“Zombie” Property Increases May Be On The Horizon

The number of “zombie” foreclosures hardly budged this quarter, though increases are expected to come, according to a report from ATTOM Data Solutions. Properties that are both vacant and in the foreclosure process, known as “zombie” properties, make up 3.3% of foreclosures. Zombie properties are most common in the Northeast and Midwest. New York has the highest rate, followed by Ohio, Florida, Illinois, and Pennsylvania. And 7,432 property owners vacated their homes in Q2, down from 7,538 in Q3 2021 and from 7,612 in Q4 2020. That number is down both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year (YOY) in 25 states. Georgia saw a 29% drop in zombies from Q3 to Q4, while Kentucky, Illinois, Connecticut, and Oklahoma all saw drops of over…

Morning Roundup (10/28/2021)– Interest Rates Rise, Fraud Back To Pre-Pandemic Levels

Good Morning! Today is Thursday, October 28. The Biden White House announced a framework for the $1.75 trillion in social spending known as “Build Back Better.” Iran said it would rejoin negotiations to revive the 2015 nuclear deal. The Taliban have allowed some teenaged girls to go back to school. A study found that a cheap anti-depressant may reduce the chance of hospitalization for those with Covid-19. And in mortgage and housing news… Freddie Mac: Interest rates rose again this week, reaching 3.14%. Fraud On The Rise: Mortgage fraud is back up to pre-pandemic levels as low-risk refinances lose favor and purchase applications tick up. Pace of Home Sales Picking Up: One-third of houses sold in the last four weeks…

Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates Rise To 3.14%

Mortgage rates rose again over the past week, reaching 3.14%, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.14%, up from last week’s 3.09%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.81% “The yield on the 10-year Treasury note has been trending up due to the decline in new COVID cases, increasing consumer optimism, as well as broadening inflation and persistent shortages,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Mortgage rates are also rising, but purchase demand remains firm, showing that latent purchase demand exists among consumers.” Industry experts have noted minor decreases in home prices and other factors that would point to a cool-down, but the market remains hot. The…

Mortgage Fraud Rose To Pre-Pandemic Levels In Q2

Mortgage fraud rose 37.2% year-over-year (YOY) through Q2, reaching pre-pandemic levels, according to CoreLogic’s latest Mortgage Fraud Report.  The increases are artificially high given the significant drop in fraud during 2020, which was driven by jumps in traditionally low-risk refinances. The current level mimics mid-2019. “Refinance opportunities that surged lending volumes during the pandemic may be winding down. The outlook is for fewer low-risk refinances compared to purchases and cash-out refinances, which translates to a higher-risk environment for fraud,” said Ann Regan, executive, product management at CoreLogic. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, increasing interest rates have hampered refinance activity, with applications spiraling to their lowest point since January 2020. Purchase applications have picked up slightly. About 0.83% of all…

Pace of Home Sales Picks Up, Unusual For Fall

Houses are going from listing to contract faster, at a time in the selling cycle when they are usually slowing down. According to Redfin’s newest Housing Market Update, one-third of homes that sold in the past four weeks went under contract within seven days of hitting the market. The time it takes for a home to go under contract has been dropping for the past six weeks, despite the fact that the market usually begins to slow in the fall. Thirty-three percent of homes sold had an accepted offer within one week of listing, a 30% increase year-over-year (YOY) and up 20% from 2019. Forty-five percent of homes sold had an accepted offer within two weeks, up 3% from the…

Morning Roundup (10/27/2021)– Refis At Lowest Point Since Jan 2020, Home Prices Up 18.5% YOY

Good Morning! Today is Wednesday, October 27. The nor’easter battering the East Coast has left 400,000 without power in Massachusetts. Progressive Democrats proposed a plan to tax the unrealized capital gains of the super-wealthy. Atlanta beat Houston 6-2 in the first game of the World Series. And in mortgage and housing news… MBA: Mortgage applications rose slightly from last week, but refis dropped to their lowest point since January 2020. FHFA Housing Index: FHFA’s House Price Index reported a 1% increase in house prices from last month and an 18.5% increase year-over-year. Maxwell Makes More: Digital mortgage platform Maxwell has raised another $52.5 million in funding, backed by Wells Fargo. First American RHPI: First American’s Real House Price Index shows…

Home Prices Up 18.5% Over Last Year

House prices rose 1% in August and are now 18.5% higher than a year ago, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s House Price Index (FHFA HPI). “Annual house price gains remained extremely high in August but the pace of month-over-month gains continues to decelerate,” said Dr. Lynn Fisher, FHFA’s Deputy Director of the Division of Research and Statistics.  “This does not mean house prices are at risk of declining—far from it, they continue to climb at a double-digit pace in all regions—but it does suggest we may have seen the peak in annual gains for the time being.” At the same time, First American released its Real House Price Index (RHPI), which showed similar results: Real house prices rose…

Refis Hit Down 26% YOY, Lowest Since January 2020

Mortgage loan application volume rose by just 0.3% last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey reports. The Market Composite Index, which measures application volume, rose 0.3% on an adjusted basis. The Refinance Index fell 2% and was 26% lower than a year ago. It’s the Refinance Index’s lowest level since January 2020. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index rose 4%, while the unadjusted Purchase Index rose 3% compared to the week before, down 9% from the previous year. “Mortgage rates increased again last week, as the 30-year fixed rate reached 3.30% and the 15-year fixed rate rose to 2.59%- the highest for both in eight months. The increase in rates triggered the fifth straight decrease in refinance activity to…

Morning Roundup (10/26/2021)– Forbearances Slow, Summer Warns Of Housing Inflation

Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, October 26. Two were killed and five injured in a mall shooting in Boise, Idaho. Minneapolis residents will vote on whether to replace their police department with an agency focused on “public health.” A record-breaking storm hit California ahead of the Northeast’s first nor’easter, which is expected to cause flooding. And in mortgage and housing news… Forbearance Exits Slow: The number of loans in forbearance fell to 2.21% this week, cooling after two weeks of high exit rates, MBA reports. Summers Storms: Larry Summers warns “housing inflation is almost certain to soar,” says Biden admin underestimating inflation risks. CRA In NY: New York State may approve a bill that expands the requirements of the state community…

MBA: 25% of Forbearances Now New Requests, Re-Admissions

Forbearances continued to drop last week, though not as dramatically as the week before. The total number of loans in forbearance dropped to 2.21% of servicers’ portfolio volume, down from 2.28% the week before, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) latest survey. The estimated number of homeowners in forbearance plans remains around 1.1 million. This week’s drop of seven basis points is a significant cooling compared to the prior week’s drop of 34 basis points. Black Knight reported that forbearances have entered a mid-month slowdown which they said to be unremarkable, mimicking “the same mid-month lull in removal activity that we’ve been reporting on for many months now.” MBA Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Mike Fratantoni acknowledged the…