Commissions Are Falling Alongside Refi Activity

Loan officer commission dropped 17% year-over-year (YOY) in Q3 2021, according to SimpleNexus’ Q3 mortgage loan compensation report. The report cites declining loan volume as the main factor in commission declines, while a roughly 15% rise in loan officer staffing contributed to a ⅓ drop in individual processor incentive compensation. Per-loan commission rates have started falling as well, dropping 2.44% YOY from 102.88 to 100.37 basis points. Declining refinance activity had the biggest impact. Monthly refi commission dropped 37%. Refis have been falling steadily as rates tick up, resulting in the slowest weekly pace of refinancing since January 2020. Interest rates reached 3.14% last week. “We continue to expect weakening refinance activity as rates move higher and borrowers see less…

Morning Roundup (11/4/2021)– Tapering Is On, Affordable Housing Is Up

Good Morning! Today is Thursday, November 4. OSHA is expected to release its ’emergency order’ mandating vaccines for employees of large businesses. The U.K. approved a pill designed to treat symptomatic Covid. The attorney for the armorer on “Rust” suggested the live round that killed a woman may have been an act of “sabotage.” And in mortgage and housing news… Fed Says Tapering Is On: The Federal Open Market Committee laid out a framework for tapering its emergency bond-buying, but rate hikes weren’t discussed. Affordable Housing Up: The supply of affordable homes jumped 13% YOY in Q3, though supply dropped in the luxury market. Will Rising Rates Help Or Hurt?: Rising interest could hurt homebuyers by raising their monthly payments,…

Morning Roundup (11/3/2021)– Zillow Offers Closing, Mortgage Apps Down

Good Morning! Today is Wednesday, November 3. Republican Glenn Youngkin won the Virginia Governor race, while New Jersey’s is too close to call. The Federal Reserve is likely to announce that it will begin steadily reducing its bond-buying program. The Atlanta Braves won the World Series. And in mortgage and housing news… Mortgage Applications Down: Mortgage applications dropped 3.3% last week, according to MBA’s weekly survey. Zillow iBuying Up In Smoke: Zillow is giving up its iBuying arm, Zillow Offers, after losing $381 million last quarter and will be laying off 25% of its staff. October Home Prices Up: Clear Capital’s October 2021 Home Data Index found home price growth was up 5.3% from last quarter, and up nearly 20%…

Morning Roundup (10/29/2021)– Zombie Properties Down, Forbearances Rise

Good Morning! Today is Friday, October 29. Congressional Democrats failed to get enough votes to pass the basic infrastructure bill on Thursday as President Biden requested. Andrew Cuomo was charged with a misdemeanor sex crime, forcible touching. Facebook changed its corporate name to Meta, a reference to the online “metaverse.” And in mortgage and housing news… Black Knight: The number of loans in forbearance rose marginally this week, while forbearance starts ticked up. “They’re Coming To Get You, Barbara”: A new report from ATTOM shows a drop in the number of vacant “zombie” properties, but suggests increases to come. Pending Home Sales Down: Pending home sales fell in September, down in every region both year-over-year and month-over-month. Americans Priced Out: …

Morning Roundup (10/28/2021)– Interest Rates Rise, Fraud Back To Pre-Pandemic Levels

Good Morning! Today is Thursday, October 28. The Biden White House announced a framework for the $1.75 trillion in social spending known as “Build Back Better.” Iran said it would rejoin negotiations to revive the 2015 nuclear deal. The Taliban have allowed some teenaged girls to go back to school. A study found that a cheap anti-depressant may reduce the chance of hospitalization for those with Covid-19. And in mortgage and housing news… Freddie Mac: Interest rates rose again this week, reaching 3.14%. Fraud On The Rise: Mortgage fraud is back up to pre-pandemic levels as low-risk refinances lose favor and purchase applications tick up. Pace of Home Sales Picking Up: One-third of houses sold in the last four weeks…

Morning Roundup (10/26/2021)– Forbearances Slow, Summer Warns Of Housing Inflation

Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, October 26. Two were killed and five injured in a mall shooting in Boise, Idaho. Minneapolis residents will vote on whether to replace their police department with an agency focused on “public health.” A record-breaking storm hit California ahead of the Northeast’s first nor’easter, which is expected to cause flooding. And in mortgage and housing news… Forbearance Exits Slow: The number of loans in forbearance fell to 2.21% this week, cooling after two weeks of high exit rates, MBA reports. Summers Storms: Larry Summers warns “housing inflation is almost certain to soar,” says Biden admin underestimating inflation risks. CRA In NY: New York State may approve a bill that expands the requirements of the state community…

Morning Roundup (10/25/2021)– Delinquencies Down To Lowest Levels In 18 Months, Inflation To Impact Rates

Good Morning! Today is Monday, October 25. FDA regulators said vaccine benefits outweigh risks in children aged 5 through 11, and an emergency authorization could come next week. Set workers on “Rust” warned of unsafe working conditions days before the film’s cinematographer was fatally shot. The Houston Astros will play the Atlanta Braves in the World Series. And in mortgage and housing news… “If You Haven’t Re-fi’d, Do So Now”: A growing consensus among housing and banking analysts is that the real force impacting mortgage rates in the coming months will be inflation. Black Knight First Look: Delinquencies, active foreclosures, and foreclosure starts all dropped to serious lows in September, Black Knight’s “first look” report shows. DOJ To Address Redlining: Attorney General Merrick Garland announced a DOJ…

‘If You Haven’t Re-fi’d, Do So Now:’ Experts Predict Inflation, Fed Will Drive Up Rates

A new poll from Fox News shows 9 in 10 Americans are worried about inflation, and they aren’t alone. A growing consensus among housing and banking analysts is that, while the Federal Reserve gets most of the attention, the real force impacting mortgage rates in the coming months is inflation. And that’s a factor much harder for policymakers to impact than the Fed. “If you haven’t yet refinanced, do so now,” says Greg McBride, chief financial analyst for Bankrate. “The likelihood is that we see higher rates, not lower rates in the months ahead.” While an entire industry has grown up around ‘Fed watching’ — tracking every hint dropped by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and his counterparts — inflation…

Morning Roundup (10/22/2021)– “Lull” In Forbearance Drops, Eviction “Tsunami” Still Elusive

Good Morning! Today is Friday, October 22. The CDC endorsed a “mix and match” strategy for distributing Covid-19 vaccine boosters. President Biden said he was open to ending the filibuster in order to pass bills on the debt limit and voting rights. A woman was killed on a Western film set when Alec Baldwin fired a prop gun. And in mortgage and housing news… Black Knight: The number of loans in active forbearance fell 0.6% since last Tuesday, entering an expected, mid-month period of “lull”. “Eviction Tsunami” Still Elusive: As federal protections ended, housing activists warned a “tsunami” of evictions would follow. Where is it? Counties Face Pandemic Damage: Some housing markets at the county level are still susceptible to damage from the pandemic, according to a new report from…

Morning Roundup (10/21/2021)– Rates Climb, MBA Warns Of “Aggressive” Regulation

Good Morning! Today is Thursday, October 21. U.S. unemployment claims fall to a new pandemic low of 290,000. The gunman in the Parkland school shooting pleaded guilty to 17 counts of murder. Donald Trump is launching a new social media platform, TRUTH Social. And in mortgage and housing news… Freddie Mac: Mortgage rates continued climbing, hitting 3.09% over the past week, Freddie Mac reported. “In Front Of Every Fight”: MBA President and CEO Bob Broeksmit said that “aggressive” federal regulation is back but that the MBA would fight tax hikes on mortgage servicing. Advocates Rally For “Robust” Spending: Housing stakeholders gathered at the capitol to call for the budget reconciliation package being negotiated in Congress to substantially represent housing.  Runaway Demand: …