Monthly payments are going up as mortgage rates continue to climb but a boost in new listings could signal a fall price cooldown.
Rates have soared to their highest level in more than two decades, sending monthly housing payments to record highs. A buyer with a $3,000 monthly budget has lost almost $40,000 in purchasing power YOY as rates rose from 6.5% to nearly 8% today, according to a new analysis from Redfin.
This is exacerbated by stagnant home inventory, which continues to trend down as stock shortages are keeping home prices high even as competition peters out. The total number of homes for sale is down 14%, Redfin noted.
The typical home sold for $371,000 during the four weeks…
Turmoil in Congress is making headlines, but will it impact the economy – and the mortgage industry – more broadly?
The House this week voted 216 to 210 to remove Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) from his position as speaker. He was the first speaker to be ousted through a vote in the middle of a congressional term.
No new speaker has been appointed, though several Republicans have put themselves in the running.
“It’s uncharted territory because we’ve never done that in the history of the United States,” Matthew Green, a politics professor at Catholic University, told CBS News.
The short-term impact of this week’s turmoil has been felt immediately in the mortgage market.
Redfin Economic Research Lead Chen Zhao said that…
Pending home sales tanked in August, reversing a two-month trend of increases.
NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index fell by 7.1% to a reading of 71.8 in July. An index of 100 is equal to the level of contract activity in 2001.
“Mortgage rates have been rising above 7% since August, which has diminished the pool of home buyers. Some would-be home buyers are taking a pause and readjusting their expectations about the location and type of home to better fit their budgets,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. “It’s clear that increased housing inventory and better interest rates are essential to revive the housing market.”
Year-over-year, pending sales dropped by 18.7%. All four U.S. regions saw declines both month-over-month and…
Young Americans’ homebuying outlook just keeps getting worse.
Almost one in five Millennials (18%) and 12% of Gen Z respondents to a Redfin survey believe they will never be able to own a home.
They overwhelmingly see affordability as their primary barrier, with half citing high prices as their biggest concern. Just under half of respondents say they can’t save for a downpayment, coming in second.
Notably, just over one-third directly blamed mortgage rates for the state of the market. Other concerns include paying off student loans and being able to make monthly mortgage payments.
“The worsening housing affordability crisis has an outsized impact on Gen Zers and Millennials because they’re much less likely to own a home than older…
By KIMBERLEY HAAS
It is being estimated that the average teacher can afford 12% of homes for sale within commuting distance of their school and just 27% of available rentals in the same area.
These numbers come from a Redfin analysis which looked at 2022 median teacher salaries in the 50 most populous U.S. metro areas. Commuting distance was defined as 20 minutes or less during rush hour and affordability was defined as no more than 30% of the metro’s median teacher income. For house sales, a 10% down payment was assumed.
In 2019, before the pandemic boom drove up prices, the average teacher could afford 30% of homes for sale within commuting distance of their school. A lack of…
As high rates keep sellers locked in their current homes, new homes are making up an increasing share of the market.
Newly built homes made up almost a third of all single-family homes on the market in Q2 2023 (31.4%), according to a new report from Redfin.
This is up 30.3% YOY and almost double the share from Q2 2019 (17%). It’s a new record for any second quarter in Redfin’s data, though not the highest share ever.
In fact, it’s down from Q1 2023’s share of 33.6%, though Redfin notes the decline follows a normal seasonal trend of new home shares peaking in the winter.
Though builders have slowed home construction, no longer producing the same inventory they did…
By KIMBERLEY HAAS
Democratic lawmakers introduced a bill this week that would restrict tax breaks for corporate investors that purchase large quantities of homes.
If passed, the Stop Predatory Investing Act would prohibit investors who acquire 50 or more single-family homes for rental purposes from deducting interest or depreciation on those properties.
U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio), chair of the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee, says investors funded by Wall Street buy up homes that could have been sold to first-time homebuyers. He claims they rent them out at higher rates, neglect repairs, and then threaten families with eviction.
“Our bill will help prevent corporate landlords from driving up local housing prices and put power back in the…
After an uptick last week, mortgage applications sank again, falling to their lowest level in a month as rates surged.
The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – decreased by 4.4%, wiping out last week’s 3% gains.
Adjusted purchase applications fell by 5%, though the unadjusted index rose 6% from the week before and 22% lower YOY.
Refinances dropped, down 4% from the week prior. They remain 30% lower than the same time last year, comprising only 27.4% of total applications. In the past decade, refis averaged 58% of total activity.
The average interest rate for 30-year fixed loans rose from 6.75% to 6.85%. This is the…
Middle-income buyers—classified as households earning up to $75,000— were once strong homebuying candidates with income to spare. Just five years ago, this group could afford to buy half of all available homes on the market.
Now, they can afford just 23% of listings, according to an analysis from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) and Realtor.com. The housing market needs about 320,000 mid-tier listings to make up for demand.
Middle-income buyers can on average afford a home valued up to $256,000, but very few are available. Among the 100 biggest metros, El Paso, Boise, and Spokane, WA, have the fewest affordable homes for this group. Ohio leads the way with the most, in Youngstown, Akron, and Toledo.
“Middle-income buyers face…
Mortgage applications fell for a fourth consecutive week, even as rates retreated from near-7% highs.
The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey shows the adjusted Market Composite Index – a measure of mortgage loan application volume – decreased by 1.4%.
Adjusted purchase applications fell by 2%, while the unadjusted index was down 13% from the week before and 27% lower YOY.
Rates took a turn, however, with the average interest rate for 30-year fixed loans falling 10 bps from 6.91% to 6.81%. Though that’s good news for home shoppers who can’t wait for a major shift in rates, it’s still the second-highest rate of 2023.
“Overall applications were more than 30% lower than a year ago, as borrowers continue to grapple…
