Real house prices jumped 10.5% in September and logged a 60.6% YOY increase, according to First American’s Real House Price Index. As a result, consumer buying power, or how much a person can buy based on changes in income and interest rates, fell by 8.9% month-over-month and 29.3% YOY. The significant dip in affordability measured here results from skyrocketing home prices and rapidly increasing mortgage rates. “Even though household income increased 3.1% since September 2021 and boosted consumer house-buying power, it was not enough to offset the affordability loss from higher mortgage rates and fast-rising nominal prices,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American. Florida, Georgia, Arkansas, South Carolina, and Alabama saw the largest annual increases in real house…
Mortgage loan application volume has now seen four months of decline and fallen to its lowest level since 1997, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly survey. Interest rates rose to 6.94%, their highest point since 2002. The adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, dropped by 4.5%. The adjusted purchase index fell 4%, while the unadjusted purchase index decreased 3% and was 38% lower YOY. The refinance index dropped by 7% and was 86% lower than at the same time last year. Refis made up 28.3% of total applications. “The speed and level to which rates have climbed this year have greatly reduced refinance activity and exacerbated existing affordability challenges in the purchase market. Residential…
Mortgage and real estate companies are releasing their earnings reports for Q2 2022, providing information on the state of the housing market and where it might be headed. NPR’s David Gura noted on Morning Edition that earnings reports “can shape our understanding of what the economy may look like in the future.” “So while earnings reports and calls executives do with analysts may seem dry, not relevant to most people, they are worth paying attention to because companies have access to tons of data about themselves, their customers, talking about customer spending patterns, how they’re feeling,” he said. Some major players in the mortgage industry released their reports this week. Freddie Mac said its earnings fell by 33% YOY, netting…
Just under half of all mortgaged residential properties in the U.S. were considered equity-rich in Q1 2022, up to 44.9% from 41.9% in Q4 2021 and 31.9% in Q1 2021, according to a new report from ATTOM. ATTOM’s U.S. Home Equity and Underwater Report shows that only one in 31 homes (3.2%) were considered seriously underwater in Q1 2022, about the same from last quarter but down significantly from 4.7% the year prior. “Homeowners continue to benefit from rising home prices,” said Rick Sharga, Executive Vice President of Market Intelligence for ATTOM. “Record levels of home equity provide financial security for millions of families, and minimize the chance of another housing market crash like the one we saw in 2008.…
First American Financial’s Real House Price Index increased by 30.6% YOY in February, its fastest growth in the more than 30-year history of the series, the company reported. The RHPI measures the price changes of single-family properties throughout the U.S. adjusted for the impact of income and interest rate changes on consumer house-buying power over time at national, state, and metropolitan area levels. Because the RHPI adjusts for house-buying power, it also serves as a measure of housing affordability. February’s numbers show a rapid month-over-month decline in affordability. Real house prices rose by 5.6% from January, and nearly 31% YOY. Consumer house-buying power fell 3.6% between January and February, and 6.8% YOY. First American attributes the numbers to rising home…
Good Morning! Today is Thursday, April 14. The U.S. will send another $800 million in military aid to Ukraine, and it will share intelligence on Russian troop positions. Two Omicron subvariants may be driving rising cases in New York State. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention extended the federal mask mandate on planes and other forms of transit for two weeks. The Mortgage Note Reports Loan Apps Fall: Mortgage loan application volume fell another 1.3% last week as rates hit 5.13%, their highest level since November 2018. PCR Model: Commercial price growth may continue rising as property values may not yet have reached their cyclical peak, according to First American’s PCR Model. Opinion: Kevin B. Kimble, founder and CEO…
Mortgage loan application volume fell by 6.8% last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey shows. The adjusted Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, dropped by 6.8%. The adjusted purchase index rose by 1%, while the unadjusted purchase index rose 1% and was 10% lower YOY. The refinance index fell 15% and was down 60% YOY. Refinances made up just 40.6% of total applications, down from 44.8%. Mortgage rates hit a three-year high at 4.80%, putting further pressure on dwindling refinances. “Not surprisingly, refinance application volume declined further, as fewer borrowers have an incentive to apply at rates that are significantly higher than a year ago,” said Mike Fratantoni, MBA Senior Vice President and Chief…
Good Morning! Today is Wednesday, March 30. US job openings totaled 11.3 million in February, barely budging from January. The F.D.A. authorized a second booster shot for anyone 50 or older. Russian missile strikes destroyed a government building in Mykolaiv, a port city in the south of Ukraine. The Mortgage Note Reports Home Prices In Perspective: Homes are less affordable than they were a year ago, but they largely remain more affordable than at the peak of the 2006 housing boom. Corcoran CIO: Jason Crawford has been appointed Chief Innovation Officer (CIO) of Corcoran Global Living, the company announced. And in other mortgage and housing news… Home Price Appreciation: The S&P Corelogic Case-Shiller Index shows home price appreciation up 19.2% in…
Mortgage rates broke 4% for the first time since May 2019, Freddie Mac reported Thursday. Freddie’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) found that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.16%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 3.09%. “The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage exceeded four percent for the first time since May of 2019,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “The Federal Reserve raising short-term rates and signaling further increases means mortgage rates should continue to rise over the course of the year. While home purchase demand has moderated, it remains competitive due to low existing inventory, suggesting high house price pressures will continue during the spring homebuying season.” The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a…
Good Morning! Today is Tuesday, January 25. President Biden was caught cursing about a Fox News reporter on a hot mic. Stocks continued a selloff at the opening bell this morning as investors worry over Fed policies and global politics. The Supreme Court will hear cases challenging affirmative action, focused on Harvard and the University of North Carolina. In mortgage and housing news… The Mortgage Note Reports Victims of Mortgage Ponzi Scheme Can Seek Compensation: People who were victimized by what investigators have called the biggest Ponzi scheme in New Hampshire history can apply for compensation. Big Cities Making A Comeback: More expensive, populated housing markets appeared on the quarterly Wall Street Journal/Realtor.com® Emerging Housing Markets Index, which could signal…
