December Home Sales Saw Largest Drop Since May 2020

December was a hot month for homebuyers, but supply couldn’t keep up with demand. Monthly home sales saw their largest decline since the beginning of the pandemic, according to Redfin. Month-over-month sales fell 3.6%, the largest drop since May 2020, and were down 11% year-over-year (YOY), the largest annual decline since June 2020.  The drop was the result of continuing stock shortages. Active listings declined 19% YOY, reaching a record low. New listings dropped 13%, down annually in 82 of the 88 metro areas Redfin tracks. In addition, home prices were up 15% YOY, marking the 17th straight month of double-digit price increases. “Home sales are slumping, but not for lack of demand,” said Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather. “There…

Morning Roundup (1/13/2022)– Foreclosure Filing All-Time Low, Mortgage Applications Up

Good Morning! Today is Thursday, January 13. Donald Trump endorsed booster shots and said politicians who hid their vaccination status were “gutless.” Kevin McCarthy, the top House Republican, said he would not cooperate with the House committee investigating the Capitol riot. More than 8,000 unionized employees at Kroger’s King Soopers stores in Denver went on strike on Wednesday. And in mortgage and housing news… Mortgage Applications Up: Mortgage loan application volume rose 1.4% from last week, though refis once again fell, MBA reported. All-Time Low: ATTOM’s Year-End Foreclosure Market Report found foreclosure filings dropped to an all-time low in 2021, down 95% from a peak of nearly 2.9 million in 2010. Forty-Year High: The BLS’s Consumer Price Index reported that…

Multifamily To Remain Strong In 2022

Freddie Mac’s annual multifamily outlook projects another strong year, with rents continuing to increase despite an overall moderating market. The report projects that the Sun Belt will outperform slow-growing smaller markets in the Northeast and Midwest. “We believe the market will continue to grow in 2022, reflecting the strong multifamily fundamentals that drove the market to a record-breaking year in 2021,” said Steve Guggenmos, vice president of Multifamily Research & Modeling at Freddie Mac. “We anticipate rent growth in all markets in 2022 due to strong demand driven by improving economic conditions.” Growth broke records in 2021 thanks to changing migration patterns and strong economic conditions. Multifamily demand reached its highest ever levels during Q2 and Q3 of 2021, and…

Morning Roundup (1/10/2022)– UWM In-Office Fight Continues, Fraud Costs Rising

Good Morning! Today is Monday, January 10. A fire in a Bronx apartment building killed at least nineteen people. Russian forces have surrounded Ukraine on three sides as diplomats meet in Geneva for talks. “Power of the Dog” and “Succession” won top honors at the Golden Globes, which did not air this year due to criticism over ethical lapses and a lack of diversity. And in mortgage and housing news… Are UWM Workers Being Unreasonable?: United Wholesale Mortgage turned heads in the industry last week when it was reported that health officials are investigating the company after receiving complaints about how they are handling COVID, which lead some people to ask why employees in lending are expected to be in…

HPSI Suggests A Slower Housing Market In 2022

Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) fell 0.5 points to 74.2 in December, the GSE reported. Three of the index’s six components fell month-over-month as consumers once again reported pessimistic views on the homebuying market. Year-over-year, the index rose by 0.2. A record-low 26% of respondents reported they believe it’s a good time to buy a home, while 76% said it’s a good time to sell.  This is a drastic drop from December 2020, when 50% said it was a good time to sell and 52% said it was a good time to buy. Month-over-month, the share of consumers that reported it’s a bad time to buy a home rose from 64% to 66%, while the net share of…

Morning Roundup (1/6/2022)– Rocket Leadership Changeup, Second Home Demand Remains High

Good Morning! Today is Thursday, January 6. It’s the anniversary of the January 6 riot, and President Biden will speak today on steps to strengthen democracy in the US. A Philadelphia fire left at least thirteen dead and two hospitalized. The CDC recommended Pfizer boosters for children aged twelve and up. And in mortgage and housing news… Check Out The Photos!: These are the most expensive homes in 2022’s hottest housing markets. Second Home Demand Stays High: December demand for vacation homes topped pre-pandemic levels by 77% as affluent Americans continue to take advantage of remote work and low-interest rates. But it’s so hard to get into the game, some people are comparing it to finding their way into an…

Second Home Demand Remains High Heading Into 2022

December demand for vacation homes topped pre-pandemic levels by 77%, a little down from November’s 80% but still elevated, Redfin reported. “The wealthy are still flush with cash and have access to cheap debt, which is why second-home purchases remain far above pre-pandemic levels,” said Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather. “While interest in second homes is stabilizing after the big boom in the second half of 2020 and the beginning of 2021, I expect demand to remain high well into this year. Remote work isn’t going anywhere and mortgage rates are still quite low.”  Redfin’s index defines “pre-pandemic” as January and February 2020, set to 100, and looks at mortgage-rate lock. Rate lock on second homes increased steadily between 2015…

Morning Roundup (1/3/2022)– Migration From Cities, Affordability Down In November

Good Morning! Today is Monday, January 3. We hope you had a wonderful holiday and wish you the best in 2022!For today’s newsletter, we had Scott Kimbler look into the migration from U.S. metros to suburban and rural areas. Is It A Trend Or Here To Stay? Metros See Migration From Cities: Metros are seeing a migration away from urban areas, and those watching this trend say landlords shouldn’t hold their breath hoping a younger generation of renters will replace them. Affordability Reaches 13 Year Milestone: In Q4 2021, median-priced single-family homes were less affordable in 77% of U.S. counties analyzed by ATTOM Data Solutions, a 13-year high, the company found. New Record For Home Prices: The median home sale…

Morning Roundup (12/22/2021)– Home Values Up 31% YOY, Loan Apps Down Slightly

Good Morning! Today is Wednesday, December 22. In yesterday’s speech, President Biden praised Donald Trump’s recent comments about boosters and promised to distribute 500 million free testing kits. The Kellogg strike ended, with workers ratifying a new contract. Southwest Alaska experienced a 5.9 magnitude earthquake. And in mortgage and housing news… MBA: Mortgage loan application volume dropped 0.6% last week, though the average purchase loan reached its second-highest amount ever, MBA reported. Homeowners Gain $9.1T: The value of U.S. homes soared 31% YOY to $38 trillion in November, outpacing last year’s 10% gain, according to a new Redfin report. Lifestyle Matters:Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate released a market trends report, examining how and why lifestyle is leading homebuyers’ decision-making. “The Biggest Opportunity Of Our Generation”: MetaSpace Real…

MBA: Average Loan Size Reaches Its Second-Highest Amount Ever

Mortgage loan application volume dropped 0.6% last week, though the average purchase loan reached its second-highest amount ever, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey reported. The seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, fell 0.6%. The seasonally adjusted purchase index fell 3%, while the unadjusted purchase index fell 6% and was 9% lower YOY. The refinance index rose 2% and was down 42% YOY. Refinances made up 65.2% of total applications, driven by a rate decrease to 3.27%, its lowest in four weeks. Though applications fell, purchase loan size increased to an average of $416,200, the second-highest average amount on record. “The elevated loan size is an indication that activity is more on the…