Morning Roundup (12/21/2021)– ESR Boosts 2021 Expectations, Lowers 2022

Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, December 21. President Biden will give a speech today outlining his plans to combat the Omicron variant. Omicron accounts for about 75% of new cases in the US. The E.P.A. will require new cars to get 55 miles per gallon starting in 2026. And in mortgage and housing news… Forbearances Improved In November: The total number of loans in forbearance fell from 2.06% of servicers’ portfolio volume to 1.67% in November, according to MBA’s Loan Monitoring Survey. ESR Expectations Change: Commentary from Fannie’s ESR Group showed the year ending on a strong note, with 2021 total home sales for rising 7.1%, but lowered its prediction for 2022’s GDP due to inflation concerns. CFPB, DOJ Warning…

MBA: Forbearances Fell To 1.67% In November

The total number of loans in forbearance fell from 2.06% of servicers’ portfolio volume to 1.67% in November, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Loan Monitoring Survey. MBA estimates 835,000 homeowners are currently in forbearance plans. Independent mortgage banks saw a 0.34% decline from 2.28% to 1.94%, while depositories saw a 0.5% drop from 2.02% to 1.52%. The share of forborne Fannie and Freddie loans fell to 0.76%, down by 16 basis points, while Ginnie Mae loans fell to 2.10%, down 42 basis points. PLS and portfolio loans in forbearance dropped by 106 basis points to 3.94%. “The share of loans in forbearance in November declined – albeit at a slower pace than October – as borrowers continued to…

Analysts Respond To FOMC Tapering Announcement

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced it will double the pace of tapering its pandemic asset purchase program, and signaled it would likely raise interest rates next year. This would be its first rate hike since March 2020. The move comes in response to concerns about rising inflation. At its November meeting, the FOMC said it would reduce its purchases of Treasury securities from $80 billion to $70 billion and from $40 billion to $35 billion for mortgage-backed securities. Since then, inflation has reached a 39-year high and become a major sticking point for the American public. As to how this announcement affects the mortgage and real estate industries, analyst response has focused on rising costs. “Increasing mortgage rates…

MBA: Loan Application Volume Falls 4%

Mortgage loan application volume dropped 4% last week, overwhelming a 2% increase from the week prior, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey reported. The seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, rose 4%. The seasonally adjusted purchase index rose 1%, while the unadjusted purchase index fell 4% and was 9% lower YOY. The refinance index fell 6% and was down 41% YOY. Refinances made up 63.3% of total applications. The report noted that refinances fell even though rates remained steady week to week. Interest rates are 40 basis points higher year-over-year, however, in line with the 41% drop in refinances from the same period in 2020. “Fewer homeowners have a strong incentive to refinance…

Industry Responds To Thompson Nomination

President Biden will nominate Sandra Thompson to become the permanent director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), the White House announced in a statement on Tuesday. Thompson is the current acting head of the FHFA, having taken over the position in June when Biden replaced Mark Calabria. She would serve a five-year term after her approval by the Senate. Though Thompson has held the position since June, her nomination was at one point in question. Biden faced criticism in September when rumors spread that he was considering nominating Center for Responsible Lending President Michael Calhoun. Thompson maintained support among Democratic politicians focused on housing, especially House Financial Services Chair Maxine Waters, which may have solidified her position. “We will…

Morning Roundup (12/13/2021)– Mortgage Credit Down, OCC Reports Improvement

Good Morning! Today is Monday, December 13. At least 90 people are dead after tornadoes leveled 250 miles across six states. Stock buybacks hit a record $234.5 billion in Q3 as companies responded to pandemic hardship. Chris Wallace is leaving Fox News to join CNN. And in mortgage and housing news… Reality Check: There will be more houses on the market in 2022 because of the number of people who have died due to COVID-19 and its variants, a sobering reality was highlighted during the National Association of Real Estate Editors conference in Miami, Fla., last week. Mortgage Credit Down:  Mortgage credit availability shrank in November, falling by 0.6% to 124.9, according to MBA’s Mortgage Credit Availability Index. OCC Reports…

Mortgage Credit Availability Shrank In November

Mortgage credit availability shrank in November, falling by 0.6% to 124.9, according to the Mortgage Banker Association’s (MBA) Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI). The Conventional MCAI rose by 1.9% but was offset by the Government MCAI dropping 2.7%. Within the Conventional MCAI, the Jumbo MCAI rose by 3% and the Conforming MCAI rose by 0.2%. The decline comes on the heels of a four-month period of mortgage credit growth. “Credit availability in November was down slightly, even as the housing market continues to thrive amidst the improving job market. However, the picture was different depending on the market segment. An increase in conventional credit availability was offset by a decrease in government credit, as lenders reduced their offerings of government…

Morning Roundup (12/08/2021)– Mortgage Apps, Missed Rent Payments Up

Good Morning! Today is Wednesday, December 8. The US will spend $400 million on vaccine distribution in Africa and elsewhere. The House passed a $768 billion defense policy bill, which now moves to the Senate. Chris Cuomo’s publisher canceled his planned book. And in mortgage and housing news… Mortgage Applications Up: Mortgage loan application volume rose 2% last week, MBA’s weekly survey reported. Missed Rent Payments: Renters were three times more likely to miss payments than homeowners during September and October, according to research from RIHA. Commercial/Multifamily Delinquencies: Delinquencies on commercial and multifamily mortgages fell in Q3 2021, according to MBA’s Commercial/Multifamily Delinquency Report. NAR Political Spending: NAR’s political spending is in opposition to its stated desire to support education…

MBA: Mortgage Applications Up 2%

Mortgage loan application volume rose 2% last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey reported. The seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, rose 2%. The seasonally adjusted purchase index fell 5%, while the unadjusted purchase index rose 28% and was 8% lower YOY. The share of refinance applications rose 9% and was down 37% YOY. Refinances made up 53.9% of total applications, up from 59.4% the previous week. The report noted that mortgage rates fell after rising for several weeks, which resulted in the surge of refinances. “While the 30-year fixed mortgage rate and 15-year fixed mortgage rate both declined only one basis point, the FHA rate fell 7 basis points, driving the…

Renters Were 3X More Likely To Miss Payments Than Homeowners In September, October

Renters were three times more likely to miss payments than homeowners during September and October, according to research from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Research Institute for Housing American (RIHA). The study, titled Housing-Related Financial Distress During the Pandemic, found that the share of renters who missed, delayed, or made a reduced payment rose to 9.6% in September and 10.9% in October. In July, that number was 9.6%.  The share of homeowners who missed payments declined in the same period, to 3.2% in September, though it rose again in October to 3.8%. In July, that number was 3.8%, while in June it was 4.6%. Of those who missed their June rent, 17.2% also missed their September rent. Of homeowners who…