Good Morning! Today is Wednesday, October 6. Some Democrats propose changing the filibuster to bypass fighting about the debt limit. Johnson & Johnson asked the FDA to approve its Covid-19 booster shot. The Justice Department is reviewing its decision not to prosecute the FBI agents who disregarded allegations about Larry Nassar and later lied about their actions.And in mortgage and housing news… Loan Applications Plummet: Mortgage loan application volume fell 6.9% last week to a three-month low, according to the MBA’s most recent survey. Black Knight: Huge equity increases for homeowners might not be enough to prevent foreclosures, according to Black Knight’s latest Mortgage Monitor Report. Price Growth Breaks Record: Annual home price growth hit its highest point in the…
Annual price gains reached an all-time high in August at 18.1%, according to CoreLogic’s Home Price Index (HPI) and HPI Forecast. It’s the highest twelve-month increase in the history of the index. Month-over-month, prices rose 1.3% compared to July. The HPI Forecast suggests that home price growth will slow to 0.3% from August to September and YOY 2.2% as continuing supply chain problems and competition from cash-rich investors deter potential buyers in the coming year. “Home prices continue to escalate at a torrid pace as a broad spectrum of buyers drive demand for a limited supply of homes,” said Frank Martell, president and CEO of CoreLogic. “We expect to see the trend of strong price gains continue indefinitely with large…
Huge equity increases for homeowners might not be enough to prevent foreclosures, according to Black Knight’s latest Mortgage Monitor Report. “An analysis of our McDash loan-level mortgage performance dataset back to 2007 shows that holding equity in one’s home might not be a blanket backstop to foreclosure activity,” said Black Knight Data & Analytics President Ben Graboske. He explained that for homeowners who were 120 or more days late, having high equity did not significantly change the likelihood of being recommended for foreclosure. While borrowers are considerably less likely to have their homes involuntarily liquidated if they have high equity, it does happen. Thirty percent of borrowers recommended for foreclosure with 40% equity stakes lost their homes. “What the data…
Mortgage loan application volume fell 6.9% last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey reports. The Market Composite Index, which measures application volume, fell 6.9% on an adjusted basis. On an unadjusted basis, they fell 7% from the week before, which is 13% lower year over year. The share of refinancing applications fell 10% and was 16% lower than a year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index fell 2%, while the unadjusted Purchase Index fell 2% compared to the week before, down 13% from the previous year. “Mortgage applications to refinance dropped almost 10 percent last week to the lowest level in three months, as the 30-year fixed-rate increased to 3.14 percent – the highest since July. Higher rates…
Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, October 5. Prices for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil shot to their highest levels since 2014. Facebook whistleblower Frances Haugen is testifying today before a Senate consumer protection panel. An international group of journalists released the “Pandora Papers,” more than 11.9 million documents showing celebrities and world leaders have used offshore tax havens to conceal their financial activities. And in mortgage and housing news… Forbearances Keeping Falling: Forbearances fell to 2.89%, continuing to trend down as relief plans expire, according to MBA’s latest survey. Debt Ceiling: President Joe Biden warned of ominous outcomes if efforts to raise the debt ceiling didn’t pass. Is that true? New Treasury Guidelines: Grantees that haven’t utilized at least…
Forbearances fell to just 2.89% of servicers’ portfolio volume last week, down from 2.96% the week before, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) latest survey. It’s just the second time they’ve fallen below 3% since March 2020. The estimated number of homeowners in forbearance plans is around 1.4 million. The decline is part of a trend that’s continued even as government-funded forbearance relief plans have expired. For Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans, forbearances were down six basis points to 1.38%. Ginnie Mae loans fell seven basis points to 3.35%. Portfolio loans and private-label securities shares fell fourteen basis points, from 6.91% to 6.77%. Independent mortgage bank servicers saw a drop of five basis points to 3.19%, and the…
Good Morning! Today is Monday, October 4. New Covid cases have fallen by 35% since September 1. Migrants are surging at the southern U.S. border due to the economic devastation wreaked by the pandemic on South America. Vice President Kamala Harris sold her Washington, D.C., condo for $1.85 million. And in mortgage and housing news… Is Mat Ishbia Leading UWM Into A Title IX Lawsuit?: Ishbia’s monthly stipends for male student athletes could lead to Title IX challenges. Worst Since 2008: The median American household would need to spend 32.1% of its income to cover mortgage payments on a median-priced home, the most unaffordable mortgage payments have been since the 2008 recession. PennyMac: PennyMac is raising conforming loan limits by almost 14% through broker and correspondent channels, anticipating cap…
Surging home prices have made mortgage payments more unaffordable than any time since 2008. The median American household would need to spend 32.1% of its income on mortgage payments on a median-priced home today, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. In November 2008, that number was 34.2%. The Atlanta Fed estimated the amount a household would need to spend on mortgage payments rose 3.1% in the first six months of this year alone. Though low interest rates and slightly higher incomes improve affordability, the price of homes has negated any positive buying power they normally would have generated. Prices continue to climb despite some speculation that the market may soon cool. Years of underbuilding have resulted in a…
Good Morning! Today is Friday, October 1. Lawmakers avoided a partial shutdown last night by signing a bill to fund the government. House Democrats delayed a vote on the $1 trillion infrastructure bill. Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh tested positive for COVID-19. U.S. jobless claims remained near pandemic lows during September. And in mortgage and housing news… Teachers, Nurses Struggle With Housing: The lack of affordable housing is forcing in-person workers like teachers and nurses into smaller, older homes, according to a Zillow report. Forbearances Fall: Forbearances are down 11% month-over-month, the fastest rate of decline since July, Black Knight reported. Seniors At Home: An AAG survey found that over 80% of seniors do not want to sell their homes.…
Good Morning! Today is Thursday, September 30. The House plans to vote today on a $1 trillion infrastructure plan. A new AP poll finds President Biden’s vaccine mandate splits Americans down party lines. The NCAA will allow women’s basketball to use the phrase “March Madness,” which used to be restricted to the men’s tournament. And in mortgage and housing news… Freddie Mac: Interest rates rose to 3.01% this week, Freddie Mac’s PMMS reported. Investor Confidence Falls: Nearly half of real-estate investors believe the investment market is worse than a year ago, and 36% expect it to stay bad over the next six months. AIME Conference: 3,000 mortgage professionals attended AIME’s 4th Annual Fuse conference. Pending Home Sales Rebound: Pending home…
