Are Private-Label Mortgages Making a Comeback?

Private-label mortgages, blamed by some for helping cause the Great Recession of 2008, are on the rise, accounting for 4% of mortgage bonds issued last quarter were private-label mortgages according to the Wall Street Journal. Private-label mortgages are packaged and sold to investors without the guarantees of payment provided by Freddie Mac or Fannie May, and were pivotal in the last financial crisis. The private-label market had more than $42 billion of issuance in the second quarter, more than almost any quarter since 2008. The left-leaning Center for American Progress says private-label lending fed the private-label securities market (PLS) which in turn caused the 2008 market crash. Defenders of the mortgages note private-label mortgage loans are made to people who can’t access loans guaranteed…

Existing Home Sales Up 2% in July

Existing-home sales rose 2% on a seasonally adjusted annual rate from June to July, with first-time buyers accounting for 30% of sales, according to a report from the National Association of Realtors®. This marks two consecutive months of increases in home prices. There were no sales declines in any region, with two of the four major U.S. regions seeing gains, while one declined and one was unchanged. Existing home sales, including single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 1.5% from July 2020, up from 5.90 million to 5.99 million. Another sign it’s a sellers market: 89% of homes sold within a month of being put on the market. NAR’s chief economist Lawrence Yun acknowledged that many of the sales remain…

Report: Delinquencies Edge Closer to Pre-Pandemic Levels, But 1.45M Remain Seriously Past Due

The data and analytics company Black Knight reports the July’s numbers show the national mortgage delinquency rate dropped 5 percent in July and is now approaching pre-pandemic levels. However, about 1.45 million borrowers remained 90 or more days past due – though not yet in foreclosure – more than 1 million more than at the onset of the pandemic. “Delinquencies have now improved in 12 of the last 14 months, with the two monthly increases being calendar-related as opposed to being indicative of worsening performance,” the company reports. Their analysis follows last week’s news that the number of homeowners exiting mortgage forbearance is up. The “total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 14 basis points from 3.40% of…

Mortgage Rates Remain Low, Steady as Supply Remains Low

Mortgage interest rates are remaining low and steady week-over-week, holding firm amid low supply and uncertain expectations about the overall direction the housing market is taking. Rates barely budged compared to last week, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly rate survey, with 30-year, 15-year and 5/1 ARM rates all moving no more than one basis point up or down: The 30-year rate dropped one basis point to 2.86 percent, while the 15-year rate went up one point to 2.16 percent and the 5/1 ARM dropped one point to 2.43 percent. “Mortgage rates stayed relatively flat this week,” Freddie Mac Chief Economist Sam Khater said in the press release. “Housing is in a similar phase of the economic cycle as many other…

Mortgage Applications See Pronounced Weekly, Monthly and Yearly Drops

The number of Americans filing mortgage applications dropped by several critical short-term metrics this week as signs abounded of an ongoing homebuying slowdown across the country. The Mortgage Bankers Association this week recorded a nearly four percent drop in mortgage applications week over week, posting a 3.9 percent decline in applications relative to the prior seven days. The weekly drop comes after the MBA revealed a yearly drop of more than 25 percent as well as a month-over-month drop of about four percent. MBA Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting Joel Kan pointed out in the weekly report that “mortgage rates were at their highest levels in around a month, with the 30-year fixed rate increasing above 3…

Mortgage Applications Plummet Year-Over-Year, Decline From Last Month

Mortgage applications declined sharply in the past month, plummeting year-over-year and seeing a small but still pronounced decline from the prior month. Applications for new home purchases “decreased 27.4 percent compared from a year ago,” the Mortgage Bankers Association said in its weekly application report. Meanwhile, compared to June 2021, applications decreased by 4 percent.” MBA Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting Joel Khan suggested the steep drop is not as dire as it initially appears. “Mortgage applications for new home purchases declined in July – as is typical most summers when home sales start to moderate – but did come in at the second-strongest July reading since the inception of MBA’s survey in 2012,” he argued in…

Forbearance Decline Accelerates as Economic Outlook Improves

The number of homeowners exiting mortgage forbearance increased this week, continuing an optimistic trend that comes alongside steadily improving economic numbers. The “total number of loans now in forbearance decreased by 14 basis points from 3.40% of servicers’ portfolio volume in the prior week to 3.26%,” the Mortgage Bankers Association said in its weekly forbearance report. The drop comes after a similar decrease last week; the decline has been ongoing for over a month, occurring alongside a limping but consistent economic recovery. “The largest decrease in a month in the share of loans in forbearance came from a jump in forbearance exits, as many homeowners are nearing the end of their forbearance terms,” MBA Chief Economist Mike Fratantoni said in…

Markets Across the Country See Dips in Home Sales as Cooldown Continues

Multiple diverse housing markets across the U.S. are continuing to observe pronounced dips in home sales as the white-hot real estate market continues a small but steady cooldown after a year of frenzy. In Des Moines, Iowa, home sales were down more than two percent month-over-month in July and nearly seven percent year-over-year. That drop comes amid a notable dip in the number of homes for sale on the market. In Indianapolis, meanwhile, a “year-long streak in increasing sales” came to an end last month, with a roughly identical drop in year-over-year sales as was observed in Des Moines. The “last time area sales fell on a year-over-year basis was in June 2020,” the Indianapolis Business Journal reports. Nashville saw…

Interest Rates Move Up Slightly Following Stronger Jobs Report

Mortgage rates ticked up in the past week amid a modestly brighter economic outlook, the first time rates have increased in weeks even as signs of a housing cooldown have persisted elsewhere. The 30-year fixed rate “increased by ten basis points week over week” after a six-week decline, Freddie Mac said in its weekly interest rate report. Specifically, the 30-year rate jumped from 2.77 percent last week to 2.87 percent this week; the rate still remains lower than where it stood a year ago, at 2.96 percent. The 15-year rate, meanwhile, rose five basis points to 2.15 percent, while the 5-year ARM rose from 2.40 percent to 2.44 percent. Freddie Mac Chief Economist Sam Khater said the jumps follow “broad…

Mortgage Applications Increase, Continuing Weekly Up-and-Down Trend Amid Economic Uncertainty

The number of mortgage applications filed by Americans over the past week increased, prolonging a whipsaw back-and-forth trend that continues to seesaw amid a relatively steady yet still uncertain economic recovery. Mortgage applications “increased 2.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier,” the Mortgage Bankers Association said in its weekly report on the subject. The increase comes after a decrease the week prior, which itself followed an increase the week before that, in a cycle that has persisted for weeks. “Mortgage applications rebounded last week, including an increase in purchase applications for the first time in nearly a month,” MBA Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting Joel Kan said. “The higher level of purchase activity…