to help them meet consumers where they are. Freddie Mac Forecast: Purchases Up, ReFi’s Down in 2022: Freddie Mac’s latest Quarterly Forecast predicts that rising rates will lead to moderation in…

Rents And Mortgage Payments See Record Growth

Both rent and mortgage payment price growth reached record highs in December, according to a new report from Redfin. Rents jumped to $1,877, 14.1% year-over-year (YOY) and the largest annual jump since at least February 2019, the earliest month in Redfin’s data. The national monthly mortgage payment rose 21.6% YOY, also the largest increase in Redfin’s data history. “The growth in mortgage payments has been driven by both climbing prices and climbing mortgage rates,” said Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather.  “And those rising mortgage costs push more potential homebuyers into renting instead, which pushes up demand and prices for rentals. Mortgage rate increases are accelerating, which will cause both mortgage payments and rent to grow throughout 2022.” The 30-year fixed-rate…

Freddie Mac Forecast: Purchases Up, ReFi’s Down in 2022

Mortgage lenders should expect a small uptick in home purchases, while refi’s fall off the fiscal cliff. That’s the finding of the latest Freddie Mac’s latest Quarterly Forecast. Housing demand is expected to remain high, with home sales forecast to reach 6.9 million in 2022, then 7 million in 2023. “As mortgage rates rise, we do expect some moderation in housing demand, causing house price growth to temper. However, the combination of a large number of entry-level homebuyers facing a shortage of entry-level inventory of homes for sale should keep the housing market competitive,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “In 2022, we expect purchase originations to grow from $1.9 trillion in 2021 to $2.1 trillion in 2022 while…

Morning Roundup (1/21/2022)– Rates Reach 3.56%, Forbearances Increase

Good Morning! Today is Friday, January 21. Legendary rockstar Meat Loaf has died. Congressional Democrats urged Biden to overhaul the criteria for drone strikes, citing “repeated civilian casualties.” The Supreme Court let the Texas abortion law stay in effect, rejecting a request for quick action. In mortgage and housing news… TMN Reports: The average person is feeling the effects of inflation along with rising interest rates and some experts say that can be traced back to investors on Wall Street. TMN Reports: Mortgage rates continue to rise, reaching an average of 3.56% this week, Freddie Mac reported. TMN Reports: As forbearance exits yet again hit an expected mid-month slowdown, resulting in an increase in active plans, according to Black Knight’s…

Forbearances Up Due To Exit Slowdown

As forbearance exits yet again hit an expected mid-month slowdown, resulting in an increase in active plans, according to Black Knight’s blog, Vision. Active forbearance plans rose by 36,000 (4.6%) this past week, driven primarily by a 9.6%, 25,000, increase in FHA/VA plans. Forborne loans held by portfolios and PSL rose by 8,000 (3.2%) while GSE plans rose by 3,000 (1%). The headline is ominous coming a week after new plan starts reached their highest level since an unexpected jump in December. However, new plan starts actually fell by 3% week-over-week. Restart activity paired with an exit “lull” pushed plan entries up. The majority of homeowners in Covid-19 related forbearance have exited their plans as the economy continues its slow…

Rates Rise To 3.56%

Mortgage rates continue to rise, up to an average of 3.56% from 3.45%, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.56%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.77%. “Mortgage rates moved up again as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose and financial markets adjusted to anticipated changes in monetary policy that will combat inflation,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “As a result of higher mortgage rates, purchase demand has modestly waned in advance of the spring homebuying season. However, supply remains near historically tight levels and home prices remain high, keeping the market competitive.” Inventory reached a record low in December, down 19.5%…

Morning Roundup (1/20/2022)– Application Surge, Home Price Appreciation Accelerating

Good Morning! Today is Thursday, January 20. President Biden suggested he would break up his climate and social spending bill to improve the chances of passage. Senate Democrats failed to alter the filibuster to pass voting legislation, with Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema voting with Republicans. Starbucks rescinded its vaccination requirement after the Supreme Court struck down Biden’s mandate. And in mortgage and housing news… Loan Applications Surge: Mortgage loan application volume rose 2.3% from last week, MBA’s weekly survey reported. Acceleration In Full Swing: Monthly home value appreciation accelerated for the first time since July as potential buyers continue to outnumber new listings, driving December inventory to an all-time low. New Home Purchase Apps Down: Mortgage applications for new…

December Inventory At All-Time Low

Monthly home value appreciation accelerated for the first time since July as potential buyers continue to outnumber new listings, driving December inventory to an all-time low, according to Zillow’s latest market report. “Home shoppers picked the shelves clean this December, leaving fewer active listings than ever before in the U.S. housing market,” said Jeff Tucker, senior economist at Zillow.  “Enough determined buyers kept up their house hunt to reignite monthly price appreciation. Rising mortgage rates could be the next potential headwind, but demand has proven persistent; neither high prices nor slim inventories have deterred buyers so far.” The typical home value is now $320,662, 19.6% above that of December 2020 and a record high for Zillow’s data, which dates back…

Loan Applications Jump 2.3%

Mortgage loan application volume rose 2.3% from last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey reported. The adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 2.3%. The adjusted purchase index rose 8%, while the unadjusted purchase index rose 14% and was 13% lower YOY. The refinance index fell 3% and was down 49% YOY. Refinances made up 60.3% of total applications. “Mortgage rates hit their highest levels since March 2020, leading to the slowest pace of refinance activity in over two years. The 30-year fixed rate reached 3.64% and has increased more than 30 basis points over the past two weeks. FHA and VA refinance declines drove most of the refinance slowdown,” said Joel Kan,…