Affordability Inched Up In Q1 2023 But Remains Elusive

Buying a house became slightly more affordable in Q1 2023 as the housing market remains stalled, but remained out of reach for many Americans. According to ATTOM Data Solution’s Q1 2023 U.S. Home Affordability Report, median-priced single-family homes and condos were less affordable in the first quarter of 2023 compared to historical averages in 94% of counties. This is a huge leap from the 62% of counties that were less affordable at the same time last year. The portion of average wages it takes to pay major homeownership costs decreased slightly to 30%. While this is still unaffordable by most lending standards, it’s a minor improvement from the 31% registered at year-end 2022. ATTOM calls this housing data a “mixed…

Starts, Permits Showed Surprise Gains Last Month

Housing construction rebounded by more than expected in February, led by a surge in multifamily projects. New U.S. home construction rose for the first time in six months, according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau. Residential starts increased by 9.8% from January to an annualized rate of 1.45 million. This greatly exceeds estimates from economists surveyed by Bloomberg, who expected a pace of 1.31 million. Permits for new homes also increased, up by 13.8% to a rate of 1.52 million. Permits offer an indication of how many homes will be built in the coming months. Both multifamily and single-family construction saw gains, though multifamily had the best showing with a 24% increase, the most in almost two years. Rents…

Investors Flee Market As Borrowing Costs Rise, Home Prices Cool

Investors are backing away from the home purchase market as price appreciation continues to cool. Investor home purchases declined 45.8% YOY in Q4 2022, according to a new Redfin analysis of 40 U.S. metros. This is a record drop, besting 2008’s 45.1% dip during the subprime mortgage crisis. Quarter-over-quarter, investment purchases fell 27%, the largest decline excluding the beginning of the pandemic. Pandemic boomtowns in particular saw massive dips, with investor purchases in Las Vegas and Phoenix dropping by more than 60%. High borrowing costs and declining home values have “made real estate investing less attractive,” Redfin said. Home prices have risen less than 1% YOY, down significantly from 15% growth last year. Investors who bought homes at a premium…

Slowing Rent Growth Bodes Well For The Housing Market

Rent price growth is finally slowing, a positive sign for the housing market. The median asking rent rose 2.4% YOY in January, the smallest increase since May 2012 and the lowest level in almost a year, Redfin reported. Month-over-month, rents decreased by 1.9% and were down 5.4% from August’s peak. Eleven U.S. metros saw rents dip, with both Phoenix and Oklahoma City seeing declines of more than 6%. Though prices are retreating, rents are still 22.5% higher than in January 2020. Redfin analysts say rents are cooling because of increasing supply and lack of demand. Inflation, economic uncertainty, and low household formation have stalled demand. “We’re watching closely to see whether rents start falling year-over-year. That would be a welcome…

Americans Looking For Homes With White Christmases May Have To Pay A Premium

Americans may idolize a white Christmas, but owning a home in the nation’s snowiest states costs a premium, according to a LendingTree analysis. Median-priced homes in the states that got the most snow in December 2021 cost $56,814 more on average than those in the states with the least snow. Alaska, Idaho, and Utah saw the most snowfall last December. Their median home values – $304,900, $369,300, and $421,700 – are 4.93 times higher than their median household incomes. Warmer states are typically less expensive than frigid Northern states, as evidenced by the flood of affordability-minded homebuyers to the Sun Belt. But this isn’t always the case. LendingTree noted that the median home value in Hawaii ($722,500) is at least…

Pending Home Sales Fall For Fifth Straight Month

Pending home sales fell for the fifth consecutive month in October, with three of the four regions seeing month-over-month declines, according to the National Association of Realtors. The Pending Home Sales Index dropped by 4.6% between September and October. Year-over-year it tanked by 37%. All four regions saw pending sales drop year-over-year. The Midwest, however, experienced a small uptick month-over-month, up by 3.3%. The Northeast PHSI fell by 4.3% from September, while the South fell 6.4% and the West saw a major decline of 11.3%. “October was a difficult month for home buyers as they faced 20-year-high mortgage rates. The West region, in particular, suffered from the combination of high interest rates and expensive home prices. Only the Midwest squeaked out…

Home Price Deceleration Breaks July’s Record

Home price appreciation continued to cool in August though growth remained elevated from a year earlier, according to new data. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price NSA Index saw home prices decelerate, posting a 13% annual gain in August, down from 15.6% in the previous month. This is the largest monthly deceleration in the history of the index, pushing July’s record to second place. Craig J. Lazzara, Managing Director at S&P DJI, called current trends a “forceful deceleration” of home prices. “These data show clearly that the growth rate of housing prices peaked in the spring of 2022 and has been declining ever since,” he said. “As the Federal Reserve moves interest rates higher, mortgage financing becomes more expensive…

Manchester, Rochester Tie For Hottest Housing Market

With rates rising and home price appreciation still high, Americans are looking for cheap places to buy homes. September’s hottest housing markets are known for their affordability. Rochester, NY, and Manchester, NH, tied for the country’s hottest market, according to new data from Realtor.com. Manchester has been popular for over a year, partly because New Hampshire is known for low taxes and affordable property. Rochester may not benefit from incredibly low taxes, but the cost of housing speaks for itself: the median list price is $223,000, far less than the national average. “They’re equally hot, but for different reasons. Manchester properties see higher demand, but homes in Rochester spend five days less on the market,” Hannah Jones, an economic data…

Record-High Down Payments See Moderation

Buyers are paying record-high down payments thanks to the combination of soaring prices and high competition, but they may see a reprieve soon, according to new data from Redfin. The typical U.S. mortgage borrower in July put down $62,500, up 13.6% YOY and nearly twice the growth in home sales prices. It’s also nearly double the median $32,917 down payment from July 2019, before the pandemic. Down payments have fallen slightly since peaking at $66,000 in May and June, due in part to the cooling market. Just under 59% of buyers who used a mortgage had a 10%-plus down payment, up from 57.5% a year ago but down from a peak of 60.5% in May. “Homebuyers don’t need to make…

Homeownership “Unattainable”: 1 In 4 Americans Putting Off Buying A Home Indefinitely

Housing affordability is a bigger deal to Americans than the possibility of a recession, according to a new survey by Personal Capital. The survey found that 1 in 4 people have decided to put off buying a home “indefinitely.” Rising mortgage interest rates were the number one concern of respondents, despite the fact that more than 75% said they expect a recession within two years. Gen Z was the generation most likely to say homebuying isn’t currently an option for them, and nearly a quarter called homeownership “unattainable.” Gen Zers overwhelmingly want to own their own homes, with 59% identifying homeownership as a sign of success. But many are worried they may never be able to afford a home if prices continue…