Applications Drop, Refis Lowest Since July

Mortgage loan application volume fell 6.3% last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey reported. The Market Composite Index, which measures application volume, fell 6.3% on an adjusted basis. The Refinance Index fell 7% and was 22% lower than a year ago. It’s the Refinance Index’s lowest level since July 2021. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index fell 5%, while the unadjusted Purchase Index dropped 5% compared to the week before, down 12% from the previous year. “Refinance applications declined for the fourth week as rates increased, bringing the refinance index to its lowest level since July 2021. The 30-year fixed rate has increased 20 basis points over the past month and reached 3.23% last week – the highest since…

MBA: Forbearances Plunged Again

Forbearances fell again last week, dropping to 2.28% of servicers’ portfolio volume, down from 2.62% the week before, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) latest survey. The estimated number of homeowners in forbearance plans is around 1.1 million. This week’s drop of 34 basis points beats out last week’s decline of 27 basis points, which was at that point the fastest rate of decline since October 2020. For Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans, forbearances were down 16 basis points to 1.05%. Ginnie Mae loans fell 17 basis points to 2.77%. Portfolio loans and private-label securities shares fell 108 basis points, from 6.91% to 5.34%. Independent mortgage bank servicers saw a drop of 25 basis points to 2.57%, and…

Zillow Offers Won’t Buy Any More Homes This Year

Zillow’s iBuying division, Zillow Offers, will stop buying new homes for the rest of the year. Zillow Offers has been operating in house flipping for more than three years, buying, renovating, then selling homes. However, it has announced that it will switch gears and focus on its backlog of existing contracts and selling the homes it currently owns. In response to this news, Zillow stock plummeted 10% on Monday. The company cited challenges related to construction and labor contracts. “We’re operating within a labor- and supply-constrained economy inside a competitive real estate market, especially in the construction, renovation and closing spaces,” Chief Operating Officer Jeremy Wacksman said.  “We have not been exempt from these market and capacity issues.” Homebuilders have…

After 14 Months of Price Hikes, New Listings, Closings Down

A Redfin report found the number of new listings in September fell 9% year-over-year (YOY). Closed home sales and active listings also dropped — by 5% and 19% YOY — respectively. September marked the fourteenth month of consecutive double-digit price increases, with the median price of homes sold at $376,800, up 14% from the previous year. It was the slowest growth rate since December 2020. “The severe lack of inventory is restricting home sales,” said Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather.  “Even though plenty of people bought homes last year, many homebuyers waited while the pandemic went from bad to worse and remote-work policies were finalized. The homebuyers who are just beginning their search are finding that the well has run…

Millennial And Boomer Homebuyers Are Facing Off. Boomers Are Winning.

A Zillow analysis of the age, sex, race, and income of home buyers over the last decade revealed demographics might have more to do with the sizzling housing market than the pandemic. Millennials and baby boomers have been on a path to face off in the housing market since before the pandemic due to retirement trends and Millennials entering their 30s, typical homebuying years. Though Millennials are currently the most impactful force in the housing market, Boomers are currently gaining. The median buyer age rose from 40 to 44 between 2009 and 2019. The share of recent buyers who are over 60 years old rose 47% from 2009 to 2019, while the share of buyers ages 18–39 dropped 13%. Lack…

Black Knight: Forbearances Improved At Fastest Rate Since Pandemic Began

The number of loans in active forbearance have fallen another 10% since last Tuesday, adding to last week’s 11% drop, according to Black Knight’s blog, Vision. More than 450,000 homeowners have exited forbearance plans just in the last two weeks. Forbearances have fallen 22% over the last month, the fastest decline since the beginning of the pandemic. All investor classes have seen forbearances drop at least 20%. The total number of mortgages in forbearances is down 143,000 this week. The largest drop was in loans held by PSLs and bank portfolios, which fell by 88,000, or 19%. GSEs and FHA/VA loans in forbearance both dropped by 6%. Black Knight noted that this wave of exits was expected, as many plans…

Mortgage Rates Hit Six-Month High, Freddie Cites ‘Inflationary Pressure.’

Mortgage rates rose to their highest point since April, hitting 3.05% over the past week, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.05%, up from last week’s 2.99%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 2.81% “As inflationary pressure builds due to the ongoing pandemic and tightening monetary policy, we expect rates to continue a modest upswing,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Historically speaking, rates are still low, but many potential homebuyers are staying on the sidelines due to high home price growth. Rising mortgage rates combined with growing home prices make affordability more challenging for potential homebuyers.” Mortgage applications have trended down with increasing interest rates…

Serious Delinquencies Lowest Since May 2020

Only 4.2% of all mortgages were in some stage of delinquency in July 2021, according to CoreLogic’s monthly Loan Performance Insights Report. This is a 2.3% drop from July 2020, when it was 6.5%, but higher than the pre-pandemic rate of 3.6%. The rate of early-stage delinquencies, ranging 20 to 59 days past due, dropped 0.4% year-over-year to 1.1%. Adverse delinquencies, 60 to 89 days past due, fell from 1% to 0.3% year-over-year. Delinquencies 90 or more days past due, or serious delinquencies, fell from 4.1% to 2.8%. It is the lowest serious delinquency rate since May 2020. The share of mortgages that transitioned from current to 30 days past due dropped from 0.8% to 0.6% year-over-year. The foreclosure inventory…

MBA: Refi’s Down 16% YOY

Mortgage loan application volume ticked up 0.2% last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey reported. The Market Composite Index, which measures application volume, rose 0.2% on an adjusted basis. On an unadjusted basis, they rose 0.4% from the week before. The Refinance Index fell 1% and was 16% lower than a year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index rose 2%, while the unadjusted Purchase Index rose 2% compared to the week before, down 10% from the previous year. “Mortgage rates reached their highest level since June 2021, but application activity changed little this week. An increase in home purchase applications offset a slight decline in refinances,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting. “The increase…

Credit Availability Up In Response To High Equity

Mortgage credit availability rose by 1.5%, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI). This is its highest level since May 2021. The index analyzes data from Ellie Mae’s AllRegs Market Clarity business information tool. The MCAI rose to 125.6, with the Conventional MCAI increasing 4.5% while the Government MCAI fell by 0.7%. The Jumbo MCAI rose by 5.8% and the Confirming MCAI rose by 2.6%. “Last month’s expansion was driven by a 4.5 percent increase in the conventional index, while the government index slightly decreased. Even with increases in seven out of nine months thus far in 2021, total credit availability is still around 30 percent less than it was in February 2020 before the…