Single-family home prices increased again in April as low inventory keeps a nationwide correction at bay.
Prices were up 2% YOY, the 135th straight month of growth, according to CoreLogic’s Home Price Index. However, it’s the sixth straight month of single-digit gains, a boon for affordability. Since peaking in spring 2022 at nearly 20% growth, prices have moderated.
Month-over-month, prices rose by 1.2%.
The ongoing stock shortage could keep prices up even as demand dwindles, possibly for the next twelve months. CoreLogic expects price growth to tick down further in 2023 before changing course at year-end.
“While mortgage rate volatility continues to cause buyer hesitation, the lack of for-sale homes is putting firm pressure on prices this spring, leading to…
With affordability at its worst level in more than three decades, most Americans are putting off buying a home until rates fall.
Only 6% of Americans interested in buying a home are planning to do so this summer, with the majority waiting for interest rates to drop, according to BMO’s Real Financial Progress Index. Just 4% say they expect to buy in the fall.
High rates, low inventory, and sky-high house prices are keeping potential buyers on the sidelines. Of those who don’t currently own a property, 65% are holding off due to the state of the economy.
In the current high-rate environment, affordability is an insurmountable challenge for many buyers. As of May, each of the 100 largest U.S.…
After falling slightly the week before, mortgage rates shot right back up last week, continuing to fluctuate within the 6% range.
Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.39%, up from 6.35% the week prior.
A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.25%.
The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage remained unchanged at 5.75%. A year ago, it averaged 4.43%.
“The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.39% this week, as economic crosscurrents have kept rates within a ten-basis point range over the last several weeks,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.
“After the substantial slowdown in growth last fall, home prices stabilized during the winter and began to modestly rise over the last few months.…
Existing-home sales dipped in April as high interest rates and low inventory continued to negatively impact the market.
Sales declined by 3.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.28 million from 4.44 million the month prior, according to the latest data from the National Association of Realtors.
Year-over-year, sales are down 23.2%.
All four major regions saw sales decline year-over-year and month-over-month.
“Home sales are bouncing back and forth but remain above recent cyclical lows. The combination of job gains, limited inventory, and fluctuating mortgage rates over the last several months have created an environment of push-pull housing demand,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.
“Roughly half of the country is experiencing price gains. Even in markets with lower…
The choice between renting and buying isn’t obvious in some American cities.
While most cities have clear-cut price advantages to either, some are in a sticky in-between where the benefits of renting or buying may come down to personal circumstances, according to a new study from Home Bay.
Home Bay analyzed the 50 most-populous metros based on their price-to-rent ratios. A ratio of 15 or lower means it’s better to buy, while 21 or higher means it’s better to rent. The national average is 18.
Pittsburgh, PA; New Orleans, LA; Chicago, IL; and Cleveland, OH, are the most affordable cities to buy a home in compared to their average rents, all with a ratio of 12.
For example, residents can…
Consumers are becoming more optimistic that the housing market will turn in their favor in the coming year, though affordability concerns continue to weigh them down.
Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) jumped to its highest level since May 2022 in April, up 5.5 points to 66.8. This is the largest increase in more than two years.
Every component increased month-over-month as consumers start to see the light at the end of the tunnel for their homebuying struggles.
As the market is still seized by affordability concerns, the components remained negative, with the full index down 1.7 points YOY. However, more respondents say they expect the tide to turn in their favor.
The component associated with mortgage rate expectations…
Home prices appear to have bucked their downward trend, rising almost everywhere in the U.S. in March.
Black Knight’s latest Mortgage Monitor report found that home prices rose last month on both non-adjusted (+1.38%) and seasonally adjusted (+0.45%) bases.
This is the third consecutive month of increases recorded by Black Knight, with 92% of markets seeing prices increase.
“[J]ust five months ago, prices were declining on a seasonally adjusted month-over-month basis in 92% of all major U.S. markets. Fast forward to March, and the situation has done a literal 180,” said Black Knight Vice President of Enterprise Research Andy Walden.
Other than Western and pandemic boomtown markets, 40% have seen prices return to peak levels, with only Austin (-0.7%), Salt…
Net new listings and contract volume have officially declined for twelve straight months, according to new data from HouseCanary.
HouseCanary’s latest Market Pulse report, which covers 22 listing-derived metrics and compares data between April 2022 and April 2023, shows market activity was significantly hindered in the first month of Q2.
“As we enter May 2023, the real estate market continues to experience uncertainty, with the purchasing market slowdown being one of the key trends observed for over a year now,” Jeremy Sicklick, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of HouseCanary, said.
Contract and net new listing volume both fell annually, down 17.8% and 39.8%, respectively.
Listings were hit particularly hard by a nearly 45% YOY increase in removals.
Home sellers who…
By Scott Kimbler
Watch for housing sales in 2023 to follow the same pattern from a decade ago.
That’s the prediction of Ed Pinto, Director of the American Enterprise Institute’s Housing Center, during a recent data review. He and Assistant Director Tobias Peter used information from the final months of 2022 and into the first quarter of 2023 to preview the remainder of 2023 and perhaps even into 2024, given current market trends.
Pinto pointed out that Agency Purchase Volume for the final month of 2022 was down 45 percent from the same month in 2021 and 51 percent down from the same month in 2020.
“Based on Optimal Blue date,” Pinto said. “We expect purchase volume in early 2023…
Former homebuyer hotspots in the U.S. saw home prices fall in January as the market corrects.
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price NSA Index saw home prices decelerate for another month, posting a 3.8% annual gain in January, down from 5.6% in the previous month.
Craig J. Lazzara, Managing Director at S&P DJI, said the data marked the seventh straight month of YOY decreases.
West Coast hubs that saw huge migration during the pandemic saw their gains go negative YOY in January. The West overall saw prices decline by 1.5%. San Francisco clocked in a 7.6% drop YOY, the biggest by far, followed by Seattle with a 5.1% decrease.
Southern cities continued to see gains, with Miami, Tampa, and…
