Rates Climb Higher

Mortgage rates climbed again last week amid the rippling impacts of war in the Gaza Strip. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.57%, jumping from 7.49%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.92%. The 15-year fixed-rate rose to 6.89% from 6.78%. A year ago, it averaged 6.09% “For the fifth consecutive week, mortgage rates rose as ongoing market and geopolitical uncertainty continues to increase,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “The good news is that the economy and incomes continue to grow at a solid pace, but the housing market remains fraught with significant affordability constraints. As a result, purchase demand remains at a three-decade low.” The Israel-Hamas war…

Mortgage Rates Overtake Home Prices As Main Buyer Concern

Consumer sentiment is stuck in the pits thanks to soaring mortgage rates. Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index sank further in September, down by 2.4 points to 64.5. The full HPSI is up 3.7 points YOY, a decline from August. Five of the index’s six components fell month-over-month. The home price expectations component increased, resulting in a net negative outlook.  Only 16% of respondents say it’s a good time to buy a home, down from 18% last month, while 84% say it’s a bad time to buy. This is new survey high. The share of respondents who say it’s a good time to sell dropped as well, down to 63% from 66%. Driving this pessimistic streak are mortgage rates, which…

Rates Jump To 7.49%

Mortgage rates climbed again last week following treasury yield gains in the wake of political turmoil and an unexpected jobs report spike. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.49%, jumping from 7.31%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.66%. The 15-year fixed-rate rose to 6.78% from 6.72%. A year ago, it averaged 5.90% “Mortgage rates maintained their upward trajectory as the 10-year Treasury yield, a key benchmark, climbed,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. “Several factors, including shifts in inflation, the job market, and uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s next move, are contributing to the highest mortgage rates in a generation. Unsurprisingly, this is pulling back homebuyer demand.” Chaos…

Rates Stay Above 7%

Mortgage rates stayed above 7% again last week. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.19%, up from 7.18%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.29%. The 15-year fixed-rate rose to 6.54% from 6.51%. A year ago, it averaged 5.44% “Mortgage rates continue to linger above 7% as the Federal Reserve paused their interest rate hikes,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  “Given these high rates, housing demand is cooling off and now homebuilders are feeling the effect. Builder sentiment declined for the first time in several months and construction levels have dipped to a three-year low, which could have an impact on the already low housing supply.” August’s inventory…

Rates “Anchored” Above 7%

Mortgage rates increased last week, and despite a two-week streak of declines, will likely remain above 7%. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.18%, up from 7.12%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 6.02%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage slipped, however, down to 6.51% from 6.52%. A year ago, it averaged 5.21%. “Mortgage rates inched back up this week and remain anchored north of seven percent. The reacceleration of inflation and strength in the economy is keeping mortgage rates elevated,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  The consumer price index saw its biggest monthly gain this year in August, coming in hotter than expected at +0.3% month-over-month. This heightens the…

Rates Dip But Remain Elevated

Mortgage rates dipped again last week but remain above the dreaded 7% threshold. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.12%, down from 7.18%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.89%. This is the second week of declines but the fourth straight week of 7%-plus rates. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage slipped to 6.52% from 6.55%. A year ago, it averaged 5.16%. “The economy remains buoyant, which is encouraging for consumers. Though while inflation has decelerated, firmer economic data have put upward pressure on mortgage rates which, in the face of affordability challenges, are straining potential homebuyers,”  said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist.  The median U.S. home sale price is up…

Consumer Sentiment Stuck Near Lows

Consumer sentiment is stuck in the pits as mortgage rates remain elevated. Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index continues skimming its low-level plateau, increasing in August by 0.1 points to 66.9. The HPSI is up 4.9 points YOY. Half of the index’s six components rose from July while the others stayed stagnant, resulting in a net negative outlook. Only 18% of respondents say it’s a good time to buy a home. The share of respondents who say it’s a good time to sell rose, however, to 66%. Respondents largely believe that home prices will go up in the next 12 months (41%), though that number decreased by 2% from July. “Consumers remain pessimistic toward the housing market in general and…

Mortgage Rates Pull Back

Mortgage rates cooled last week after a weeks-long run of increases. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.18%, down from 7.23%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.66%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage remained the same at 6.55%. A year ago, it averaged 4.98%. “Mortgage rates leveled off this week but remain elevated. Despite continued high rates, low inventory is keeping house prices steady,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. Active inventory shrank YOY in August. But Realtor.com reported an “unusual increase” in newly listed homes month-over-month, which might suggest homeowners are adjusting to the high-rate environment and preparing to sell come fall. Any significant change in stock will be…

Home Prices Heat Up

Data released today shows annual home price gains were stagnant in June but continue heating up in the short term, with month-over-month prices rising. Year-over-year, prices remained unchanged after slipping 0.4% the prior month, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price NSA Index. Prices were up 0.9% month-over-month before seasonal adjustment and 0.7% after. This is the fifth consecutive month of increases. Home prices are now at all-time highs in half the cities analyzed, and the National Composite sits just 0.2% below its all-time high from last year. Craig J. Lazzara, managing director at S&P DJI, noted that regional differences remain “striking.” The West Coast hubs that saw a huge migration during the pandemic performed the worst (-5.9%).…

Dreams Of Affordability Crushed As Rates Rise Again

Mortgage rates spiked again last week, contributing to housing becoming less affordable than before the bubble burst in the 2000s. Officials at Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.23%, up from 7.09%. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.55%. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage also increased to 6.55% from 6.46%. A year ago, it averaged 4.85%. “The economy continues to do better than expected and the 10-year Treasury yield has moved up, causing mortgage rates to climb,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist. Khater expects economic strength to keep rates elevated in the short term, leading to further declines in home resale. A strong jobs report recently sent treasury yields higher, putting…