FHFA HPI: July House Prices Up 1.4% From June, 19.2% YOY

Home prices rose 1.4% in July, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s House Price Index (FHFA HPI). Year-over-year house prices are up 19.2%. For the nine census divisions, seasonally adjusted monthly house price changes rose 0.8% in the West North Central division and fell 1.9% in the South Atlantic division. The West North Central division saw an increase of 15.6% over the same time the previous year. There was also a 25.6% increase in the Mountain division. “Record appreciation rates for the U.S. continued in July,” said Dr. Lynn Fisher, FHFA’s Deputy Director of the Division of Research and Statistics.  “Although the monthly pace of increase slowed in most Census Divisions in July, four areas experienced year over year…

Homebuyers Increasingly Worried About Natural Disasters

More than half of respondents to a Realtor.com survey said they considered natural disasters when deciding where to live. Millennials and Gen Z were particularly wary of potential disasters when choosing a home. Disaster fears have grown over the last five years, with 47% of homeowners becoming more concerned over time. Of current homeowners, 62% expressed fears about the threat of natural disasters to their homes. The most concerned demographics were recent buyers, Millennials, Gen X, and urban homeowners. These groups also reported the most growth in their fears over the last five years. Baby Boomers, the Silent Generation, and rural homeowners weren’t as worried overall; half said they weren’t concerned at all. More than half of Millennial and Gen…

MBA: Forbearances Fall Again

Forbearances fell again last week, continuing to trend down as relief plans expire, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) latest survey. Forbearances made up just 2.96% of servicers’ portfolio volume, down from 3.00%. It’s the first time they’ve fallen below 3% since March 2020. The estimated number of homeowners in forbearance plans is around 1.5 million. For Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans, the August 2021 number was down three basis points to 1.44%. Ginnie Mae loans rose three basis points to 3.42%. Portfolio loans and private-label securities shares fell four basis points, from 6.95% to 6.91%. Independent mortgage bank servicers saw a drop of one basis point to 3.24%, and the share for depository servicers declined four points…

FHFA: 47% Of Modified Loans Got Lower Monthly Payments

Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae completed 217,020 foreclosure prevention actions in Q2, bringing the number of homeowners the GSEs have helped during conservatorship to 6.030 million, according to the Federal Housing Finance Authority’s Foreclosure Prevention and Refinance Report. 57% of loan modifications reduced monthly payments by more than 20%, though the number of refinances began to fall in Q2. Forbearance starts dropped 32% to 6,233 in the second quarter, while third-party and foreclosure sales fell 9% to 2,281. The GSEs’ serious delinquency rate dropped from 2.48% to 1.99% by the end of Q2.  The total number of loans in forbearance continues to drop from its latest peak in May 2021, though new forbearance plans fell but stayed high through Q2…

What Slowdown? Homebuyer Demand Hits Three Year Peak

Home prices have fallen a bit in recent weeks thanks to increasing inventory and buyer sticker shock, but expectations of a cooling market may be premature. A new report from Redfin found that early homebuyer demand reached its highest point in at least three years during the four-week period ending September 19. The report showed other housing market measures slowing at a normal rate for the end of summer. Pending sales fell 12% from their 2021 peak, and the number of homes selling above their list price fell. Time on market rose to 20 days. Asking prices also rose 2.4%. While that’s typical for September, the number itself is not: the median asking price rose 11% year-over-year to $359,724, an…

Average Homeowner Up $51k Since Q2 2020 As Home Values Soar

Homeowner equity grew $2.9 trillion since Q2 2020, up 29.3%, CoreLogic’s Homeowner Equity Report found. That shakes out to $51,500 in gains for the average borrower. Homeowners with mortgages make up roughly 63% of all residential properties in the U.S. Fifty-nine percent of borrowers reported they felt highly confident in their ability to make their mortgage payments in the coming year.  This is great news for underwater borrowers. The number of homes in negative equity has fallen 30% since Q2 2020. In Q2 2021 alone, the number of underwater homes fell 12% to 1.2 million homes, 2.3% of all mortgaged properties. The national aggregate value of negative equity dropped from $273.2 billion to $268 billion, a year-over-year decrease of about…

Freddie Mac: ‘Little Change’ in Rates

Mortgage rates remained essentially unchanged over the past week, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) reports the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 2.88 percent. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.90 percent. “The slowdown in economic growth around the world has caused a flight to the quality of the U.S. financial markets,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “This has led to a rise in foreign investor purchases of U.S. Treasuries, causing mortgage rates to remain in place, despite the increasing dispersion of inflation across different consumer goods and services.” Khater continued, “On the housing front, homebuyers continue to snap up available inventory, which has improved modestly, and home price growth…

Analysts See Stable Housing Market Ahead

More than 100 economists and real estate experts who participated in Zillow’s Q3 Home Price Expectations Survey say they expect the housing market to remain relatively stable in the coming months. Their predictions are based on the premise that many homeowners have put off listing their homes for fear of having to then buy or rent while prices are high. Improvements in buying conditions may be modest, but the market is cooling, which should put potential sellers at ease. The survey is sponsored by Zillow and conducted quarterly by Pulsenomics. “Across the U.S., home value appreciation rates and annual rent price increases are at historically high levels, and home price expectations are now the highest we’ve recorded in the 12-year…

MBA: Mortgage Applications Up

Mortgage loan application volume rose 4.9% last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey reports. Unadjusted, the purchase index increased 16% over last week. Mortgage application volume fell by 1.9%, with purchase applications rising 2%. On an unadjusted basis, purchase applications increased 12% over the week before, 13% lower than the year before. The share of refinance applications rose 7% and was 5% lower year-over-year. The numbers are in line with an upward trend that began last week when loan applications bounced back from a low point. “There was a resurgence in mortgage applications the week after Labor Day, with activity overall at its highest level in over a month, and purchase applications jumping to a high last seen…

Renters Now Outnumber Homeowners In Big City Suburbs

Renters now outnumber homeowners in previously owner-dominated suburbs, and more communities are set to flip soon, according to a report from RentCafe. Over the past ten years, 103 suburbs have flipped their majorities from homeowners to renters. Many of the communities are in suburbs around Miami, Washington, D.C., and Los Angeles. Suburbs in the U.S.’s 50 largest metros gained 4.7 million people in that time, of which 79% are renters.  About 21 million people rent suburban homes in those metros, 3.7 million more than in 2010. The number of renters grew 22% between 2010 and 2019, while the number of suburban homeowners grew by only 3%. Fifty-five percent of renters are under 45 years old with median household earnings around…