Should Homebuyers Care About Debt Ceiling Debate?

When President Joe Biden was trying to pressure Republicans into supporting Democrats’ efforts to raise the debt ceiling, he warned of ominous outcomes should the effort fail. “People may see the value of their retirement accounts shrink. They may see interest rates go up, which will ultimately raise their mortgage payments and car payments,” Biden said. Is that true? Political pundits on both sides of the aisle appear to agree the debt ceiling will get lifted, one way or another. “It has to be done, it will be done. The debt ceiling will be raised,” Fox News’ commentator Brit Hume said Monday night. “This will get done.” But what if something goes wrong in Washington, DC — hardly an unusual…

Mortgage Payments Least Affordable for Average Buyers Since 2008

Surging home prices have made mortgage payments more unaffordable than any time since 2008. The median American household would need to spend 32.1% of its income on mortgage payments on a median-priced home today, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. In November 2008, that number was 34.2%. The Atlanta Fed estimated the amount a household would need to spend on mortgage payments rose 3.1% in the first six months of this year alone. Though low interest rates and slightly higher incomes improve affordability, the price of homes has negated any positive buying power they normally would have generated. Prices continue to climb despite some speculation that the market may soon cool. Years of underbuilding have resulted in a…

Morning Roundup (10/1/2021)– Teachers, Nurses Struggle With Affordable Housing, Forbearances Down

Good Morning! Today is Friday, October 1. Lawmakers avoided a partial shutdown last night by signing a bill to fund the government. House Democrats delayed a vote on the $1 trillion infrastructure bill. Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh tested positive for COVID-19. U.S. jobless claims remained near pandemic lows during September. And in mortgage and housing news… Teachers, Nurses Struggle With Housing: The lack of affordable housing is forcing in-person workers like teachers and nurses into smaller, older homes, according to a Zillow report. Forbearances Fall: Forbearances are down 11% month-over-month, the fastest rate of decline since July, Black Knight reported. Seniors At Home: An AAG survey found that over 80% of seniors do not want to sell their homes.…

Morning Roundup (9/30/2021)– Interest Rates Top 3%, Investor Confidence Tanks

Good Morning! Today is Thursday, September 30. The House plans to vote today on a $1 trillion infrastructure plan. A new AP poll finds President Biden’s vaccine mandate splits Americans down party lines. The NCAA will allow women’s basketball to use the phrase “March Madness,” which used to be restricted to the men’s tournament. And in mortgage and housing news… Freddie Mac: Interest rates rose to 3.01% this week, Freddie Mac’s PMMS reported. Investor Confidence Falls: Nearly half of real-estate investors believe the investment market is worse than a year ago, and 36% expect it to stay bad over the next six months. AIME Conference: 3,000 mortgage professionals attended AIME’s 4th Annual Fuse conference. Pending Home Sales Rebound: Pending home…

Morning Roundup (9/29/2021)– Credit Scores Climbing, Loan Applications Falling

Good Morning! Today is Wednesday, September 29. Consumer confidence dipped in September, as President Biden’s poll numbers on the economy continue to slip. A Wall Street Journal investigation found that 130 federal judges broke the law by overseeing cases involving companies in which they or their families owned stock. The FTC is considering bypassing Congress to strengthen online privacy protections. And in mortgage and housing news… Loan Applications Fall: Mortgage loan application volume fell 1.1% last week, MBA’s weekly survey reports. Commercial/Multifamily Debt Up: The level of outstanding commercial/multifamily mortgage debt rose by $60.7 billion in Q2 2021, according to the MBA’s Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Debt Outstanding quarterly report. Yellen, Powell See Inflation Ahead: In testimony before the Senate Banking Committee, America’s top two financial regulators said inflation…

MBA: Loan Applications Fall

Mortgage loan application volume fell 1.1% last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey reports. Interest rate spikes stopped the upward momentum of applications seen in last week’s survey. The Market Composite Index, which measures application volume, fell 1.1% on an adjusted basis. On the same basis, they fell 1% from the week before, which is 13% lower year over year. The share of refinancing applications fell 1% and was 0.4% higher compared to a year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index fell 1%, while the unadjusted Purchase Index fell 2% compared to the week before, down 12% from the previous year. “Increased optimism about the strength of the economy pushed Treasury yields higher following last week’s FOMC meeting.…

Morning Roundup (9/28/2021)– Forbearances Dip Below 3%, Homebuyers Increasingly Worried About Natural Disasters

Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, September 28. Rocket Mortgage will continue to sponsor the PGA’s Rocket Mortgage Classic through 2027. The presidents of Boston and Dallas’s Federal Reserve banks are resigning following reports of investment trading. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will tell Congress today that inflation will stay high for a few months before moderating. Senate Republicans blocked a bill that would prevent a government shutdown. And in mortgage and housing news… Forbearances Keep Falling: The share of loans in forbearance fell yet again, dropping to 2.96%. It’s the first time they’ve dipped below 3% since March 2020. Natural Disasters Cause Concern: More than half of respondents to a Realtor.com survey said they considered natural disasters when choosing where…

Morning Roundup (9/27/2021)– D.C.’s Debt-Ceiling Debate Could Impact Mortgage Rates, LIFT Legislation Proposes 20-Year-Fixed-Rate

Good Morning! Today is Monday, September 27. Government funding is set to expire this week as Democrats push two sweeping legislative packages. States are beginning to roll out booster shots to at-risk Americans. China traded two detained Canadian citizens to bring home a Huawei executive accused of stealing trade secrets. And in mortgage and housing news… What Does Debt-Limit Mean For Mortgage Rates?: Mortgage rates could be impacted by Washington D.C.’s debate over raising the debt ceiling. “LIFT”: Legislation aimed at first-time homebuyers proposes creating a 20-year-fixed-rate mortgage program through Ginnie Mae. FHFA Loan Mods:Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac completed 217,020 foreclosure prevention actions in the second quarter, with 47% of loan modifications lowering monthly payments by more than 20%.…

FHFA: 47% Of Modified Loans Got Lower Monthly Payments

Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae completed 217,020 foreclosure prevention actions in Q2, bringing the number of homeowners the GSEs have helped during conservatorship to 6.030 million, according to the Federal Housing Finance Authority’s Foreclosure Prevention and Refinance Report. 57% of loan modifications reduced monthly payments by more than 20%, though the number of refinances began to fall in Q2. Forbearance starts dropped 32% to 6,233 in the second quarter, while third-party and foreclosure sales fell 9% to 2,281. The GSEs’ serious delinquency rate dropped from 2.48% to 1.99% by the end of Q2.  The total number of loans in forbearance continues to drop from its latest peak in May 2021, though new forbearance plans fell but stayed high through Q2…

What Does Debt-Limit Fight Mean for Mortgage Rates?

Economists and housing industry experts are keeping a close eye on Washington D.C.’s debate over raising the debt ceiling and what it might mean for interest rates. Congressional Democrats are heading into what even Speaker Nancy Pelosi acknowledges is a turbulent week or two, in which her party will attempt to use its narrow majorities to pass two massive spending bills. At the same time, Washington’s about to hit the limit of debt it can issue to keep paying its bills. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen says the nation will run up against the debt ceiling sometime in October. Democrats are demanding the GOP follow the tradition of previous debt-ceiling votes and support an increase. Republicans, angry over the Democrats’ decision…